SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
NFC West•14-3 SU · 12-5 ATS•Lumen Field
2026 Just J Football Companion profile
Schedule
Next up · Week 1
vs New England Patriots
Wed 9/9 · 8:20 PM
2026 schedule
- Wk 1vs New England PatriotsSpread —Total —Wed 9/9 · 8:20 PM
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- Wk 2at Arizona CardinalsSpread —Total —Sun 9/20 · 4:25 PM
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- Wk 3at Washington CommandersSpread —Total —Sun 9/27 · 1:00 PM
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- Wk 4vs Los Angeles ChargersSpread —Total —Sun 10/4 · 4:25 PM
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- Wk 5vs San Francisco 49ersSpread —Total —Sun 10/11 · 4:25 PM
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- Wk 6at Denver BroncosSpread —Total —Thu 10/15 · 8:15 PM
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- Wk 7vs Kansas City ChiefsSpread —Total —Sun 10/25 · 8:20 PM
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- Wk 8vs Chicago BearsSpread —Total —Mon 11/2 · 8:15 PM
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- Wk 9vs Arizona CardinalsSpread —Total —Sun 11/8 · 4:25 PM
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- Wk 10at Las Vegas RaidersSpread —Total —Sun 11/15 · 4:05 PM
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- Wk 11Bye week
- Wk 12at San Francisco 49ersSpread —Total —Sun 11/29 · 4:25 PM
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- Wk 13vs Dallas CowboysSpread —Total —Mon 12/7 · 8:15 PM
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- Wk 14vs New York GiantsSpread —Total —Sun 12/13 · 4:25 PM
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- Wk 15at Philadelphia EaglesSpread —Total —Sat 12/19 · 5:00 PM
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- Wk 16vs Los Angeles RamsSpread —Total —Fri 12/25 · 8:15 PM
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- Wk 17at Carolina PanthersSpread —Total —Sun 1/3 · 1:00 PM
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- Wk 18at Los Angeles RamsSpread —Total —
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Every game gets a JustJ pick — ATS side and total. Posted numbers are used the moment books hang them; until then the pick is quoted on the JustJ line and refreshes each week.
Schedule & market notes
- Bye: Week 11 — a mid-season bye, giving a roughly even split on either side.
- Short-week / non-Sunday games: 1 Thursday, 2 Monday, 1 Friday, 1 Saturday — short-rest games carry their own well-documented ATS variance, worth flagging on your calendar as they approach.
53-MAN ROSTER
Handicapping
Betting profile — vs. the number
2025 ATS
12-5
70.6% cover rate — 3rd of 32
2025 Straight up
14-3
Point differential +191
Scoring environment
45.6
Combined points per game — 18th highest of 32
Home venue
Turf
Lumen Field
Points scored / allowed
28.4 per game scored (3rd) · 17.2 allowed (1st)
Margin & schedule
Margin of victory +11.2 (1st) · Strength of schedule +1.6
- Trend: Mike Macdonald's Super Bowl LX-winning defense returns largely intact — the best combined SU/ATS profile in the NFC West entering 2026.
- Trend: Seattle is the reigning Super Bowl champion with its core largely retained (Cross, Zabel, Williams, Witherspoon, Jones IV, Love all back or newly extended) — a rare case of a title team staying mostly intact into its title defense.
Power ratings — strength against the field
SRS power rating
+12.8
1st of 32 — projected points vs. a league-average team on a neutral field
Offensive SRS
+6.2
2nd of 32
Defensive SRS
+6.7
2nd of 32
Points (margin of victory)
+11.2 · 1st of 32
Against the spread
12-5 (70.6%) · 3rd of 32
Totals (combined PPG)
45.6 · 18th of 32
Turnover differential -3 · 2025 results, Just J Football Companion / Pro-Football-Reference.
Power ratings & 2025 results
- 2025 record: 14-3-0 — Points For 483, Points Against 292 (differential +191).
- Margin of Victory: +11.2 pts/game — the average scoring margin across all 2025 games, win or lose.
- Strength of Schedule (SoS): +1.6 — Pro-Football-Reference's SRS-based measure of 2025 opponent quality; positive means a tougher slate than average.
- SRS (power rating): +12.8 — Simple Rating System score, which converts directly to a projected point spread on a neutral field against a leagueaverage team.
- Offensive SRS: +6.2 · Defensive SRS: +6.7 — the SRS power rating split into offensive and defensive components; higher offensive and higher defensive figures are both better.
- Turnover differential: -3 — total takeaways minus giveaways across the 2025 season, one of the more volatile year-to-year metrics and worth weighing against the rest of this profile rather than on its own.
League-wide unit ranks
Offensive Line
15
Defensive Line / Front Seven
5
Byron Murphy II broke out (62 pressures, 77.3 grade); four returning players with 50+ pressures
Linebackers
4
Tyrice Knight (78.8 grade, 9th at position), Drake Thomas, and Ernest Jones all graded well in 2025
Defensive Backs / Secondary
—
Special Teams
—
Kicker: Jason Myers
Overall Offense
2
Offensive SRS: +6.2
Overall Defense
2
Defensive SRS: +6.7
Handicapping notes
- Turf: Lumen Field — 2025: 14-3 straight-up, 12-5 against the spread.
- : Mike Macdonald's Super Bowl LX-winning defense returns largely intact — the best combined SU/ATS profile in the NFC West entering 2026.
- : Seattle is the reigning Super Bowl champion with its core largely retained (Cross, Zabel, Williams, Witherspoon, Jones IV, Love all back or newly extended) — a rare case of a title team staying mostly intact into its title defense.
Pro Bowlers
- Offense: QB Sam Darnold, WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba, RS Rashid Shaheed
- Defense: Edge DeMarcus Lawrence, CB Devon Witherspoon, DT Leonard Williams
Coaches
Coaching staff
Head Coach
Mike Macdonald
3rd season
Offensive Coordinator
Brian Fleury
1st season
Offensive Line Coach
John Benton
Defensive Coordinator
Aden Durde
3rd season
Defensive Line Coach
Aden Durde oversees the line directly; no separate DL position coach listed
Offense
Offensive unit ranks
Offensive Line Rank
9/32
Sharp Football Analysis, 2026 preseason
Key skill players
- QB1Sam DarnoldQB25
- RB1Zach CharbonnetRB20 range
- WR1Jaxon Smith-Njigba(2025 NFL Offensive Player of the Year, First-team All- Pro, receiving yards leader)WR3
- WR2Rashid Shaheedoutside the top 50 WRs
- TE1AJ BarnerTE26
- TEAM DEFENSE (D/ST)Seahawks D/ST
Key Offensive Line
LT Charles CrossMississippi State
4 yr / $104.4M extension (2026), $75M guaranteed; ~$26.1M AAV. 5th NFL season; a 2022 No. 9 overall pick who's missed just three games in his career and started every game for Seattle's Super Bowl LX-winning team.
LG Grey ZabelNorth Dakota State
still on his rookie contract (2025 1st-round pick); named to the PFWA All-Rookie team. 2nd NFL season; a standout rookie year has him in line for an even bigger sophomore season.
RT Abraham LucasWashington State
returning starter; 5th NFL season, part of a line that started the same four linemen every game — including the playoffs — in 2025.
Defense
Defensive unit ranks
Defensive Line Rank (front seven)
5/32
Sharp Football Analysis, 2026 preseason
Defensive efficiency
- 4.6 yards allowed per play, 2nd of 32.
- 26.1% pressure rate generated (blitzed on 19.3% of dropbacks), 6th of 32.
- 28.7% opponent drive scoring rate — one of the best scoring defenses in the league by this measure.
- 12.8% opponent drive turnover rate — roughly league-average.
- 110 missed tackles on the season.
Key Defensive Line
DT Leonard WilliamsUSC
3 yr / $64.5M contract (2024); ~$21.5M AAV, in extension talks entering the final year of the deal. 12th NFL season; a 2025 Second-team All-Pro and ESPN's top-ranked defensive tackle in the league heading into 2026.
DT Byron Murphy IITexas
still on his rookie contract (2024 1st-round pick). 3rd NFL season; posted 7 sacks in 2025 as part of a dominant interior rotation, with more growth expected at just 23 years old.
Edge DeMarcus LawrenceBoise State
veteran addition, re-signed after considering retirement. 13th NFL season; turned 34 this offseason, so some regression is possible, but he remains a productive full-time starter off the edge.
Key Linebackers
LB Ernest Jones IVSouth Carolina
emerged as one of the league's top linebackers and a defensive leader on Seattle's Super Bowl LX championship team; 6th NFL season.
LB Tyrice KnightUTEP
still on his rookie-era contract; 3rd NFL season, a standout performer in the 2026 preseason opener who's pushing for a bigger role.
Edge/LB Derick HallAuburn
recently extended; 4th NFL season, accumulated significant pressure totals in 2025 playing roughly half the defensive snaps.
Key Defensive Backs
CB Devon WitherspoonIllinois
agreed to a contract extension in August 2026; 4th NFL season, a Pro Bowler ranked among the best cornerbacks in football (4th per ESPN's position rankings).
CB Josh JobeAlabama
returning starter opposite Witherspoon; 5th NFL season, part of a cornerback room GM John Schneider has called well set at the top with a battle for the third spot behind them.
S Julian LoveNotre Dame
3 yr / $36M extension; ~$12M AAV. 8th NFL season; the team's Walter Payton NFL Man of the Year nominee for Seattle's Super Bowl LX-winning season, and a key veteran leader in the secondary. NF C WE ST SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
Fantasy
Projected fantasy points per game · 2026
Standard 12-team scoring (non-PPR): 1 pt / 25 pass yds, 4 pts pass TD, -2 INT, 1 pt / 10 rush+rec yds, 6 pts TD, -2 fumble lost. Projections are modeled from each player's 2026 positional rank.
| Player | Rank | Proj FPPG | Proj season | Actual FPPG | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB1 Sam Darnold | QB25 | 13.8 | 235 | — | — |
| RB1 Zach Charbonnet | RB20 range | — | — | — | — |
| WR1 Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR3Starter | 16.1 | 274 | — | — |
| WR2 Rashid Shaheed | outside the top 50 WRs | — | — | — | — |
| TE1 AJ Barner | TE26 | 4.8 | 82 | — | — |
| TEAM DEFENSE (D/ST) Seahawks D/ST | — | — | — | — | — |
Season fantasy tracker
Weekly fantasy scoring for these players appears here once 2026 games go final — each week's points are graded in standard 12-team scoring and rolled into the actual FPPG above.
Environment
- Home games: outdoor stadium — late-season (Dec./Jan.) home dates carry real weather risk for passing-game and kicking volume.
- Road dome/retractable-roof games: ideal weather-neutral spots for maximum fantasy production: Wk 2 (Arizona Cardinals), Wk 10 (Las Vegas Raiders), Wk 18 (Los Angeles Rams).
- 2025 recap: Jaxon Smith-Njigba won NFL Offensive Player of the Year and was a top-3 fantasy WR, Sam Darnold had a career year, and the RB room stayed committee-based between Charbonnet and Walker.
- 2026 projection: Smith-Njigba remains an elite top-3 WR lock. Darnold projects as a solid streaming QB2 with real upside. Charbonnet inherits a clearer lead-back role after Kenneth Walker III's departure in free agency.
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Pro: elite, locked-in target volume as a true WR1. Con: minimal — an every-week must-start.
- Sam Darnold: Pro: a proven, efficient system with a bona fide WR1. Con: has had inconsistent seasons in the past; a full repeat is not guaranteed.
- Zach Charbonnet: Pro: clearer path to lead-back work after Walker's exit. Con: has to prove he can handle a true workhorse role. NF C WE ST SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
NOTES
No notes on SEATTLE SEAHAWKS yet.