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SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS

NFC West•12-5 SU · 11-6 ATS•Levi's Stadium

2026 Just J Football Companion profile

2026 SEASON SO FAR

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Schedule

2026 schedule

Wk 1@ LOSThu 9/10 · 8:35 PM
Wk 2vs MIASun 9/20 · 4:25 PM
Wk 3vs ARISun 9/27 · 4:05 PM
Wk 4vs DENSun 10/4 · 4:25 PM
Wk 5@ SEASun 10/11 · 4:25 PM
Wk 6vs WASMon 10/19 · 8:15 PM
Wk 7@ ATLSun 10/25 · 1:00 PM
Wk 8—ByeTBD
Wk 9vs LVSun 11/8 · 4:05 PM
Wk 10@ DALSun 11/15 · 4:25 PM
Wk 11vs MINSun 11/22 · 8:20 PM
Wk 12vs SEASun 11/29 · 4:25 PM
Wk 13@ NYGSun 12/6 · 1:00 PM
Wk 14vs LARSun 12/13 · 4:25 PM
Wk 15@ LACThu 12/17 · 8:15 PM
Wk 16@ KCSun 12/27 · 4:25 PM
Wk 17vs PHISun 1/3 · 8:20 PM
Wk 18@ ARITBD
  • Wk 1at Los Angeles Rams (Melbourne)Spread —Total —Thu 9/10 · 8:35 PM
  • Wk 2vs Miami DolphinsSpread —Total —Sun 9/20 · 4:25 PM
  • Wk 3vs Arizona CardinalsSpread —Total —Sun 9/27 · 4:05 PM
  • Wk 4vs Denver BroncosSpread —Total —Sun 10/4 · 4:25 PM
  • Wk 5at Seattle SeahawksSpread —Total —Sun 10/11 · 4:25 PM
  • Wk 6vs Washington CommandersSpread -7.5Total 51.5Mon 10/19 · 8:15 PM
    JustJ pickSpread WAS +7.5 ★★★★★1 out of 5Totals Lean UNDERJust J Line -6.5 · Edge Rating 1.0 — Lean · DK Total 51.5 · Just J Total 50 · Signals Prime time

    Matchup context

    Season to date · ▲▼ vs league avg

    TeamRZ TD%RZ TD% allowExpl%Expl% allowSack% allowSack% genPlays/G
    WAS———————
    SF———————
    Lg avg———————

    Context only — doesn't change the Just J Total.

    Fire Plays
  • Wk 7at Atlanta FalconsSpread —Total —Sun 10/25 · 1:00 PM
  • Wk 8Bye week
  • Wk 9vs Las Vegas RaidersSpread —Total —Sun 11/8 · 4:05 PM
  • Wk 10at Dallas CowboysSpread —Total —Sun 11/15 · 4:25 PM
  • Wk 11vs Minnesota Vikings (Mexico City)Spread —Total —Sun 11/22 · 8:20 PM
  • Wk 12vs Seattle SeahawksSpread —Total —Sun 11/29 · 4:25 PM
  • Wk 13at New York GiantsSpread —Total —Sun 12/6 · 1:00 PM
  • Wk 14vs Los Angeles RamsSpread —Total —Sun 12/13 · 4:25 PM
  • Wk 15at Los Angeles ChargersSpread —Total —Thu 12/17 · 8:15 PM
  • Wk 16at Kansas City ChiefsSpread —Total —Sun 12/27 · 4:25 PM
  • Wk 17vs Philadelphia EaglesSpread —Total —Sun 1/3 · 8:20 PM
  • Wk 18at Arizona CardinalsSpread —Total —

JustJ picks are only posted for the current week's slate — see the full sheet on the Picks page.

Schedule & market notes

  • Bye: Week 8 — a mid-season bye, giving a roughly even split on either side.
  • Short-week / non-Sunday games: 2 Thursday, 1 Monday — short-rest games carry their own well-documented ATS variance, worth flagging on your calendar as they approach.
  • International game(s): Week 1 at Los Angeles Rams (Melbourne); Week 11 vs Minnesota Vikings (Mexico City) — a true road game with no homefield advantage and real short-week/travel logistics even when technically the “home” team.

53-MAN ROSTER

Loading the current active roster…

Handicapping

Betting profile — vs. the number

2025 ATS

11-6

64.7% cover rate — 5th of 32

2025 Straight up

12-5

Point differential +66

Scoring environment

47.5

Combined points per game — 13th highest of 32

Home venue

Grass

Levi's Stadium

Points scored / allowed

25.7 per game scored (10th) · 21.8 allowed (13th)

Margin & schedule

Margin of victory +3.9 (9th) · Strength of schedule +2.1

  • Trend: Kyle Shanahan's offense reloaded around free-agent addition Mike Evans with McCaffrey and Kittle back healthy — a proven system worth trusting in a full-strength year.
  • Trend: San Francisco battled a wave of major injuries in 2025 (Purdy, Warner, Bosa, Kittle, Pearsall, Mykel Williams all missed significant time) — a genuinely healthier roster in 2026 could play meaningfully better than last year's results suggest.

Power ratings — strength against the field

SRS power rating

+6

5th of 32 — projected points vs. a league-average team on a neutral field

Offensive SRS

+3.7

9th of 32

Defensive SRS

+2.3

9th of 32

Points (margin of victory)

+3.9 · 9th of 32

Against the spread

11-6 (64.7%) · 5th of 32

Totals (combined PPG)

47.5 · 13th of 32

Turnover differential -6 · 2025 results, Just J Football Companion / Pro-Football-Reference.

Power ratings & 2025 results

  • 2025 record: 12-5-0 — Points For 437, Points Against 371 (differential +66).
  • Margin of Victory: +3.9 pts/game — the average scoring margin across all 2025 games, win or lose.
  • Strength of Schedule (SoS): +2.1 — Pro-Football-Reference's SRS-based measure of 2025 opponent quality; positive means a tougher slate than average.
  • SRS (power rating): +6.0 — Simple Rating System score, which converts directly to a projected point spread on a neutral field against a leagueaverage team.
  • Offensive SRS: +3.7 · Defensive SRS: +2.3 — the SRS power rating split into offensive and defensive components; higher offensive and higher defensive figures are both better.
  • Turnover differential: -6 — total takeaways minus giveaways across the 2025 season, one of the more volatile year-to-year metrics and worth weighing against the rest of this profile rather than on its own.

League-wide unit ranks

Offensive Line

10

Defensive Line / Front Seven

20

Added Osa Odighizuwa; group's ceiling depends on Nick Bosa's health after season-ending injury

Linebackers

1

Fred Warner (best LB in football, top-2 PFF grade 4 straight years) and Dre Greenlaw returning healthy

Defensive Backs / Secondary

—

Special Teams

—

Kicker: Eddy Pineiro

Overall Offense

9

Offensive SRS: +3.7

Overall Defense

9

Defensive SRS: +2.3

Handicapping notes

  • Grass: Levi's Stadium — 2025: 12-5 straight-up, 11-6 against the spread.
  • : Kyle Shanahan's offense reloaded around free-agent addition Mike Evans with McCaffrey and Kittle back healthy — a proven system worth trusting in a full-strength year.
  • : San Francisco battled a wave of major injuries in 2025 (Purdy, Warner, Bosa, Kittle, Pearsall, Mykel Williams all missed significant time) — a genuinely healthier roster in 2026 could play meaningfully better than last year's results suggest.

Pro Bowlers

  • Offense: RB Christian McCaffrey, FB Kyle Juszczyk (10th career selection, most ever by a fullback), TE George Kittle, OT Trent Williams
  • Defense: None on defense — LB Luke Gifford and LS Jon Weeks were selected as special-teamers.

Coaches

Coaching staff

  • Head Coach

    Kyle Shanahan

    10th season

  • Offensive Coordinator

    Klay Kubiak

    2nd season; Shanahan is play-caller

  • Offensive Line Coach

    Chris Foerster

  • Defensive Coordinator

    Raheem Morris

    1st season

  • Defensive Line Coach

    Kris Kocurek

Offense

Offensive unit ranks

Offensive Line Rank

7/32

Sharp Football Analysis, 2026 preseason

Key skill players

  • QB1Brock Purdy
  • RB1Christian McCaffrey
  • WR1Mike Evans(free-agent addition from Tampa Bay)
  • WR2Ricky Pearsall
  • TE1George Kittle
  • TEAM DEFENSE (D/ST)49ers D/ST

Key Offensive Line

  • LT Trent WilliamsOklahoma

    2 yr / $50M extension (2026), $37M guaranteed; ~$25M AAV. 16th NFL season; a 12-time Pro Bowler and 4x First-team All-Pro in his last three seasons, still regarded as the league's best tackle entering his age-38 season.

  • C Jake BrendelUCLA

    returning starter; 9th NFL season, part of an offensive line that returns all five 2025 starters — a real continuity advantage entering 2026.

  • RG Dominick PuniKansas

    still on his rookie contract; extension-eligible after 2026. 3rd NFL season; a 2024 3rd-round pick who's outplayed his draft slot.

Defense

Defensive unit ranks

Defensive Line Rank (front seven)

8/32

Sharp Football Analysis, 2026 preseason

Defensive efficiency

  • 5.6 yards allowed per play, 22th of 32.
  • 16.7% pressure rate generated (blitzed on 18.3% of dropbacks), 30th of 32.
  • 38.6% opponent drive scoring rate — a middle-of-the-pack mark.
  • 8.4% opponent drive turnover rate — roughly league-average.
  • 88 missed tackles on the season.

Key Defensive Line

  • Edge Nick BosaOhio State

    5 yr / $170M extension; ~$34M AAV. 8th NFL season; working back from a torn ACL, one of the NFL's most feared pass rushers when healthy.

  • DT Osa OdighizuwaUCLA

    acquired via trade (giving up a 3rd-round pick) plus a new contract; 6th NFL season, brought in specifically to upgrade an interior pass rush that struggled in 2025.

  • DT Alfred CollinsTexas

    still on his rookie contract (2025 draft pick). 2nd NFL season; part of a retooled defensive front under new DC Raheem Morris.

Key Linebackers

  • MLB Fred WarnerBYU

    long-term veteran cornerstone; 9th NFL season, a perennial All-Pro widely regarded as the best off-ball linebacker in football, working back from a broken ankle.

  • LB Dre GreenlawArkansas

    1 yr / $7.5M re-signing (2026) after a one-year stint in Denver; 8th NFL season, reunites the 49ers' top linebacker duo alongside Warner.

  • LB Tatum BethuneFlorida State

    still on his rookie-era contract; 3rd NFL season, part of the rotation behind Warner and Greenlaw.

Key Defensive Backs

  • CB Deommodore LenoirOregon

    returning starter and San Francisco's top cornerback; 6th NFL season, a key piece of a secondary that finished among the league's best when healthy in past seasons.

  • CB Renardo GreenFlorida State

    still on his rookie contract (2024 2nd-round pick). 3rd NFL season; an up-and-down 2025 that included benchings and trade rumors, but enters 2026 with a projected starting spot and positive camp reports.

  • S Ji'Ayir BrownPenn State

    still on his rookie-era contract; 4th NFL season, a returning starter at safety in Raheem Morris's retooled scheme. NF C WE ST SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS

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