LOS ANGELES RAMS
NFC West•12-5 SU · 12-5 ATS•SoFi Stadium
2026 Just J Football Companion profile
Schedule
Next up · Week 1
vs San Francisco 49ers (Melbourne)
Thu 9/10 · 8:35 PM
2026 schedule
- Wk 1vs San Francisco 49ers (Melbourne)Spread —Total —Thu 9/10 · 8:35 PM
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- Wk 2vs New York GiantsSpread —Total —Mon 9/21 · 8:15 PM
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- Wk 3at Denver BroncosSpread —Total —Sun 9/27 · 8:20 PM
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- Wk 4at Philadelphia EaglesSpread —Total —Sun 10/4 · 1:00 PM
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- Wk 5vs Buffalo BillsSpread —Total —Mon 10/12 · 8:15 PM
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- Wk 6vs Arizona CardinalsSpread —Total —Sun 10/18 · 4:05 PM
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- Wk 7at Las Vegas RaidersSpread —Total —Sun 10/25 · 4:25 PM
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- Wk 8vs Los Angeles ChargersSpread —Total —Sun 11/1 · 4:05 PM
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- Wk 9at Washington CommandersSpread —Total —Sun 11/8 · 1:00 PM
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- Wk 10at Arizona CardinalsSpread —Total —Sun 11/15 · 4:05 PM
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- Wk 11Bye week
- Wk 12vs Green Bay PackersSpread —Total —Wed 11/25 · 8:00 PM
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- Wk 13vs Kansas City ChiefsSpread —Total —Thu 12/3 · 8:15 PM
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- Wk 14at San Francisco 49ersSpread —Total —Sun 12/13 · 4:25 PM
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- Wk 15vs Dallas CowboysSpread —Total —Sun 12/20 · 4:25 PM
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- Wk 16at Seattle SeahawksSpread —Total —Fri 12/25 · 8:15 PM
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- Wk 17at Tampa Bay BuccaneersSpread —Total —
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- Wk 18vs Seattle SeahawksSpread —Total —
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Every game gets a JustJ pick — ATS side and total. Posted numbers are used the moment books hang them; until then the pick is quoted on the JustJ line and refreshes each week.
Schedule & market notes
- Bye: Week 11 — a mid-season bye, giving a roughly even split on either side.
- Short-week / non-Sunday games: 2 Thursday, 2 Monday, 1 Friday — short-rest games carry their own well-documented ATS variance, worth flagging on your calendar as they approach.
- International game(s): Week 1 vs San Francisco 49ers (Melbourne) — a true road game with no home-field advantage and real short-week/travel logistics even when technically the “home” team.
53-MAN ROSTER
Handicapping
Betting profile — vs. the number
2025 ATS
12-5
70.6% cover rate — 2nd of 32
2025 Straight up
12-5
Point differential +172
Scoring environment
50.8
Combined points per game — 5th highest of 32
Home venue
Turf
SoFi Stadium
Points scored / allowed
30.5 per game scored (1st) · 20.4 allowed (10th)
Margin & schedule
Margin of victory +10.1 (2nd) · Strength of schedule +2.4
- Trend: Matthew Stafford's MVP-caliber 2025 plus the Myles Garrett trade addition make the Rams a proven, well-rounded team on both lines — one of the best two-way cover teams in the league.
- Trend: Los Angeles is all-in for 2026, having traded significant draft capital for both Myles Garrett and Trent McDuffie — a true win-now roster with elite talent on expiring or newly maxed-out contracts.
Power ratings — strength against the field
SRS power rating
+12.5
2nd of 32 — projected points vs. a league-average team on a neutral field
Offensive SRS
+8.7
1st of 32
Defensive SRS
+3.9
5th of 32
Points (margin of victory)
+10.1 · 2nd of 32
Against the spread
12-5 (70.6%) · 2nd of 32
Totals (combined PPG)
50.8 · 5th of 32
Turnover differential +11 · 2025 results, Just J Football Companion / Pro-Football-Reference.
Power ratings & 2025 results
- 2025 record: 12-5-0 — Points For 518, Points Against 346 (differential +172).
- Margin of Victory: +10.1 pts/game — the average scoring margin across all 2025 games, win or lose.
- Strength of Schedule (SoS): +2.4 — Pro-Football-Reference's SRS-based measure of 2025 opponent quality; positive means a tougher slate than average.
- SRS (power rating): +12.5 — Simple Rating System score, which converts directly to a projected point spread on a neutral field against a leagueaverage team.
- Offensive SRS: +8.7 · Defensive SRS: +3.9 — the SRS power rating split into offensive and defensive components; higher offensive and higher defensive figures are both better.
- Turnover differential: +11 — total takeaways minus giveaways across the 2025 season, one of the more volatile year-to-year metrics and worth weighing against the rest of this profile rather than on its own.
League-wide unit ranks
Offensive Line
11
Defensive Line / Front Seven
1
Added Myles Garrett to a line that ranked 2nd in PFF grade last season, joining Byron Young and Kobie Turner (227 combined pressures)
Linebackers
18
Nate Landman solid against the run; Omar Speights has coverage question marks
Defensive Backs / Secondary
—
Traded for Trent McDuffie and added Jaylen Watson; real upside to be the league's best secondary in 2026; Kamren Curl quietly elite (led all safeties in tackles)
Special Teams
—
Kicker: Harrison Mevis
Overall Offense
1
Offensive SRS: +8.7
Overall Defense
5
Defensive SRS: +3.9
Handicapping notes
- Turf: SoFi Stadium — 2025: 12-5 straight-up, 12-5 against the spread.
- : Matthew Stafford's MVP-caliber 2025 plus the Myles Garrett trade addition make the Rams a proven, well-rounded team on both lines — one of the best two-way cover teams in the league.
- : Los Angeles is all-in for 2026, having traded significant draft capital for both Myles Garrett and Trent McDuffie — a true win-now roster with elite talent on expiring or newly maxed-out contracts.
Pro Bowlers
- Offense: QB Matthew Stafford (MVP, All-Pro), WR Puka Nacua
- Defense: Edge Jared Verse (traded to Cleveland in the Myles Garrett deal this offseason), Edge Byron Young
Coaches
Coaching staff
Head Coach
Sean McVay
10th season
Offensive Coordinator
Nate Scheelhaase
1st season as OC
Offensive Line Coach
Ryan Wendell
Defensive Coordinator
Chris Shula
3rd season
Defensive Line Coach
Giff Smith
Offense
Offensive unit ranks
Offensive Line Rank
5/32
Sharp Football Analysis, 2026 preseason
Key skill players
- QB1Matthew Stafford(2025 NFL MVP, First-team All-Pro)QB12
- RB1Kyren WilliamsRB15 range
- WR1Puka NacuaWR1
- WR2Davante AdamsWR20
- TE1Colby Parkinsonoutside the top 20 TEs
- TEAM DEFENSE (D/ST)Rams D/ST
Key Offensive Line
LT Alaric JacksonIowa
3 yr / $57M extension; ~$19M AAV. 6th NFL season; PFF's 11th-ranked tackle in 2025 (10th in run-blocking) and a key reason the Rams' offense held up amid injuries.
LG Steve AvilaTCU
still on his rookie contract (2023 2nd-round pick); entering a contract year with an extension decision looming. 4th NFL season.
RG Kevin DotsonLouisiana
entering the final year of his current contract; 7th NFL season, one of four Rams offensive linemen with expiring deals after 2026.
Defense
Defensive unit ranks
Defensive Line Rank (front seven)
3/32
Sharp Football Analysis, 2026 preseason
Defensive efficiency
- 5.2 yards allowed per play, 14th of 32.
- 26.3% pressure rate generated (blitzed on 17.7% of dropbacks), 4th of 32.
- 34.3% opponent drive scoring rate — an above-average mark.
- 14.9% opponent drive turnover rate — one of the higher forced-turnover rates in the league.
- 82 missed tackles on the season.
Key Defensive Line
Edge Myles GarrettTexas A&M
acquired via blockbuster trade from Cleveland (2026), then reworked into a new deal worth $204M over 5 years; ~$40.8M AAV, one of the highest-paid non-QBs in the NFL. Reigning 2x Defensive Player of the Year and single-season sack record holder (23.0 in 2025).
DT Kobie TurnerWake Forest
still on his rookie contract; extension-eligible after 2026. 4th NFL season; has posted at least 7 sacks and 20 pressures in each of his three seasons, with 27 career tackles for loss.
DT Braden FiskeFlorida State
still on his rookie contract (2024 1st-round pick). 3rd NFL season; part of a young interior rotation the Rams are trying to keep together amid a crowded extension queue.
Key Linebackers
Edge/OLB Byron YoungTennessee
still on his rookie contract, one year from unrestricted free agency. 4th NFL season; a 2025 Pro Bowler with 12 sacks, though 9 came in his first 7 games before a knee injury slowed him.
ILB Nate LandmanColorado
returning starter at inside linebacker; 5th NFL season, a core special-teams and run-defense piece in Chris Shula's front seven.
Edge Josaiah StewartMichigan
still on his rookie contract (2025 draft pick). 2nd NFL season; part of the rotation behind Young and Garrett that showed well on limited snaps as a rookie.
Key Defensive Backs
CB Trent McDuffieWashington
acquired via blockbuster trade from Kansas City (2026) plus a 4 yr / $124M extension; ~$31M AAV. 5th NFL season; a 2x Super Bowl champion and First-team All-Pro (2023) widely regarded as one of the NFL's best corners.
CB Jaylen WatsonWashington State
3 yr / $51M free-agent signing (2026); ~$17M AAV. 5th NFL season; followed his former Chiefs teammate McDuffie to Los Angeles to form a retooled cornerback duo.
S Quentin LakeUCLA
returning starting safety; 4th NFL season, the steady veteran presence in a Rams secondary otherwise made over this offseason. NF C WE ST LOS ANGELES RAMS
Fantasy
Projected fantasy points per game · 2026
Standard 12-team scoring (non-PPR): 1 pt / 25 pass yds, 4 pts pass TD, -2 INT, 1 pt / 10 rush+rec yds, 6 pts TD, -2 fumble lost. Projections are modeled from each player's 2026 positional rank.
| Player | Rank | Proj FPPG | Proj season | Actual FPPG | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB1 Matthew Stafford | QB12Starter | 18.0 | 306 | — | — |
| RB1 Kyren Williams | RB15 range | — | — | — | — |
| WR1 Puka Nacua | WR1Starter | 16.5 | 281 | — | — |
| WR2 Davante Adams | WR20Starter | 12.3 | 209 | — | — |
| TE1 Colby Parkinson | outside the top 20 TEs | — | — | — | — |
| TEAM DEFENSE (D/ST) Rams D/ST | — | — | — | — | — |
Season fantasy tracker
Weekly fantasy scoring for these players appears here once 2026 games go final — each week's points are graded in standard 12-team scoring and rolled into the actual FPPG above.
Environment
- Home games: played under a fixed or retractable roof — every home date is a weather-neutral, full-strength fantasy environment for this offense.
- Road dome/retractable-roof games: ideal weather-neutral spots for maximum fantasy production: Wk 7 (Las Vegas Raiders), Wk 10 (Arizona Cardinals).
- 2025 recap: Puka Nacua was a top-3 fantasy WR, Matthew Stafford had an MVP-caliber season, and Kyren Williams was a productive touchdownscoring RB in an efficient offense.
- 2026 projection: Nacua remains a top-tier WR1 lock. Stafford projects as a strong streaming/QB1-caliber play behind an elite supporting cast. Adams's arrival gives this offense a true 1-2 punch at receiver, which could siphon some volume from Nacua on a per-target basis even as the offense's overall efficiency stays elite.
- Puka Nacua: Pro: elite target volume and a true WR1 floor. Con: Davante Adams's presence could trim his target share slightly.
- Matthew Stafford: Pro: elite weapons and a proven, MVP-caliber system. Con: age and injury history remain long-term considerations.
- Kyren Williams: Pro: strong touchdown production in a well-designed run scheme. Con: limited receiving role caps his PPR ceiling relative to other RB1s. NF C WE ST LOS ANGELES RAMS
NOTES
No notes on LOS ANGELES RAMS yet.