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SUN BELT FOOTBALL COMPANION GUIDE • ALPHABETICAL 14 OF 14

LOUISIANA-MONROE WARHAWKS

2026 Season Snapshot • Monroe, Louisiana

3-9 (1-7 Sun Belt)

SBC

2026 Schedule

Live schedule, lines and results for ULM.

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HEAD COACH

HANDICAPPING PROFILE

HEAD COACH

Bryant Vincent — 3rd season at ULM

LIFETIME COACHING RECORD

15–22 (college, 4 seasons incl. UAB interim)

A longtime South Alabama and UAB offensive coordinator (won the 2022 Bahamas Bowl as UAB's interim HC) hired by ULM in Dec. 2023. Improved the Warhawks from 2-10 to 5-7 in year one — the program's best record since 2019 — before a step back to 3-9 in 2025. In a genuinely unusual arrangement, Vincent also served as ULM's interim athletic director for several months in 2025 after AD John Hartwell's resignation, holding both jobs simultaneously.

ULM ATS RECORD

No single published career ATS figure

2025 finished 3-9 (1-7 Sun Belt), including a 73-0 road loss at Alabama. A real step back from the prior year's momentum, though ULM's offense is expected to improve significantly with a full season of QB Aidan Armenta at the controls.

HEAD COACH SALARY (2026)

$600K+

TEAM NIL VALUATION (EST.)

Not disclosed

PRIMARY NIL COLLECTIVE

Not publicly named

Coach salary per USA Today's 2024 compensation database (via HERO Sports); ULM increased its overall football coaching staff salary pool as part of Vincent's Dec. 2024 retention deal. ULM has not disclosed a team NIL figure.

HANDICAPPING NOTES

  • A genuinely unusual dual-role stretch: Vincent coached the football team while simultaneously serving as ULM's interim athletic director for several months in 2025 — a rare, real arrangement that speaks to both his standing at the school and the program's thin administrative resources.
  • ULM's bowl drought is real and dates back to 2012: The longest active bowl drought in this guide; outside evaluators frame 2026 explicitly as a "can this finally happen" referendum for the program.
  • Real statistical basis for offensive optimism: QB Aidan Armenta (1,629 yds, 12 TD, 8 INT as a first-year starter) returns with new OC Jesse Montalto, whose system is specifically expected to fix an offense that averaged just 16.6 ppg in 2025.

COORDINATORS & SCHEME

OFFENSE / DEFENSE

OFFENSIVE COORDINATOR

Jesse Montalto • 1st season • Multiple

New hire tasked with fixing an offense that averaged just 323 yds and 16.6 ppg in 2025. Inherits Aidan Armenta, a big, mobile passer with real experience, plus deep threat Nic Trujillo (16.0 yards/catch, team-high 4 TD in 2025) to build around.

DEFENSIVE COORDINATOR

Earnest Hill • 3rd season • Base 4-2-5

Enters year three with real system continuity, anchored by senior linebacker Noah Flemmings, specifically flagged by outside evaluators as ULM's key returning player for 2026.

2025 SEASON RECAP

RECORD & VENUE NOTES

2025 RECORD

3–9 (1–7 Sun Belt)

A step back from 2024's 5-7 breakthrough, including a 73-0 road loss at Alabama. ULM's offensive struggles (16.6 ppg) were the clear driver, prompting the coordinator change for 2026.

HOME FIELD

Malone Stadium

Artificial turf (FieldTurf), Monroe. Home to a program that hasn't reached a bowl game since 2012 — the longest active drought in the Sun Belt — with real, specific reasons (a new OC, a returning experienced QB) for outside evaluators to flag 2026 as a genuine chance to end it.

PRIMARY SKILL PLAYERS

2026 PROJECTED STARTERS
QB1Aidan Armenta

Big, mobile passer with real first-year-starter experience (1,629 yds, 12 TD, 8 INT in 2025); outside evaluators expect real improvement in accuracy and production under new OC Jesse Montalto.

WR1Nic Trujillo

A genuine deep-threat weapon, averaging 16.0 yards per catch with a team- high 4 TD in 2025 — the clear top returning target for Armenta.

OFFENSIVE LINE

2026 PROJECTED
Line under new OCOL

Adjusting to Jesse Montalto's new system after an offense that finished near the bottom of the Sun Belt in 2025; specific 2026 starters to be confirmed closer to Week 1.

HANDICAPPING NOTE — O-LINE

  • A new offensive coordinator installing a new system is real variance — worth tracking early scoring and yardage numbers against 2025's bottom-of-conference marks as a sign of real improvement.

DEFENSIVE LINE

2026 PROJECTED
Front seven under HillDL

Benefits from Earnest Hill's third-year system continuity, the clearest defensive stability on the roster.

LINEBACKERS

2026 PROJECTED
  • Noah Flemmings , a senior linebacker specifically flagged by outside evaluators as ULM's key returning player for 2026, anchors a linebacker corps with real continuity under third-year DC Earnest Hill.

DEFENSIVE BACKS

2026 PROJECTED
Secondary under HillDB

Also benefits from third-year coordinator continuity; specific 2026 starters to be confirmed as fall camp progresses.

SPECIAL TEAMS

KICKING, PUNTING & RETURN GAME
  • Overall: No major specialist storylines flagged for 2026. With the Sun Belt's longest active bowl drought (since 2012) and real, specific reasons for optimism on offense, ULM enters 2026 as a genuine referendum on whether Vincent's program-building can finally produce a postseason bid.

Betting profile — vs. the number

2025 ATS

4-8

33.3% cover rate — 75th of 82

2025 Straight up

3-9

Point differential -184

Scoring environment

48.5

Combined points per game — 61st highest of 82

Home / road ATS

1-4 · 3-4

Totals 6-6 O/U (1-4 home, 5-2 road)

Points scored / allowed

16.6 per game scored (79th) · 31.9 allowed (73rd)

Margin & schedule

Margin of victory -15.3 (80th) · Strength of schedule -12

  • Home / road: Home 1-4 ATS, road 3-4 ATS (neutral-site games excluded).
  • Home / road: Totals 6-6 O/U — 1-4 at home, 5-2 on the road.
  • Trend: 2025 ATS 4-8 (33.3% cover rate) across 12 games.
  • Trend: Averaged 16.6 points and allowed 31.9, a 48.5 combined per-game scoring environment.

Power ratings — strength against the field

SRS power rating

-22.7

82nd of 82 — projected points vs. a league-average team on a neutral field

Offensive SRS

-16.5

82nd of 82

Defensive SRS

-13.5

80th of 82

Points (margin of victory)

-15.3 · 80th of 82

Against the spread

4-8 (33.3%) · 75th of 82

Totals (combined PPG)

48.5 · 61st of 82

Computed from CollegeFootballData 2025 results and closing consensus lines.

Notes

Saved Just J research for ULM.

A genuinely unusual dual-role stretch

Vincent coached the football team while simultaneously serving as ULM's interim athletic director for several months in 2025 — a rare, real arrangement that speaks to both his standing at the school and the program's thin administrative resources.

ULM's bowl drought is real and dates back to 2012

The longest active bowl drought in this guide; outside evaluators frame 2026 explicitly as a "can this finally happen" referendum for the program.

Quarterback

Real statistical basis for offensive optimism

QB Aidan Armenta (1,629 yds, 12 TD, 8 INT as a first-year starter) returns with new OC Jesse Montalto, whose system is specifically expected to fix an offense that averaged just 16.6 ppg in 2025.

Offensive Line

Offensive line outlook

A new offensive coordinator installing a new system is real variance — worth tracking early scoring and yardage numbers against 2025's bottom-of-conference marks as a sign of real improvement.

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