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SEC FOOTBALL COMPANION GUIDE • ALPHABETICAL 16 OF 16

VANDERBILT COMMODORES

2026 Season Snapshot • Nashville, Tennessee

10-3 (6-2 SEC)

SEC

2026 Schedule

Live schedule, lines and results for Vanderbilt.

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HEAD COACH

HANDICAPPING PROFILE

HEAD COACH

Clark Lea — 6th season at Vanderbilt

LIFETIME COACHING RECORD

26–33 at Vanderbilt (climbing: 2-10, 5-7, 2-10, 7-6, 10-3)

Endured three brutal rebuilding years (2-10, 5-7, 2-10) before the program's trajectory flipped after hiring OC Tim Beck and landing transfer QB Diego Pavia in 2024. 2025 delivered a program-record 10 wins, a win over Alabama, and a first-ever CFP-poll top-15 finish.

VANDERBILT ATS RECORD

No single published career ATS figure

2025 finished 10-3 (6-2 SEC), 8th nationally in scoring (38.5 ppg), capped by a disappointing bowl loss. Vanderbilt beat Tennessee for the first time since 2018 and finished 14th in the final CFP poll, 15th AP.

HEAD COACH SALARY (2026)

$3.19M

TEAM NIL VALUATION (EST.)

Not disclosed

PRIMARY NIL COLLECTIVE

Not publicly named

Coach salary per Yahoo Sports' 2026 SEC coaching salary rankings (USA Today database), among the lowest of any Power 4 head coach despite Vanderbilt's 2025 breakthrough season. Vanderbilt has not disclosed a team NIL figure.

HANDICAPPING NOTES

  • Historic breakthrough now meets a true reset: Diego Pavia (Heisman runner-up, program passing records) is gone, replaced by a true freshman — the exact kind of "regression candidate" spot after a program's best season ever, especially early in the year.
  • Lea is explicit that continuity shouldn't be assumed: He told media directly "there are also important differences" from the 2025 team — a rare coach publicly tempering expectations, worth weighing against the market's likely optimism after a 10-win year.
  • Defense returns real experience: 68% of defensive snaps return per roster metrics, with the front seven and linebackers largely intact — the clearer strength to lean on while the offense retools around a true freshman QB.

COORDINATORS & SCHEME

OFFENSE / DEFENSE

OFFENSIVE COORDINATOR

Tim Beck — 3rd season • High-octane spread

The architect of Vanderbilt's turnaround, having brought Diego Pavia with him from New Mexico State in 2024. Now hands the offense to five-star true freshman Jared Curtis, Vanderbilt's highest-rated QB signee ever and a player Lea compares stylistically to Matthew Stafford.

DEFENSIVE COORDINATOR

Steve Gregory — 3rd season • Multiple

Lea, himself a respected defensive mind, remains heavily involved. The unit returns key front-seven pieces (Miles Capers, Khordae Sydnor) and adds Alabama and Texas transfers for depth — a defense with a chance to take a real step forward with more continuity and experience.

2025 SEASON RECAP

RECORD & VENUE NOTES

2025 RECORD

10–3 (6–2 SEC)

Program-record 10 wins; beat Tennessee for the first time since 2018 and finished 14th in the final CFP poll (15th AP) despite a disappointing bowl loss. The signature season of the Clark Lea era to date.

HOME FIELD

FirstBank Stadium

Artificial turf (Shaw Sports Legion 46), Nashville. A smaller, historically quieter SEC venue that has taken on real juice since the 2024 upset of then- No. 1 Alabama — a home crowd now genuinely capable of springing an upset.

PRIMARY SKILL PLAYERS

2026 PROJECTED STARTERS
QB1Jared CurtisFr

Five-star true freshman, Vanderbilt's highest-rated QB signee ever (a program that once produced Jay Cutler); frontrunner for the job over senior Blaze Berlowitz, though Lea says he won't name a starter until days before Week 1.

RB1Sedrick AlexanderSr

Unanimous three-star signee (2023); needs to improve on a modest 3.4 ypc average in 2025, but the proven, senior-experience choice over explosive junior MK Young.

WR1Junior SherrillSr

Broke out in 2025 (54 rec, 784 yds, 7 TD), shedding a "gadget player" label to become the go-to target; now the clear WR1 for a new quarterback.

WR2Ja'Cory Thomas

Old Dominion transfer (719 yds, 5 TD in 2025) brought in specifically to replace departed deep threat Tre Richardson.

OFFENSIVE LINE

2026 PROJECTED
Line largely rebuiltOL

Just 1 returning starter with no multi-game experience back; 2 additional projected starters arrive via the 2026 portal class — real turnover protecting a true freshman QB.

HANDICAPPING NOTE — O-LINE

  • New line + true freshman QB is a real combination of variance — worth tracking pass-protection numbers closely in the first month before trusting Vanderbilt's passing game in tougher matchups.

DEFENSIVE LINE

2026 PROJECTED
Miles CapersDL

Returning key contributor anchoring a front seven with real continuity into 2026.

Khordae SydnorDL

Returning key contributor; part of the defense's clearest strength entering the season.

Keanu KohtDL

Alabama transfer added for depth and pass-rush juice.

LINEBACKERS

2026 PROJECTED
  • The linebacker unit "remains intact" per team beat coverage, led by returning starters Langston Patterson and Bryce Cowan — genuine continuity that should help stabilize the defense while the offense adjusts to a new starting quarterback.

DEFENSIVE BACKS

2026 PROJECTED
CJ HeardS

FAU transfer who started all 13 games in 2025 and tied for the team lead with 71 tackles; top returning piece anchoring the safety room after Randon Fontenette's transfer to Colorado.

Martel HightCB

Former three-star signee (2023); 2024 Second-Team All-SEC as a returner, back for his senior season as the room's top corner.

SPECIAL TEAMS

KICKING, PUNTING & RETURN GAME
  • Overall: No major specialist storylines flagged for 2026. Vanderbilt's rise under Lea has been built on offensive explosiveness and defensive continuity rather than special-teams swings — a lower-priority unit for handicapping purposes relative to the QB transition.

Betting profile — vs. the number

2025 ATS

10-3

76.9% cover rate — 3rd of 82

2025 Straight up

10-3

Point differential +203

Scoring environment

61.3

Combined points per game — 5th highest of 82

Home / road ATS

6-1 · 4-1

Totals 9-4 O/U (5-2 home, 3-2 road)

Points scored / allowed

38.5 per game scored (5th) · 22.8 allowed (36th)

Margin & schedule

Margin of victory +15.6 (9th) · Strength of schedule +0.4

  • Home / road: Home 6-1 ATS, road 4-1 ATS (neutral-site games excluded).
  • Home / road: Totals 9-4 O/U — 5-2 at home, 3-2 on the road.
  • Trend: 2025 ATS 10-3 (76.9% cover rate) across 13 games.
  • Trend: Averaged 38.5 points and allowed 22.8, a 61.3 combined per-game scoring environment.

Power ratings — strength against the field

SRS power rating

+13

11th of 82 — projected points vs. a league-average team on a neutral field

Offensive SRS

+14.8

4th of 82

Defensive SRS

+2.6

38th of 82

Points (margin of victory)

+15.6 · 9th of 82

Against the spread

10-3 (76.9%) · 3rd of 82

Totals (combined PPG)

61.3 · 5th of 82

Computed from CollegeFootballData 2025 results and closing consensus lines.

Notes

Saved Just J research for Vanderbilt.

Historic breakthrough now meets a true reset

Diego Pavia (Heisman runner-up, program passing records) is gone, replaced by a true freshman — the exact kind of "regression candidate" spot after a program's best season ever, especially early in the year.

Personnel

Lea is explicit that continuity shouldn't be assumed

He told media directly "there are also important differences" from the 2025 team — a rare coach publicly tempering expectations, worth weighing against the market's likely optimism after a 10-win year.

Quarterback

Defense returns real experience

68% of defensive snaps return per roster metrics, with the front seven and linebackers largely intact — the clearer strength to lean on while the offense retools around a true freshman QB.

Offensive Line

Offensive line outlook

New line + true freshman QB is a real combination of variance — worth tracking pass-protection numbers closely in the first month before trusting Vanderbilt's passing game in tougher matchups.

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