Just J Sports

BIG 12 FOOTBALL COMPANION GUIDE • ALPHABETICAL 14 OF 16

UCF KNIGHTS

2026 Season Snapshot • Orlando, Florida

5-7 (2-7 Big 12)

BIG 12

2026 Schedule

Live schedule, lines and results for UCF.

Loading schedule…

HEAD COACH

HANDICAPPING PROFILE

HEAD COACH

Scott Frost — 4th season at UCF (2nd stint)

LIFETIME COACHING RECORD

19–7 in first UCF stint (2016-17); 9-19 since returning

Delivered a legendary turnaround in his first UCF stint: from 0-12 to a 13-0 national-title season (2017) that made him a coaching star before Nebraska hired him away. Returned to Orlando in Dec. 2024 hoping to recapture that magic, but has gone 9-19 (5-13 Big 12) combined so far, including a losing 2025 season.

UCF ATS RECORD

No single published career ATS figure

2025 finished 5-7 (2-7 Big 12), a step back from 2024's 4-8 mark by win total but still well below the standard Frost set in his first stint. UCF's 30-27 home loss to Houston snapped an 8-year winning streak in the rivalry "Space Game."

HEAD COACH SALARY (2026)

$3.9M

TEAM NIL VALUATION (EST.)

Not disclosed

PRIMARY NIL COLLECTIVE

UCF Competitive Success

Fund (direct rev-share) Coach salary per Yahoo Sports/247Sports (5-yr, $22.1M guaranteed deal through 2030, with a 6th-year trigger at $5.25M for 2025 bowl eligibility). The Kingdom NIL, UCF's booster collective since 2022, formally ceased operations on June 30, 2025 as the athletic department transitioned to direct revenue sharing under the UCF Competitive Success Fund; UCF Athletics reported $52.8M in fundraising for 2024-25.

HANDICAPPING NOTES

  • Total quarterback exodus is the defining offseason story: All three 2025 QB competitors (Cam Fancher, Tayven Jackson, Jacurri Brown) entered the transfer portal, leaving Davi Belfort as the only scholarship QB with game snaps — a genuinely unusual, complete reset at the position.
  • Real financial structure change alongside the on-field reset: The Kingdom NIL, UCF's booster collective since 2022, formally dissolved in mid-2025 as the athletic department moved to direct revenue sharing — worth understanding as a real shift in how UCF now funds its roster.
  • A credentialed coach still searching for his old magic: Frost's 9-19 second-stint record is a real, specific gap from the standard his own history set — 2026 is a genuine referendum year.

COORDINATORS & SCHEME

OFFENSE / DEFENSE

OFFENSIVE COORDINATOR

Steve Cooper • 2nd season • No-huddle spread option

Enters year two needing to identify a starting quarterback from scratch after the entire 2025 QB room departed. Returns leading receiver Duane Thomas Jr. (53 catches, 528 yds, All-Big 12 honorable mention) and Waden Charles, giving Cooper real continuity at receiver even amid total QB uncertainty.

DEFENSIVE COORDINATOR

Alex Grinch • 2nd season • Base 3-4

Enters year two of his system installation; UCF's defense was a factor in the program's competitive stretches in 2025 even as the offense and record lagged.

2025 SEASON RECAP

RECORD & VENUE NOTES

2025 RECORD

5–7 (2–7 Big 12)

Snapped an 8-year win streak over Houston in the "Space Game" rivalry with a home loss, then dropped to Oklahoma the following week. A season that reinforced UCF's status in the Big 12's lower tier since joining the conference.

HOME FIELD

Acrisure Bounce House

Natural grass, Orlando. The site of Frost's legendary 2017 turnaround; UCF's fanbase remembers what a Frost-led team can look like, adding real pressure to a second stint that hasn't yet matched the first.

PRIMARY SKILL PLAYERS

2026 PROJECTED STARTERS
QB1Alonza Barnett III
TOP TRANSFER

James Madison transfer and 2025 Sun Belt Offensive Player of the Year; led the Dukes to a 12-2 record and the Sun Belt's first-ever CFP berth (2,806 pass yds, 23 TD, 589 rush yds, 15 rush TD). A real, immediate stabilizer at a position UCF had turned over four straight years.

WR1Duane Thomas Jr.

Charlotte transfer; UCF's leading receiver in 2025 (53 catches, 528 yds) and an All-Big 12 honorable mention selection, one of the first Knights to publicly commit to returning for 2026.

WR2Waden Charles

Former four-star signee who started half of UCF's 12 games as a true freshman in 2025 (26 catches, 290 yds, nearly 60% coming in the final four games); publicly committed to returning before the portal even opened.

OFFENSIVE LINE

2026 PROJECTED
Preston CushmanOT

Ole Miss transfer and returning starter at right tackle, giving a new- QB offense at least one point of proven continuity up front.

Connor MeadowsOL

Tennessee State transfer who confirmed his return for 2026 as depth behind Cushman.

HANDICAPPING NOTE — O-LINE

  • The line finished 2025 ranked 70th nationally in rushing offense and 53rd in fewest sacks allowed — middling numbers that now have to support a completely new starting quarterback.

DEFENSIVE LINE

2026 PROJECTED
Front seven under GrinchDL

Benefits from Alex Grinch's second-year continuity, one of the few stable coordinator situations on the roster amid the offensive overhaul.

LINEBACKERS

2026 PROJECTED
  • UCF's linebacker corps returns under the same defensive coordinator (Alex Grinch) for a second straight season — real continuity on the side of the ball less affected by the offseason's total quarterback exodus.

DEFENSIVE BACKS

2026 PROJECTED
Secondary under GrinchDB

Also benefits from year-two continuity under Grinch; specific 2026 starters to be confirmed as fall camp progresses.

SPECIAL TEAMS

KICKING, PUNTING & RETURN GAME
  • Overall: No major specialist storylines flagged for 2026. With a completely rebuilt QB room and a coach seeking to recapture his own historic first-stint magic, UCF's season is genuinely unpredictable heading into Week 1.

Betting profile — vs. the number

2025 ATS

4-8

33.3% cover rate — 74th of 82

2025 Straight up

5-7

Point differential +9

Scoring environment

47.9

Combined points per game — 64th highest of 82

Home / road ATS

3-4 · 1-4

Totals 6-6 O/U (3-4 home, 3-2 road)

Points scored / allowed

24.3 per game scored (58th) · 23.6 allowed (41st)

Margin & schedule

Margin of victory +0.8 (49th) · Strength of schedule -0.3

  • Home / road: Home 3-4 ATS, road 1-4 ATS (neutral-site games excluded).
  • Home / road: Totals 6-6 O/U — 3-4 at home, 3-2 on the road.
  • Trend: 2025 ATS 4-8 (33.3% cover rate) across 12 games.
  • Trend: Averaged 24.3 points and allowed 23.6, a 47.9 combined per-game scoring environment.

Power ratings — strength against the field

SRS power rating

-2.1

55th of 82 — projected points vs. a league-average team on a neutral field

Offensive SRS

-5.6

66th of 82

Defensive SRS

+2.5

39th of 82

Points (margin of victory)

+0.8 · 49th of 82

Against the spread

4-8 (33.3%) · 74th of 82

Totals (combined PPG)

47.9 · 64th of 82

Computed from CollegeFootballData 2025 results and closing consensus lines.

Notes

Saved Just J research for UCF.

Quarterback

Total quarterback exodus is the defining offseason story

All three 2025 QB competitors (Cam Fancher, Tayven Jackson, Jacurri Brown) entered the transfer portal, leaving Davi Belfort as the only scholarship QB with game snaps — a genuinely unusual, complete reset at the position.

Program Context

Real financial structure change alongside the on-field reset

The Kingdom NIL, UCF's booster collective since 2022, formally dissolved in mid-2025 as the athletic department moved to direct revenue sharing — worth understanding as a real shift in how UCF now funds its roster.

A credentialed coach still searching for his old magic

Frost's 9-19 second-stint record is a real, specific gap from the standard his own history set — 2026 is a genuine referendum year.

Offensive Line

Offensive line outlook

The line finished 2025 ranked 70th nationally in rushing offense and 53rd in fewest sacks allowed — middling numbers that now have to support a completely new starting quarterback.

Notes are maintained in the Admin area — no code changes required.