Just J Sports

BIG TEN FOOTBALL COMPANION GUIDE • ALPHABETICAL 18 OF 18

WISCONSIN BADGERS

2026 Season Snapshot • Madison, Wisconsin

4-8 (2-7 Big Ten)

B1G

2026 Schedule

Live schedule, lines and results for Wisconsin.

Loading schedule…

HEAD COACH

HANDICAPPING PROFILE

HEAD COACH

Luke Fickell — 4th season at Wisconsin

LIFETIME COACHING RECORD

80–45 overall (17–20 at Wisconsin)

Built Cincinnati into a CFP team (13-0 in 2021, first Group of Five program to reach the playoff) before taking over a Wisconsin program accustomed to 10- win seasons. Has not delivered a winning Big Ten record in three seasons and enters 2026 widely regarded as one of the hottest seats in the sport despite a massive new financial commitment from the university.

WISCONSIN ATS RECORD

No single published career ATS figure

2025 finished 4-8 (2-7 Big Ten), the worst record of Fickell's tenure, including being outscored 181-41 across a 6-game losing streak. Wisconsin closed with ranked wins over then-No. 23 Washington and then-No. 21 Illinois — a flash of the ceiling that's kept Fickell employed into a make-or-break 2026.

HEAD COACH SALARY (2026)

$7.7M

TEAM NIL VALUATION (EST.)

$25M+ (est., more than

PRIMARY NIL COLLECTIVE

Not publicly named

doubled from 2025) Coach salary per On3 (7-yr deal through 2032, $100K annual raises). NIL figure per The Athletic (cited by OutKick/Badger of Honor): Wisconsin's 2026 roster spending reportedly more than doubled from 2025, crossing $25M, after years near the bottom of the Big Ten in NIL investment. Fickell's buyout was $25.4M after 2025, one of the largest in the sport.

HANDICAPPING NOTES

  • "Burn the ships" spending after years of being outspent: Wisconsin's NIL budget reportedly more than doubled to $25M+ for 2026 after ranking near the Big Ten's bottom — a direct, explicit response to three years of underperformance and a real all-in bet on saving Fickell's job.
  • Enormous buyout protects Fickell short-term, but the seat is real: A $25.4M+ buyout makes an in-season change unlikely, but national college football media has already flagged 2026 as a likely lame-duck season barring real improvement.
  • Total offensive rebuild for a fourth straight year: A new starting QB (Old Dominion transfer Colton Joseph) is Wisconsin's plan after true freshman Carter Smith was thrown into three late-2025 starts — the QB position has been "a revolving door" under Fickell, per beat reporters.

COORDINATORS & SCHEME

OFFENSE / DEFENSE

OFFENSIVE COORDINATOR

Jeff Grimes — 2nd season • Multiple, run-heavy

Enters year two after replacing Phil Longo's air raid mid-tenure. QB1 Colton Joseph (Old Dominion transfer, 1,007 rush yds/13 TD in 2025, 302.6 total yds/game) gives Grimes a true dual-threat weapon — the exact profile Fickell's best offenses (Desmond Ridder at Cincinnati) have historically been built around.

DEFENSIVE COORDINATOR

Mike Tressel — 4th season • Base 4-2-5

The most experienced coordinator on Fickell's staff, providing rare continuity for a program that's otherwise turned over significant portions of its offensive identity and personnel across three years.

2025 SEASON RECAP

RECORD & VENUE NOTES

2025 RECORD

4–8 (2–7 Big Ten)

Started 2-0 before a 6-game losing streak (outscored 181-41), then closed with ranked wins over Washington and Illinois — the worst record of the Fickell era, but a finish that kept hope alive for 2026.

HOME FIELD

Camp Randall Stadium

Artificial turf (FieldTurf), Madison. Historically one of the sport's great home environments (Jump Around remains a signature tradition) — a real asset the program hopes to reactivate as on-field results improve with the new spending commitment.

PRIMARY SKILL PLAYERS

2026 PROJECTED STARTERS
QB1Colton Joseph
TOP TRANSFER

Old Dominion transfer; 1,007 rush yds, 13 TD and 302.6 total yards/game in 2025 — a clear dual-threat upgrade brought in specifically to stabilize a position that's been "a revolving door" under Fickell.

RB1Abu Sama III
TOP TRANSFER

Iowa State transfer; 732 yds, 5 TD, 5.2 ypc and 48 forced missed tackles in 2025. The clear 1A option in a deep, rebuilt committee backfield.

WR1Jaylon Domingeaux

Southeastern Louisiana transfer; 57 catches, 802 yds, 11 TD at the FCS level in 2025. Considered a "steady hand" and immediate go-to target in a fully rebuilt receiving corps.

WR2Shamar RigbyJr

Oklahoma State transfer (by way of Purdue); flashed with 351 yards and a score in 2025, part of a near-total receiver room overhaul after losing Trech Kekahuna and most of 2025's depth to the portal.

OFFENSIVE LINE

2026 PROJECTED
PJ WilkinsLT

Offseason addition projected as the Week 1 starter at left tackle, part of a line beat writers call "vastly better on paper" than Wisconsin's 2025 unit.

Austin KaweckiC

The "plug-and-play" starter at center entering fall camp, anchoring the interior.

Kevin HeywoodRT

Sliding from left to right tackle for 2026, rounding out a projected starting five of Wilkins, Cubberly, Kawecki, Mandell and Heywood.

HANDICAPPING NOTE — O-LINE

  • Wisconsin's identity has historically been built on O-line play — with new money finally flowing to the roster, this trench performance is a key signal of whether the "burn the ships" investment is translating to the field.

DEFENSIVE LINE

2026 PROJECTED
Hammond Russell IVDT

Sixth-year veteran (6'4", 320 lbs) projected to fill the departed Ben Barten's run-stuffing role in the middle of the line.

Sebastian CheeksEdge

One of the most important returners on the entire roster after a breakout 2025; the lead edge rusher and a legitimate three-down player at 250 lbs.

LINEBACKERS

2026 PROJECTED
  • Linebacker is described by beat writers as one of Wisconsin's deepest, most complete position groups heading into 2026, alongside cornerback and quarterback — a real strength to build the defense around after the new NIL investment.

DEFENSIVE BACKS

2026 PROJECTED
Cornerback roomCB

Specifically flagged by beat coverage as one of Wisconsin's top-three strongest position groups for 2026, alongside linebacker and quarterback — one of the position battles to watch in fall camp as specific starters are sorted out.

SPECIAL TEAMS

KICKING, PUNTING & RETURN GAME
  • Overall: Wisconsin used the portal to add specialists too — long snapper James Roe (Toledo) and punter Ethan Tranel add experience and stability to a phase beat writers say can "quietly swing games" — part of the program's across-the-board investment for 2026.

Betting profile — vs. the number

2025 ATS

6-6

50% cover rate — 38th of 82

2025 Straight up

4-8

Point differential -105

Scoring environment

34.4

Combined points per game — 82nd highest of 82

Home / road ATS

3-4 · 3-2

Totals 2-10 O/U (1-6 home, 1-4 road)

Points scored / allowed

12.8 per game scored (82nd) · 21.6 allowed (31st)

Margin & schedule

Margin of victory -8.7 (71st) · Strength of schedule +5.1

  • Home / road: Home 3-4 ATS, road 3-2 ATS (neutral-site games excluded).
  • Home / road: Totals 2-10 O/U — 1-6 at home, 1-4 on the road.
  • Trend: 2025 ATS 6-6 (50% cover rate) across 12 games.
  • Trend: Averaged 12.8 points and allowed 21.6, a 34.4 combined per-game scoring environment.

Power ratings — strength against the field

SRS power rating

-3.1

56th of 82 — projected points vs. a league-average team on a neutral field

Offensive SRS

-8.4

71st of 82

Defensive SRS

+8.5

13th of 82

Points (margin of victory)

-8.7 · 71st of 82

Against the spread

6-6 (50%) · 38th of 82

Totals (combined PPG)

34.4 · 82nd of 82

Computed from CollegeFootballData 2025 results and closing consensus lines.

Notes

Saved Just J research for Wisconsin.

Program Context

"Burn the ships" spending after years of being outspent

Wisconsin's NIL budget reportedly more than doubled to $25M+ for 2026 after ranking near the Big Ten's bottom — a direct, explicit response to three years of underperformance and a real all-in bet on saving Fickell's job.

Enormous buyout protects Fickell short-term, but the seat is real

A $25.4M+ buyout makes an in-season change unlikely, but national college football media has already flagged 2026 as a likely lame-duck season barring real improvement.

Quarterback

Total offensive rebuild for a fourth straight year

A new starting QB (Old Dominion transfer Colton Joseph) is Wisconsin's plan after true freshman Carter Smith was thrown into three late-2025 starts — the QB position has been "a revolving door" under Fickell, per beat reporters.

Offensive Line

Offensive line outlook

Wisconsin's identity has historically been built on O-line play — with new money finally flowing to the roster, this trench performance is a key signal of whether the "burn the ships" investment is translating to the field.

Notes are maintained in the Admin area — no code changes required.