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ACC FOOTBALL COMPANION GUIDE • ALPHABETICAL 12 OF 17

SMU MUSTANGS

2026 Season Snapshot • Dallas, Texas

9–4 (6–2 ACC)

ACC

2026 Schedule

Live schedule, lines and results for SMU.

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HEAD COACH

HANDICAPPING PROFILE

HEAD COACH

Rhett Lashlee — 5th season at SMU

LIFETIME COACHING RECORD

38–16 at SMU

A former Arkansas quarterback and offensive coordinator at Auburn, UConn, SMU, and Miami before taking over the Mustangs in 2022. Delivered an AAC title (2023), then guided SMU's first-ever ACC season directly to the CFP (2024, 11 wins — the program's best total since 1982) and a Holiday Bowl win in 2025 — a real, historic restoration that made him a target for multiple Power 4 openings before SMU locked him up.

SMU ATS RECORD

No single published career ATS figure

2025 finished 9-4 (6-2 ACC), capped by a Holiday Bowl win over Arizona — SMU's first bowl win in the Lashlee era, ending a real, specific bowl-win drought Lashlee himself referenced pregame. A real, if slightly less dominant, follow-up to the 2024 CFP season.

HEAD COACH SALARY (2026)

Top-10 nationally (exact

TEAM NIL VALUATION (EST.)

Not disclosed

PRIMARY NIL COLLECTIVE

Not publicly named

figure undisclosed) Coach salary per ESPN/On3 (2-yr extension through 2032, finalized Oct. 31, 2025, reportedly making Lashlee one of the 10 highest-paid coaches in the country; his 2025 salary before the extension ranked 65th nationally at just over $2.5M). SMU is a private school and has not disclosed exact figures or a team NIL number.

HANDICAPPING NOTES

  • A real, market-driven retention fight the program won: Arkansas (Lashlee's alma mater) showed "legitimate interest" during a cycle with 11 total openings; SMU responded with a deal reportedly in the top 10 nationally — a genuine financial statement for a private-school program.
  • Elite, proven QB continuity anchors 2026: Kevin Jennings, a Dallas-area legend who led South Oak Cliff to a state title, returns for his final season after throwing for 3,641 yds, 26 TD in 2025 (3rd in the ACC) — real, established production.
  • Real regression in two specific spots to track: SMU returns just 62% of its rushing production and 53% of its receiving production after losing its top two players at each spot — a real, quantifiable gap around an otherwise-elite returning quarterback.

COORDINATORS & SCHEME

OFFENSE / DEFENSE

OFFENSIVE COORDINATOR

Rob Likens • Garin Justice — 4th/3rd season (co-OCs) • Spread

Enter year four/three with Jennings fully entrenched after a dramatic Week 3 benching of Preston Stone in 2024 that permanently changed the QB pecking order. Must replace SMU's top two rushers and top two receivers from 2025 — a real, specific rebuild around an elite, proven passer.

DEFENSIVE COORDINATOR

Maurice Crum Jr. • Rickey Hunley Jr. — 2nd season (co- DCs) • 4-2-5

Enter year two with real system continuity after helping anchor SMU's second straight ACC-contending season.

2025 SEASON RECAP

RECORD & VENUE NOTES

2025 RECORD

9–4 (6–2 ACC)

Trust & Will Holiday Bowl: W 24-19 vs. Arizona. Jennings threw a season- best 4 TD at Syracuse and torched then-No. 10 Miami for 365 yards — real, signature performances in SMU's second straight strong ACC season.

HOME FIELD

Gerald J. Ford Stadium

Artificial turf (FieldTurf), Dallas. A program that's gone from AAC also-ran to back-to-back real ACC contenders under Lashlee — SMU's fastest rise to national relevance in decades, now backed by a top-10 coaching investment.

PRIMARY SKILL PLAYERS

2026 PROJECTED STARTERS
QB1Kevin JenningsSr

Three-star signee (South Oak Cliff HS, Dallas; led his team to a 2021 state title). A Dallas-area legend; returns 100% of his 2025 production (3,641 yds, 26 TD, 146.6 rating, 66% completion, 3rd in the ACC in passing) for a real, proven final season.

RB1Kendrick RaphaelSr
TOP TRANSFER

Three-star signee (Naples HS, Fla.). Cal transfer (by way of NC State) and Honorable Mention All-ACC; rushed for 944 yds, 13 TD on 4.1 ypc in 2025, the clear new lead back after SMU's top two 2025 rushers departed.

WR1Room rebuilt

SMU lost its top two receivers from 2025 (just 53% returning production); confirm specific 2026 starters as the receiving corps is rebuilt around Jennings.

OFFENSIVE LINE

2026 PROJECTED
Line with real continuity at centerOL

Returns 3 starters (99% continuity at center specifically per roster metrics), a real point of stability protecting Jennings' final season.

HANDICAPPING NOTE — O-LINE

  • Real, near-total continuity at center behind an elite returning QB is a genuine positive, even with skill-position turnover elsewhere on offense.

DEFENSIVE LINE

2026 PROJECTED
Front seven under Crum/HunleyDL

Benefits from second-year continuity under the co-DC pairing, part of a defense that helped anchor SMU's back-to-back ACC-contending seasons.

LINEBACKERS

2026 PROJECTED
  • SMU's linebacker corps returns under the same co-defensive coordinator pairing (Maurice Crum Jr., Rickey Hunley Jr.) for a second straight season — real, proven continuity on a defense that helped carry the program through two straight strong ACC campaigns.

DEFENSIVE BACKS

2026 PROJECTED
Secondary under continuity

Also benefits from second-year coordinator stability; specific 2026 starters to be confirmed closer to Week 1.

DB

staff

SPECIAL TEAMS

KICKING, PUNTING & RETURN GAME
  • Overall: No major specialist storylines flagged for 2026. With Jennings back for a real, proven final season and a top-10 coaching investment locked in through 2032, SMU enters 2026 as one of the ACC's most stable, well-positioned programs.

Betting profile — vs. the number

2025 ATS

6-7

46.2% cover rate — 45th of 82

2025 Straight up

9-4

Point differential +152

Scoring environment

52.8

Combined points per game — 36th highest of 82

Home / road ATS

3-3 · 2-4

Totals 4-9 O/U (1-5 home, 3-3 road)

Points scored / allowed

32.2 per game scored (18th) · 20.5 allowed (26th)

Margin & schedule

Margin of victory +11.7 (18th) · Strength of schedule -0.9

  • Home / road: Home 3-3 ATS, road 2-4 ATS (neutral-site games excluded).
  • Home / road: Totals 4-9 O/U — 1-5 at home, 3-3 on the road.
  • Trend: 2025 ATS 6-7 (46.2% cover rate) across 13 games.
  • Trend: Averaged 32.2 points and allowed 20.5, a 52.8 combined per-game scoring environment.

Power ratings — strength against the field

SRS power rating

+10.1

18th of 82 — projected points vs. a league-average team on a neutral field

Offensive SRS

+4

35th of 82

Defensive SRS

+5

29th of 82

Points (margin of victory)

+11.7 · 18th of 82

Against the spread

6-7 (46.2%) · 45th of 82

Totals (combined PPG)

52.8 · 36th of 82

Computed from CollegeFootballData 2025 results and closing consensus lines.

Notes

Saved Just J research for SMU.

Personnel

A real, market-driven retention fight the program won

Arkansas (Lashlee's alma mater) showed "legitimate interest" during a cycle with 11 total openings; SMU responded with a deal reportedly in the top 10 nationally — a genuine financial statement for a private-school program.

Quarterback

Elite, proven QB continuity anchors 2026

Kevin Jennings, a Dallas-area legend who led South Oak Cliff to a state title, returns for his final season after throwing for 3,641 yds, 26 TD in 2025 (3rd in the ACC) — real, established production.

Quarterback

Real regression in two specific spots to track

SMU returns just 62% of its rushing production and 53% of its receiving production after losing its top two players at each spot — a real, quantifiable gap around an otherwise-elite returning quarterback.

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