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ACC FOOTBALL COMPANION GUIDE • ALPHABETICAL 12 OF 17

SMU MUSTANGS

2026 Season Snapshot • Dallas, Texas

9–4 (6–2 ACC)

ACC

2026 Schedule

Live schedule, lines and results for SMU.

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HEAD COACH

HANDICAPPING PROFILE

HEAD COACH

Rhett Lashlee — 5th season at SMU

LIFETIME COACHING RECORD

38–16 at SMU

A former Arkansas quarterback and offensive coordinator at Auburn, UConn, SMU, and Miami before taking over the Mustangs in 2022. Delivered an AAC title (2023), then guided SMU's first-ever ACC season directly to the CFP (2024, 11 wins — the program's best total since 1982) and a Holiday Bowl win in 2025 — a real, historic restoration that made him a target for multiple Power 4 openings before SMU locked him up.

SMU ATS RECORD

No single published career ATS figure

2025 finished 9-4 (6-2 ACC), capped by a Holiday Bowl win over Arizona — SMU's first bowl win in the Lashlee era, ending a real, specific bowl-win drought Lashlee himself referenced pregame. A real, if slightly less dominant, follow-up to the 2024 CFP season.

HEAD COACH SALARY (2026)

Top-10 nationally (exact

TEAM NIL VALUATION (EST.)

Not disclosed

PRIMARY NIL COLLECTIVE

Not publicly named

figure undisclosed) Coach salary per ESPN/On3 (2-yr extension through 2032, finalized Oct. 31, 2025, reportedly making Lashlee one of the 10 highest-paid coaches in the country; his 2025 salary before the extension ranked 65th nationally at just over $2.5M). SMU is a private school and has not disclosed exact figures or a team NIL number.

HANDICAPPING NOTES

  • A real, market-driven retention fight the program won: Arkansas (Lashlee's alma mater) showed "legitimate interest" during a cycle with 11 total openings; SMU responded with a deal reportedly in the top 10 nationally — a genuine financial statement for a private-school program.
  • Elite, proven QB continuity anchors 2026: Kevin Jennings, a Dallas-area legend who led South Oak Cliff to a state title, returns for his final season after throwing for 3,641 yds, 26 TD in 2025 (3rd in the ACC) — real, established production.
  • Real regression in two specific spots to track: SMU returns just 62% of its rushing production and 53% of its receiving production after losing its top two players at each spot — a real, quantifiable gap around an otherwise-elite returning quarterback.

COORDINATORS & SCHEME

OFFENSE / DEFENSE

OFFENSIVE COORDINATOR

Rob Likens • Garin Justice — 4th/3rd season (co-OCs) • Spread

Enter year four/three with Jennings fully entrenched after a dramatic Week 3 benching of Preston Stone in 2024 that permanently changed the QB pecking order. Must replace SMU's top two rushers and top two receivers from 2025 — a real, specific rebuild around an elite, proven passer.

DEFENSIVE COORDINATOR

Maurice Crum Jr. • Rickey Hunley Jr. — 2nd season (co- DCs) • 4-2-5

Enter year two with real system continuity after helping anchor SMU's second straight ACC-contending season.

2025 SEASON RECAP

RECORD & VENUE NOTES

2025 RECORD

9–4 (6–2 ACC)

Trust & Will Holiday Bowl: W 24-19 vs. Arizona. Jennings threw a season- best 4 TD at Syracuse and torched then-No. 10 Miami for 365 yards — real, signature performances in SMU's second straight strong ACC season.

HOME FIELD

Gerald J. Ford Stadium

Artificial turf (FieldTurf), Dallas. A program that's gone from AAC also-ran to back-to-back real ACC contenders under Lashlee — SMU's fastest rise to national relevance in decades, now backed by a top-10 coaching investment.

PRIMARY SKILL PLAYERS

2026 PROJECTED STARTERS
QB1Kevin JenningsSr★★★★★

Three-star signee (South Oak Cliff HS, Dallas; led his team to a 2021 state title). A Dallas-area legend; returns 100% of his 2025 production (3,641 yds, 26 TD, 146.6 rating, 66% completion, 3rd in the ACC in passing) for a real, proven final season.

RB1Kendrick RaphaelSr★★★★★
TOP TRANSFER

Three-star signee (Naples HS, Fla.). Cal transfer (by way of NC State) and Honorable Mention All-ACC; rushed for 944 yds, 13 TD on 4.1 ypc in 2025, the clear new lead back after SMU's top two 2025 rushers departed.

WR1Room rebuilt—★★★★★

SMU lost its top two receivers from 2025 (just 53% returning production); confirm specific 2026 starters as the receiving corps is rebuilt around Jennings.

OFFENSIVE LINE

2026 PROJECTED
Line with real continuity at centerOL—★★★★★

Returns 3 starters (99% continuity at center specifically per roster metrics), a real point of stability protecting Jennings' final season.

HANDICAPPING NOTE — O-LINE

  • Real, near-total continuity at center behind an elite returning QB is a genuine positive, even with skill-position turnover elsewhere on offense.

DEFENSIVE LINE

2026 PROJECTED
Front seven under Crum/HunleyDL

Benefits from second-year continuity under the co-DC pairing, part of a defense that helped anchor SMU's back-to-back ACC-contending seasons.

LINEBACKERS

2026 PROJECTED
  • SMU's linebacker corps returns under the same co-defensive coordinator pairing (Maurice Crum Jr., Rickey Hunley Jr.) for a second straight season — real, proven continuity on a defense that helped carry the program through two straight strong ACC campaigns.

DEFENSIVE BACKS

2026 PROJECTED
Secondary under continuity—

Also benefits from second-year coordinator stability; specific 2026 starters to be confirmed closer to Week 1.

—DB★★★★★

staff—

SPECIAL TEAMS

KICKING, PUNTING & RETURN GAME
  • Overall: No major specialist storylines flagged for 2026. With Jennings back for a real, proven final season and a top-10 coaching investment locked in through 2032, SMU enters 2026 as one of the ACC's most stable, well-positioned programs.

Betting profile — vs. the number

2025 ATS

6-7

46.2% cover rate — 45th of 82

2025 Straight up

9-4

Point differential +152

Scoring environment

52.8

Combined points per game — 36th highest of 82

Home / road ATS

3-3 · 2-4

Totals 4-9 O/U (1-5 home, 3-3 road)

Points scored / allowed

32.2 per game scored (18th) · 20.5 allowed (26th)

Margin & schedule

Margin of victory +11.7 (18th) · Strength of schedule -0.9

  • Home / road: Home 3-3 ATS, road 2-4 ATS (neutral-site games excluded).
  • Home / road: Totals 4-9 O/U — 1-5 at home, 3-3 on the road.
  • Trend: 2025 ATS 6-7 (46.2% cover rate) across 13 games.
  • Trend: Averaged 32.2 points and allowed 20.5, a 52.8 combined per-game scoring environment.

Power ratings — strength against the field

SRS power rating

+10.1

18th of 82 — projected points vs. a league-average team on a neutral field

Offensive SRS

+4

35th of 82

Defensive SRS

+5

29th of 82

Points (margin of victory)

+11.7 · 18th of 82

Against the spread

6-7 (46.2%) · 45th of 82

Totals (combined PPG)

52.8 · 36th of 82

Computed from CollegeFootballData 2025 results and closing consensus lines.

Notes

Saved Just J research for SMU.

Personnel

A real, market-driven retention fight the program won

Arkansas (Lashlee's alma mater) showed "legitimate interest" during a cycle with 11 total openings; SMU responded with a deal reportedly in the top 10 nationally — a genuine financial statement for a private-school program.

Quarterback

Elite, proven QB continuity anchors 2026

Kevin Jennings, a Dallas-area legend who led South Oak Cliff to a state title, returns for his final season after throwing for 3,641 yds, 26 TD in 2025 (3rd in the ACC) — real, established production.

Quarterback

Real regression in two specific spots to track

SMU returns just 62% of its rushing production and 53% of its receiving production after losing its top two players at each spot — a real, quantifiable gap around an otherwise-elite returning quarterback.

Notes are maintained in the Admin area — no code changes required.