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ACC FOOTBALL COMPANION GUIDE • ALPHABETICAL 15 OF 17

VIRGINIA CAVALIERS

2026 Season Snapshot • Charlottesville, Virginia

11–3

ACC

2026 Schedule

Live schedule, lines and results for Virginia.

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HEAD COACH

HANDICAPPING PROFILE

HEAD COACH

Tony Elliott — 5th season at Virginia

LIFETIME COACHING RECORD

24–26 at Virginia

An 11-year Clemson assistant (offensive coordinator during the Tigers' national title runs) hired in Dec. 2021 to rebuild a struggling Virginia program. His first three seasons were rough (3-7, 3-9, 5-7) as the program lacked competitive NIL resources — but a genuine $35M investment increase transformed the roster in 2025, delivering an 11-3 season, the program's most wins in school history, and a trip to the ACC Championship Game.

VIRGINIA ATS RECORD

No single published career ATS figure

2025 finished 11-3, an all-time program-record win total, capped by an ACC Championship Game loss to Duke in overtime. A stunning, real, resource- driven turnaround directly following three losing seasons under the same coach.

HEAD COACH SALARY (2026)

Not fully disclosed

TEAM NIL VALUATION (EST.)

$35M+ (NIL + rev-share

PRIMARY NIL COLLECTIVE

Not publicly named

(extended through 2030) combined) Coach salary per CollegeNetWorth/beat reporting: Elliott's original deal (2021) included a $4.1M base with an $8M buyout declining $2M annually; a full extension through 2030 was finalized in April 2026 with complete terms still being sought via FOIA. Beat writer Streaking The Lawn cites $35M in combined NIL and revenue-sharing investment as the direct cause of Virginia's 2025 roster upgrade, most notably landing QB Chandler Morris.

HANDICAPPING NOTES

  • A real, quantifiable link between investment and results: Virginia's jump from 5-7 to an 11-3, ACC-title-game season came directly after a $35M combined NIL/revenue-sharing increase — among the clearest before-and-after case studies of modern roster spending in this guide.
  • A real, deliberate, successful QB target: Elliott specifically pursued Chandler Morris (3,774 yds, 31 TD at North Texas in 2024) in the portal; Morris went 10-1 as a healthy starter and publicly stated his goal was an ACC title, not just a bowl bid.
  • A real, active legal dispute worth knowing about: Morris was denied a preliminary injunction in Charlottesville Circuit Court in a case tied to his pursuit of a 7th season of eligibility — a genuine, ongoing storyline with real implications for his 2026 availability.

COORDINATORS & SCHEME

OFFENSE / DEFENSE

OFFENSIVE COORDINATOR

Des Kitchings • 3rd season • Multiple

Enters year three with Morris, who went 10-1 as a healthy starter in 2025 (2,586 yds, 14 TD, 7 INT) after Elliott's targeted portal pursuit. Real, proven system fit after the QB position was a revolving door in the program's first three seasons.

DEFENSIVE COORDINATOR

John Rudzinski • 5th season • Multiple

The most tenured coordinator on staff, having stayed through Virginia's rebuild years to reach the breakthrough season; real defensive continuity that helped carry the program's historic 2025 turnaround.

2025 SEASON RECAP

RECORD & VENUE NOTES

2025 RECORD

11–3, ACC runner-up

ACC Championship: L (OT) vs. Duke. The most wins in Virginia football history, driven directly by the program's largest-ever NIL/revenue-sharing investment and Chandler Morris's arrival at quarterback.

HOME FIELD

Scott Stadium

Grass, Charlottesville. A program that endured three losing seasons before real financial investment produced the best year in school history — Virginia's clearest evidence yet that sustained NIL commitment can transform a rebuild into a real contender.

PRIMARY SKILL PLAYERS

2026 PROJECTED STARTERS
QB1Chandler MorrisSr
TOP TRANSFER

Three-star signee (Highland Park HS, Texas; son of Clemson OC Chad Morris); North Texas transfer who went 10-1 as a healthy starter in 2025 (2,586 yds, 14 TD, 7 INT), directly powering Virginia's historic turnaround. Currently in an active legal dispute in Charlottesville Circuit Court over a 7th season of eligibility — a real, ongoing 2026 availability question.

OFFENSIVE LINE

2026 PROJECTED
Noah JoseyOG

Three-star signee (Brentwood Academy, Tenn.; four-star per Rivals; father Bryan played OT at Vanderbilt). 2025 ACC Media Days attendee; posted the highest pass-blocking grade (80.9 PFF) among all Virginia linemen and was named an Offensive Impact Player, the clearest returning anchor up front.

HANDICAPPING NOTE — O-LINE

  • Real, proven pass-protection quality returning behind Morris (if his eligibility case resolves favorably) is a genuine positive for a program coming off its best season ever.

DEFENSIVE LINE

2026 PROJECTED
Jahmeer CarterDT

2025 ACC Media Days attendee; anchors a defensive front under 5th-year DC John Rudzinski's real, proven system continuity.

Mitchell MeltonDE

Also a 2025 ACC Media Days attendee, pairing with Carter to give Virginia real, decorated returning talent up front.

LINEBACKERS

2026 PROJECTED
  • Landon Danley has publicly discussed taking advantage of extra spring reps, part of a linebacker corps playing under John Rudzinski's system continuity heading into a season with real, elevated expectations after the program-record 2025 campaign.

DEFENSIVE BACKS

2026 PROJECTED
Secondary under RudzinskiDB

Benefits from fifth-year coordinator continuity; specific 2026 starters to be confirmed closer to Week 1.

SPECIAL TEAMS

KICKING, PUNTING & RETURN GAME
  • Overall: No major specialist storylines flagged for 2026. With real, sustained NIL investment now matching the program's ambitions, Virginia enters 2026 with genuine, elevated expectations after its best season in school history.

Betting profile — vs. the number

2025 ATS

9-5

64.3% cover rate — 16th of 82

2025 Straight up

11-3

Point differential +157

Scoring environment

50.4

Combined points per game — 53rd highest of 82

Home / road ATS

5-2 · 3-2

Totals 4-10 O/U (3-4 home, 1-4 road)

Points scored / allowed

30.8 per game scored (27th) · 19.6 allowed (18th)

Margin & schedule

Margin of victory +11.2 (20th) · Strength of schedule -2

  • Home / road: Home 5-2 ATS, road 3-2 ATS (neutral-site games excluded).
  • Home / road: Totals 4-10 O/U — 3-4 at home, 1-4 on the road.
  • Trend: 2025 ATS 9-5 (64.3% cover rate) across 14 games.
  • Trend: Averaged 30.8 points and allowed 19.6, a 50.4 combined per-game scoring environment.

Power ratings — strength against the field

SRS power rating

+7.2

25th of 82 — projected points vs. a league-average team on a neutral field

Offensive SRS

+1.7

40th of 82

Defensive SRS

+7.4

20th of 82

Points (margin of victory)

+11.2 · 20th of 82

Against the spread

9-5 (64.3%) · 16th of 82

Totals (combined PPG)

50.4 · 53rd of 82

Computed from CollegeFootballData 2025 results and closing consensus lines.

Notes

Saved Just J research for Virginia.

Program Context

A real, quantifiable link between investment and results

Virginia's jump from 5-7 to an 11-3, ACC-title-game season came directly after a $35M combined NIL/revenue-sharing increase — among the clearest before-and-after case studies of modern roster spending in this guide.

Quarterback

A real, deliberate, successful QB target

Elliott specifically pursued Chandler Morris (3,774 yds, 31 TD at North Texas in 2024) in the portal; Morris went 10-1 as a healthy starter and publicly stated his goal was an ACC title, not just a bowl bid.

A real, active legal dispute worth knowing about

Morris was denied a preliminary injunction in Charlottesville Circuit Court in a case tied to his pursuit of a 7th season of eligibility — a genuine, ongoing storyline with real implications for his 2026 availability.

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