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SEC FOOTBALL COMPANION GUIDE • ALPHABETICAL 14 OF 16

TEXAS LONGHORNS

2026 Season Snapshot • Austin, Texas

10-3

SEC

2026 Schedule

Live schedule, lines and results for Texas.

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HEAD COACH

HANDICAPPING PROFILE

HEAD COACH

Steve Sarkisian — 6th season at Texas

LIFETIME COACHING RECORD

48–20 at Texas; 94–55 in 12 seasons overall

CFP semifinals in both 2023 and 2024, an SEC title-game berth in 2024 (13- 3, matching the school record), and a third straight 10-win season in 2025 (10-3, Citrus Bowl win over Michigan). Architect of a 24-straight-game 35+ points streak as Alabama's OC before Texas.

TEXAS ATS RECORD

No single published career ATS figure

2025 finished 10-3 with a Citrus Bowl win over Michigan, but the offense underperformed preseason hype (339 yds/20 ppg allowed on defense, offense inconsistent) — both sides of the ball were retooled aggressively this offseason as a result.

HEAD COACH SALARY (2026)

$10.6M

TEAM NIL VALUATION (EST.)

Not disclosed

PRIMARY NIL COLLECTIVE

Texas One Fund

Coach salary per Yahoo Sports' 2026 coaching salary rankings (USA Today database). Texas has not disclosed a team NIL figure.

HANDICAPPING NOTES

  • All-in roster construction for 2026: Texas assembled its strongest transfer class ever (Cam Coleman, Raleek Brown, Hollywood Smothers, Melvin Siani) around a now-proven Arch Manning — a clear "final piece" offseason after two straight CFP near-misses.
  • Defensive coordinator change is a real swing factor: Will Muschamp returns to Austin (previously the DC under Mack Brown) to replace Pete Kwiatkowski after a defense that was "just okay by UT standards" in 2025 — a proven veteran hire meant to fix a specific weakness.
  • Manning's 2025 finish was elite: 11 TD, 1 INT over his final 5 games. If that form carries into 2026 with a dramatically upgraded supporting cast, Texas profiles as a legitimate national title contender — and a team that may not offer much value as a favorite.

COORDINATORS & SCHEME

OFFENSE / DEFENSE

OFFENSIVE COORDINATOR

Kyle Flood — returning • Pro-style, QB-driven

Tasked with doing "more" with an offense that had the talent to be special in 2025 but wasn't. Adds Auburn transfer WR Cam Coleman, RBs Raleek Brown (Arizona State) and Hollywood Smothers (NC State), and OT Melvin Siani (Wake Forest) around Arch Manning in what's being called an all-in offensive rebuild.

DEFENSIVE COORDINATOR

Will Muschamp — 1st season (2nd stint) • Aggressive, multiple

Returns to Texas after building elite defenses under Mack Brown in the late 2000s before departing for the Florida head-coaching job; most recently at Georgia. Replaces Pete Kwiatkowski after a defense that finished middling by UT's own standards in 2025.

2025 SEASON RECAP

RECORD & VENUE NOTES

2025 RECORD

10–3

Won the Cheez-It Citrus Bowl over Michigan; third straight 10-win season, a first for the program since a nine-year streak from 2001-09. Offense was inconsistent for stretches despite the record.

HOME FIELD

Darrell K Royal–Texas Memorial Stadium

Artificial turf (FieldTurf), Austin. One of the largest stadiums in the sport (100,000+) and a major home-field and recruiting asset as Texas enters its third season in the SEC.

PRIMARY SKILL PLAYERS

2026 PROJECTED STARTERS
QB1Arch ManningJr
NFL WATCH

26 TD, 7 INT, 3,163 yards in his first year as a full-time starter; threw 11 TD to 1 INT over his final 5 games. Now surrounded by the best supporting cast of his career.

RB1Raleek Brown
5-STAR

Arizona State transfer (originally USC); a five-star recruit (Rivals) out of Mater Dei, joined by NC State transfer Hollywood Smothers in a major RB upgrade.

WR1Cam ColemanSoph
NFL WATCH5-STAR

Auburn transfer and one of the marquee additions of the SEC transfer portal cycle; former five-star (No. 5 in the 2024 class) and a true difference-making outside receiver for Manning.

WR2Ryan Wingo
5-STAR

Former five-star signee (2024, No. 5 overall, No. 2 WR); returning leading receiver (834 yds, 7 TD in 2025) and a 2026 Phil Steele Preseason First- Team All-SEC pick, joining Coleman in a receiver room significantly upgraded around Manning.

OFFENSIVE LINE

2026 PROJECTED
Melvin SianiOT

Wake Forest transfer (originally a three-star Temple signee); No. 4 OT in the 2026 portal class with 24 career starts, brought in to further protect Manning as part of the all-in offensive buildout.

Trevor GoosbyOTSr
NFL WATCH

Former three-star signee (flipped from TCU); preseason First-Team All-SEC and a projected top-5 pick in the 2027 NFL Draft after ranking as the FBS's 6th-most valuable tackle by PFF in 2025.

HANDICAPPING NOTE — O-LINE

  • A blend of proven returners and a marquee transfer addition — one of the more complete lines in the conference on paper heading into a season with title expectations.

DEFENSIVE LINE

2026 PROJECTED
Front seven under MuschampDL

New DC Will Muschamp is rebuilding the front after a defense that finished 339 yds/20 ppg allowed in 2025 — specific 2026 starters were still settling through fall camp under the new scheme.

LINEBACKERS

2026 PROJECTED
  • Texas's linebacker corps is being reshaped under new DC Will Muschamp's system, with the staff needing to replace several key departed starters — one of the bigger defensive question marks entering a season with national-title-level expectations on offense.

DEFENSIVE BACKS

2026 PROJECTED
Secondary under new schemeDB

Retooling under Muschamp's aggressive defensive approach; confirm specific starters closer to Week 1 as the new staff installs its system.

SPECIAL TEAMS

KICKING, PUNTING & RETURN GAME
  • Overall: No major specialist storylines flagged for 2026 specifically; Texas's specialists have been steady rather than a swing factor under Sarkisian. Program- wide focus this offseason has clearly been the offensive and defensive overhaul around Manning.

Betting profile — vs. the number

2025 ATS

5-8

38.5% cover rate — 61st of 82

2025 Straight up

10-3

Point differential +132

Scoring environment

50.8

Combined points per game — 48th highest of 82

Home / road ATS

3-3 · 0-5

Totals 6-7 O/U (3-3 home, 2-3 road)

Points scored / allowed

30.5 per game scored (29th) · 20.3 allowed (22nd)

Margin & schedule

Margin of victory +10.2 (26th) · Strength of schedule +2.6

  • Home / road: Home 3-3 ATS, road 0-5 ATS (neutral-site games excluded).
  • Home / road: Totals 6-7 O/U — 3-3 at home, 2-3 on the road.
  • Trend: 2025 ATS 5-8 (38.5% cover rate) across 13 games.
  • Trend: Averaged 30.5 points and allowed 20.3, a 50.8 combined per-game scoring environment.

Power ratings — strength against the field

SRS power rating

+10.3

17th of 82 — projected points vs. a league-average team on a neutral field

Offensive SRS

+5.6

24th of 82

Defensive SRS

+7.7

17th of 82

Points (margin of victory)

+10.2 · 26th of 82

Against the spread

5-8 (38.5%) · 61st of 82

Totals (combined PPG)

50.8 · 48th of 82

Computed from CollegeFootballData 2025 results and closing consensus lines.

Notes

Saved Just J research for Texas.

Personnel

All-in roster construction for 2026

Texas assembled its strongest transfer class ever (Cam Coleman, Raleek Brown, Hollywood Smothers, Melvin Siani) around a now-proven Arch Manning — a clear "final piece" offseason after two straight CFP near-misses.

Coaching

Defensive coordinator change is a real swing factor

Will Muschamp returns to Austin (previously the DC under Mack Brown) to replace Pete Kwiatkowski after a defense that was "just okay by UT standards" in 2025 — a proven veteran hire meant to fix a specific weakness.

Manning's 2025 finish was elite

11 TD, 1 INT over his final 5 games. If that form carries into 2026 with a dramatically upgraded supporting cast, Texas profiles as a legitimate national title contender — and a team that may not offer much value as a favorite.

Offensive Line

Offensive line outlook

A blend of proven returners and a marquee transfer addition — one of the more complete lines in the conference on paper heading into a season with title expectations.

Notes are maintained in the Admin area — no code changes required.