WASHINGTON COMMANDERS
NFC East•5-12 SU · 7-10 ATS•FedExField
2026 Just J Football Companion profile
Schedule
Next up · Week 1
at Philadelphia Eagles
Sun 9/13 · 4:25 PM
2026 schedule
- Wk 1at Philadelphia EaglesSpread —Total —Sun 9/13 · 4:25 PM
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- Wk 2at Dallas CowboysSpread —Total —Sun 9/20 · 4:25 PM
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- Wk 3vs Seattle SeahawksSpread —Total —Sun 9/27 · 1:00 PM
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- Wk 4vs Indianapolis Colts (London)Spread —Total —Sun 10/4 · 9:30 AM
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- Wk 5vs New York GiantsSpread —Total —Sun 10/11 · 1:00 PM
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- Wk 6at San Francisco 49ersSpread —Total —Mon 10/19 · 8:15 PM
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- Wk 7Bye week
- Wk 8vs Philadelphia EaglesSpread —Total —Sun 11/1 · 8:20 PM
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- Wk 9vs Los Angeles RamsSpread —Total —Sun 11/8 · 1:00 PM
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- Wk 10at New York GiantsSpread —Total —Thu 11/12 · 8:15 PM
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- Wk 11vs Cincinnati BengalsSpread —Total —Mon 11/23 · 8:15 PM
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- Wk 12at Arizona CardinalsSpread —Total —Sun 11/29 · 4:25 PM
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- Wk 13at Tennessee TitansSpread —Total —Sun 12/6 · 1:00 PM
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- Wk 14vs Houston TexansSpread —Total —Sun 12/13 · 1:00 PM
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- Wk 15vs Atlanta FalconsSpread —Total —Sun 12/20 · 1:00 PM
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- Wk 16at Minnesota VikingsSpread —Total —
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- Wk 17at Jacksonville JaguarsSpread —Total —
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- Wk 18vs Dallas CowboysSpread —Total —
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Every game gets a JustJ pick — ATS side and total. Posted numbers are used the moment books hang them; until then the pick is quoted on the JustJ line and refreshes each week.
Schedule & market notes
- Bye: Week 7 — a mid-season bye, giving a roughly even split on either side.
- Short-week / non-Sunday games: 1 Thursday, 2 Monday — short-rest games carry their own well-documented ATS variance, worth flagging on your calendar as they approach.
- International game(s): Week 4 vs Indianapolis Colts (London) — a true road game with no home-field advantage and real short-week/travel logistics even when technically the “home” team.
53-MAN ROSTER
Handicapping
Betting profile — vs. the number
2025 ATS
7-10
41.2% cover rate — 26th of 32
2025 Straight up
5-12
Point differential -95
Scoring environment
47.5
Combined points per game — 14th highest of 32
Home venue
Grass
FedExField
Points scored / allowed
20.9 per game scored (23rd) · 26.5 allowed (27th)
Margin & schedule
Margin of victory -5.6 (27th) · Strength of schedule -0.1
- Trend: Laremy Tunsil's camp triceps injury clouds the O-line outlook early; Jayden Daniels's health is the swing factor for every Washington number this season.
- Trend: Washington's pass defense allowed the NFL's 30th-most yards per attempt and a 29th-ranked touchdown rate in 2025 — a real, specific weakness for opponents to attack until the retooled secondary proves otherwise.
Power ratings — strength against the field
SRS power rating
-5.7
27th of 32 — projected points vs. a league-average team on a neutral field
Offensive SRS
-2.1
24th of 32
Defensive SRS
-3.6
28th of 32
Points (margin of victory)
-5.6 · 27th of 32
Against the spread
7-10 (41.2%) · 26th of 32
Totals (combined PPG)
47.5 · 14th of 32
Turnover differential -13 · 2025 results, Just J Football Companion / Pro-Football-Reference.
Power ratings & 2025 results
- 2025 record: 5-12-0 — Points For 356, Points Against 451 (differential -95).
- Margin of Victory: -5.6 pts/game — the average scoring margin across all 2025 games, win or lose.
- Strength of Schedule (SoS): -0.1 — Pro-Football-Reference's SRS-based measure of 2025 opponent quality; positive means a tougher slate than average.
- SRS (power rating): -5.7 — Simple Rating System score, which converts directly to a projected point spread on a neutral field against a leagueaverage team.
- Offensive SRS: -2.1 · Defensive SRS: -3.6 — the SRS power rating split into offensive and defensive components; higher offensive and higher defensive figures are both better.
- Turnover differential: -13 — total takeaways minus giveaways across the 2025 season, one of the more volatile year-to-year metrics and worth weighing against the rest of this profile rather than on its own.
League-wide unit ranks
Offensive Line
32
Defensive Line / Front Seven
25
Added Odafe Oweh and K'Lavon Chaisson off edge; interior beyond Tim Settle is a concern
Linebackers
14
Frankie Luvu looking to bounce back plus rookie Sonny Styles (7th overall pick)
Defensive Backs / Secondary
—
Special Teams
—
Kicker: Jake Moody
Overall Offense
24
Offensive SRS: -2.1
Overall Defense
28
Defensive SRS: -3.6
Handicapping notes
- Grass: FedExField — 2025: 5-12 straight-up, 7-10 against the spread.
- : Laremy Tunsil's camp triceps injury clouds the O-line outlook early; Jayden Daniels's health is the swing factor for every Washington number this season.
- : Washington's pass defense allowed the NFL's 30th-most yards per attempt and a 29th-ranked touchdown rate in 2025 — a real, specific weakness for opponents to attack until the retooled secondary proves otherwise.
Pro Bowlers
- Offense: None — P Tress Way was Washington's only 2025 Pro Bowl selection. (QB Jayden Daniels and WR Terry McLaurin were the club's Pro Bowlers the year prior, following the 2024 season.)
- Defense: None.
Coaches
Coaching staff
Head Coach
Dan Quinn
3rd season
Offensive Coordinator
David Blough
1st season as OC
Offensive Line Coach
Darnell Stapleton
Defensive Coordinator
Daronte Jones
1st season
Defensive Line Coach
Eric Henderson
also run-game coordinator
Offense
Offensive unit ranks
Offensive Line Rank
22/32
Sharp Football Analysis, 2026 preseason
Key skill players
- QB1Jayden DanielsQB2
- RB1Jacory Croskey-Merrittoutside the top 40 RBs
- WR1Terry McLaurinWR21
- WR2Stefon Diggsoutside the top 40 WRs
- TE1Chig OkonkwoTE25
- TEAM DEFENSE (D/ST)Commanders D/ST
Key Offensive Line
LT Laremy TunsilOle Miss
2 yr / $60.2M extension (Mar. 2026); ~$30M AAV, the richest deal for an offensive lineman in NFL history. Note: sidelined by a torn triceps suffered in August 2026 camp — expected to miss a significant portion of the season.
RT Josh Conerly Jr.Oregon
still on his rookie contract (2025 1st-round pick). 2nd NFL season; played every snap at right tackle as a rookie, allowing an 8-sack, 6.9% pressure rate before playing markedly better over the second half of the season.
C Nick AllegrettiIllinois
returning starter, moving from left guard to center; 8th NFL season, a dependable veteran with 39 career starts who's started every game he's played the last two seasons.
Defense
Defensive unit ranks
Defensive Line Rank (front seven)
24/32
Sharp Football Analysis, 2026 preseason
Defensive efficiency
- 6.0 yards allowed per play, 30th of 32.
- 19.6% pressure rate generated (blitzed on 23.5% of dropbacks), 26th of 32.
- 47.3% opponent drive scoring rate — one of the worst scoring defenses in the league by this measure.
- 5.3% opponent drive turnover rate — one of the lower forced-turnover rates in the league.
- 131 missed tackles on the season.
Key Defensive Line
DT Daron PayneAlabama
4 yr / $90M extension; largest cap hit on the roster in 2026 (~$28M). 8th NFL season; the longtime anchor of Washington's interior defensive line.
DT Javon KinlawSouth Carolina
3 yr / $45M free-agent contract (2025). 6th NFL season; part of the top-three snap-taking trio (with Payne and Newton) that returns up front for 2026.
DT Jer'Zhan NewtonIllinois
still on his rookie contract (2024 2nd-round pick). 3rd NFL season; part of a run defense the team specifically targeted for improvement after finishing bottom-tier against the run in 2025.
Key Linebackers
LB Frankie LuvuWashington State
returning starter and the most versatile piece in the linebacker room; 7th NFL season, though he's coming off his least productive season as a pass rusher since 2021 (11.7% pressure rate, 3 sacks).
Edge/LB Odafe OwehPenn State
free-agent addition; 6th NFL season, brought in to add juice to a pass rush that's been a defensive priority this offseason.
LB Jordan MageeTemple
still on his rookie contract (2024 5th-round pick). 3rd NFL season; got his first extended defensive run as the third linebacker in 2025 and returns in a similar role.
Key Defensive Backs
CB Trey AmosOle Miss
still on his rookie contract (2025 2nd-round pick). 2nd NFL season; part of a cornerback room now built around the team's recent second-round investments after Marshon Lattimore's departure.
CB Mike SainristilMichigan
still on his rookie contract (2025 2nd-round pick). 2nd NFL season; the other half of Washington's young cornerback duo alongside Amos.
S Quan MartinIllinois
returning starting safety; 3rd NFL season, part of a Washington pass defense working to improve after allowing the NFL's 30th-most yards per attempt in 2025. NF C E AS T WASHINGTON COMMANDERS
Fantasy
Projected fantasy points per game · 2026
Standard 12-team scoring (non-PPR): 1 pt / 25 pass yds, 4 pts pass TD, -2 INT, 1 pt / 10 rush+rec yds, 6 pts TD, -2 fumble lost. Projections are modeled from each player's 2026 positional rank.
| Player | Rank | Proj FPPG | Proj season | Actual FPPG | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB1 Jayden Daniels | QB2Starter | 21.2 | 360 | — | — |
| RB1 Jacory Croskey-Merritt | outside the top 40 RBs | — | — | — | — |
| WR1 Terry McLaurin | WR21Starter | 12.1 | 206 | — | — |
| WR2 Stefon Diggs | outside the top 40 WRs | — | — | — | — |
| TE1 Chig Okonkwo | TE25 | 5.1 | 87 | — | — |
| TEAM DEFENSE (D/ST) Commanders D/ST | — | — | — | — | — |
Season fantasy tracker
Weekly fantasy scoring for these players appears here once 2026 games go final — each week's points are graded in standard 12-team scoring and rolled into the actual FPPG above.
Environment
- Home games: outdoor stadium — late-season (Dec./Jan.) home dates carry real weather risk for passing-game and kicking volume.
- Road dome/retractable-roof games: ideal weather-neutral spots for maximum fantasy production: Wk 2 (Dallas Cowboys), Wk 12 (Arizona Cardinals), Wk 16 (Minnesota Vikings).
- 2025 recap: Jayden Daniels was a top-5 fantasy QB when healthy, but injuries limited him to seven games, capping McLaurin's and the whole offense's overall production.
- 2026 projection: A healthy Daniels is a legitimate top-2 fantasy QB with elite rushing equity to go with real passing upside. McLaurin remains a reliable WR2/3 target earner, and Stefon Diggs's arrival gives Washington a real second receiving weapon for the first time in years.
- Jayden Daniels: Pro: elite rushing floor plus real passing upside makes him a top-2 QB when healthy. Con: durability is the single biggest swing factor after a shortened 2025.
- Terry McLaurin: Pro: proven, reliable target earner in a much-improved offense. Con: target competition from Diggs's arrival could trim his overall share. NF C E AS T WASHINGTON COMMANDERS
NOTES
No notes on WASHINGTON COMMANDERS yet.