MIAMI DOLPHINS
AFC East•7-10 SU · 8-9 ATS•Hard Rock Stadium
2026 Just J Football Companion profile
2026 SEASON SO FAR
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Schedule
2026 schedule
- Wk 1at Las Vegas RaidersSpread —Total —Sun 9/13 · 4:25 PM
- Wk 2at San Francisco 49ersSpread —Total —Sun 9/20 · 4:25 PM
- Wk 3vs Kansas City ChiefsSpread —Total —Sun 9/27 · 1:00 PM
- Wk 4at Minnesota VikingsSpread —Total —Sun 10/4 · 4:05 PM
- Wk 5vs Cincinnati BengalsSpread —Total —Sun 10/11 · 1:00 PM
- Wk 6Bye week
- Wk 7at New York JetsSpread —Total —Sun 10/25 · 1:00 PM
- Wk 8vs New England PatriotsSpread —Total —Sun 11/1 · 1:00 PM
- Wk 9vs Detroit LionsSpread —Total —Sun 11/8 · 1:00 PM
- Wk 10at Indianapolis ColtsSpread —Total —Sun 11/15 · 1:00 PM
- Wk 11at Buffalo BillsSpread —Total —Sun 11/22 · 1:00 PM
- Wk 12vs New York JetsSpread —Total —Sun 11/29 · 1:00 PM
- Wk 13at Denver BroncosSpread —Total —Sun 12/6
- Wk 14vs Chicago BearsSpread —Total —Sun 12/13 · 1:00 PM
- Wk 15at Green Bay PackersSpread —Total —Sun 12/20
- Wk 16vs Los Angeles ChargersSpread —Total —Sun 12/27 · 1:00 PM
- Wk 17vs Buffalo BillsSpread —Total —Sun 1/3 · 1:00 PM
- Wk 18at New England PatriotsSpread —Total —
JustJ picks are only posted for the current week's slate — see the full sheet on the Picks page.
Schedule & market notes
- Bye: Week 6 — an early bye — a long back half of the season with no scheduled rest.
- No Thursday, Friday, Saturday, or Monday games on the slate — a full schedule of standard Sunday rest, which removes short-week variance as a factor this season.
53-MAN ROSTER
Handicapping
Betting profile — vs. the number
2025 ATS
8-9
47.1% cover rate — 21st of 32
2025 Straight up
7-10
Point differential -77
Scoring environment
45.4
Combined points per game — 19th highest of 32
Home venue
Grass
Hard Rock Stadium
Points scored / allowed
20.4 per game scored (25th) · 24.9 allowed (24th)
Margin & schedule
Margin of victory -4.5 (24th) · Strength of schedule -1.8
- Totals: Tua Tagovailoa's departure to Atlanta leaves a rebuilding QB room under new HC Jeff Hafley — real personnel uncertainty entering the season.
- Trend: The secondary was almost entirely rebuilt after trading Jalen Ramsey and losing Jevon Holland and Jordan Poyer — a legitimate downgrade to track early, especially against pass-heavy opponents.
Power ratings — strength against the field
SRS power rating
-6.3
28th of 32 — projected points vs. a league-average team on a neutral field
Offensive SRS
-3.8
26th of 32
Defensive SRS
-2.5
25th of 32
Points (margin of victory)
-4.5 · 24th of 32
Against the spread
8-9 (47.1%) · 21st of 32
Totals (combined PPG)
45.4 · 19th of 32
Turnover differential -4 · 2025 results, Just J Football Companion / Pro-Football-Reference.
Power ratings & 2025 results
- 2025 record: 7-10-0 — Points For 347, Points Against 424 (differential -77).
- Margin of Victory: -4.5 pts/game — the average scoring margin across all 2025 games, win or lose.
- Strength of Schedule (SoS): -1.8 — Pro-Football-Reference's SRS-based measure of 2025 opponent quality; positive means a tougher slate than average.
- SRS (power rating): -6.3 — Simple Rating System score, which converts directly to a projected point spread on a neutral field against a leagueaverage team.
- Offensive SRS: -3.8 · Defensive SRS: -2.5 — the SRS power rating split into offensive and defensive components; higher offensive and higher defensive figures are both better.
- Turnover differential: -4 — total takeaways minus giveaways across the 2025 season, one of the more volatile year-to-year metrics and worth weighing against the rest of this profile rather than on its own.
League-wide unit ranks
Offensive Line
25
Defensive Line / Front Seven
30
Josh Uche lone 65+ grade player; young talent (Chop Robinson, Kenneth Grant) needs to take a leap
Linebackers
7
Jordyn Brooks (92.0 run-defense grade, 3rd in NFL) with rookies Jacob Rodriguez and Trey Moore
Defensive Backs / Secondary
—
Named a unanimous worst secondary by Sharp Football Analysis; opponents completed 52% of passes 10+ yards downfield, 3rd-worst rate in NFL
Special Teams
—
Kicker: Riley Patterson
Overall Offense
26
Offensive SRS: -3.8
Overall Defense
25
Defensive SRS: -2.5
Handicapping notes
- Grass: Hard Rock Stadium — 2025: 7-10 straight-up, 8-9 against the spread.
- : Tua Tagovailoa's departure to Atlanta leaves a rebuilding QB room under new HC Jeff Hafley — real personnel uncertainty entering the season.
- : The secondary was almost entirely rebuilt after trading Jalen Ramsey and losing Jevon Holland and Jordan Poyer — a legitimate downgrade to track early, especially against pass-heavy opponents.
Pro Bowlers
- Offense: C Aaron Brewer (2025 Second-team All-Pro)
- Defense: None.
Coaches
Coaching staff
Head Coach
Jeff Hafley
1st season
Offensive Coordinator
Bobby Slowik
2nd season with team, 1st as OC
Offensive Line Coach
Zach Yesner
Defensive Coordinator
Sean Duggan
1st season
Defensive Line Coach
Austin Clark
Offense
Offensive unit ranks
Offensive Line Rank
29/32
Sharp Football Analysis, 2026 preseason
Key skill players
- QB1Malik Willis(free-agent addition from Green Bay; Tua Tagovailoa left for Atlanta this offseason)
- RB1De'Von Achane
- WR1Jalen Tolbert(free-agent addition from Dallas)
- WR2Malik Washington
- TE1Greg Dulcich
- TEAM DEFENSE (D/ST)Dolphins D/ST
Key Offensive Line
RT Austin JacksonUSC
3 yr / $36M extension, $20.7M guaranteed; ~$12M AAV. 7th NFL season; a 2020 first-round pick who's allowed just two sacks across 740 snaps protecting the blind side in his best stretch.
C Aaron BrewerTexas State
3 yr extension (2026) after his best career season; 2025 Second-team All-Pro and a finalist for the inaugural Protector of the Year Trophy. 8th NFL season.
LT Patrick PaulHouston
still on his rookie contract (2024 2nd-round pick). 3rd NFL season; part of a line OC Bobby Slowik has called large, athletic, and versatile, with the projected starting five averaging over 321 pounds.
Defense
Defensive unit ranks
Defensive Line Rank (front seven)
32/32
Sharp Football Analysis, 2026 preseason
Defensive efficiency
- 5.8 yards allowed per play, 26th of 32.
- 21.3% pressure rate generated (blitzed on 28.2% of dropbacks), 21th of 32.
- 41.4% opponent drive scoring rate — a below-average mark.
- 10.3% opponent drive turnover rate — roughly league-average.
- 112 missed tackles on the season.
Key Defensive Line
DT Zach SielerFerris State
3 yr / $67.75M extension, $44M guaranteed; ~$22.5M AAV, the team's highest-paid defensive player. 9th NFL season; the reigning team MVP with 5.5 sacks in 2025, all coming after Week 10.
Edge Chop RobinsonPenn State
still on his rookie contract (2024 1st-round pick). 3rd NFL season; now the unit's top returning edge rusher after Bradley Chubb's release, with the coaching staff expecting a major step forward after a 4-sack sophomore season.
Edge David OjaboMichigan
free-agent addition, competing with Josh Uche and rookie Trey Moore to be the bookend opposite Robinson. 5th NFL season; part of a largely rebuilt pass-rush room after Chubb's departure and Jaelan Phillips's trade to Philadelphia.
Key Linebackers
ILB Jordyn BrooksTexas Tech
signed a 3 yr extension through 2029. 7th NFL season; a 2025 First-team All-Pro who led the NFL with 183 combined tackles and was among the league's biggest Pro Bowl snubs.
ILB Tyrel DodsonTexas A&M
returning starter; 7th NFL season, posted 129 tackles, 5 sacks, and an interception in 2025 alongside Brooks.
ILB Willie Gay Jr.Mississippi State
re-signed as an unrestricted free agent; 6th NFL season, providing depth and special-teams value behind Miami's starting duo.
Key Defensive Backs
CB Jason Marshall Jr.Florida
returning starter; 3rd NFL season, part of an entirely reshuffled secondary after Jalen Ramsey's trade to Pittsburgh and multiple other departures.
CB JuJu BrentsKansas State
returning cornerback; 4th NFL season, in the mix for outside snaps in a Miami secondary rebuilt largely through free agency and the draft.
S Dante Trader Jr.Maryland
still on his rookie contract; 2nd NFL season, projected as a starting safety after Miami lost Jevon Holland and Jordan Poyer in the offseason. A FC E A ST MIAMI DOLPHINS
NOTES
No notes on MIAMI DOLPHINS yet.