LOS ANGELES CHARGERS
AFC West•11-6 SU · 8-8-1 ATS•SoFi Stadium
2026 Just J Football Companion profile
Schedule
Next up · Week 1
vs Arizona Cardinals
Sun 9/13 · 4:25 PM
2026 schedule
- Wk 1vs Arizona CardinalsSpread —Total —Sun 9/13 · 4:25 PM
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- Wk 2vs Las Vegas RaidersSpread —Total —Sun 9/20 · 4:05 PM
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- Wk 3at Buffalo BillsSpread —Total —Sun 9/27 · 1:00 PM
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- Wk 4at Seattle SeahawksSpread —Total —Sun 10/4 · 4:25 PM
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- Wk 5vs Denver BroncosSpread —Total —Sun 10/11 · 4:05 PM
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- Wk 6at Kansas City ChiefsSpread —Total —Sun 10/18 · 4:25 PM
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- Wk 7Bye week
- Wk 8at Los Angeles RamsSpread —Total —Sun 11/1 · 4:05 PM
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- Wk 9vs Houston TexansSpread —Total —Sun 11/8 · 4:05 PM
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- Wk 10at Baltimore RavensSpread —Total —Mon 11/16 · 8:15 PM
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- Wk 11vs New York JetsSpread —Total —Sun 11/22 · 4:05 PM
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- Wk 12vs New England PatriotsSpread —Total —Sun 11/29 · 8:20 PM
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- Wk 13vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersSpread —Total —Sun 12/13
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- Wk 14vs TBDSpread —Total —
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- Wk 15vs San Francisco 49ersSpread —Total —Thu 12/17 · 8:15 PM
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- Wk 16vs TBDSpread —Total —
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- Wk 17vs TBDSpread —Total —
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- Wk 18at Denver BroncosSpread —Total —
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Every game gets a JustJ pick — ATS side and total. Posted numbers are used the moment books hang them; until then the pick is quoted on the JustJ line and refreshes each week.
Schedule & market notes
- Bye: Week 7 — a mid-season bye, giving a roughly even split on either side.
- Short-week / non-Sunday games: 1 Thursday, 1 Monday — short-rest games carry their own well-documented ATS variance, worth flagging on your calendar as they approach.
53-MAN ROSTER
Handicapping
Betting profile — vs. the number
2025 ATS
8-8-1
50% cover rate — 15th of 32
2025 Straight up
11-6
Point differential +28
Scoring environment
41.6
Combined points per game — 24th highest of 32
Home venue
Turf
SoFi Stadium
Points scored / allowed
21.6 per game scored (20th) · 20 allowed (9th)
Margin & schedule
Margin of victory +1.6 (14th) · Strength of schedule -0.8
- Totals: Justin Herbert and a healthy Rashawn Slater/Joe Alt tackle duo make the Chargers a candidate for positive regression under new OC Mike McDaniel.
- Trend: Herbert was pressured on an NFL-high 288 dropbacks (regular season plus playoffs) in 2025 but posted a 91.0 PFF grade when kept clean — the rebuilt offensive line's health is the single biggest swing factor for this offense.
Power ratings — strength against the field
SRS power rating
+0.8
15th of 32 — projected points vs. a league-average team on a neutral field
Offensive SRS
-1
20th of 32
Defensive SRS
+1.8
10th of 32
Points (margin of victory)
+1.6 · 14th of 32
Against the spread
8-8-1 (50%) · 15th of 32
Totals (combined PPG)
41.6 · 24th of 32
Turnover differential +2 · 2025 results, Just J Football Companion / Pro-Football-Reference.
Power ratings & 2025 results
- 2025 record: 11-6-0 — Points For 368, Points Against 340 (differential +28).
- Margin of Victory: +1.6 pts/game — the average scoring margin across all 2025 games, win or lose.
- Strength of Schedule (SoS): -0.8 — Pro-Football-Reference's SRS-based measure of 2025 opponent quality; positive means a tougher slate than average.
- SRS (power rating): +0.8 — Simple Rating System score, which converts directly to a projected point spread on a neutral field against a leagueaverage team.
- Offensive SRS: -1.0 · Defensive SRS: +1.8 — the SRS power rating split into offensive and defensive components; higher offensive and higher defensive figures are both better.
- Turnover differential: +2 — total takeaways minus giveaways across the 2025 season, one of the more volatile year-to-year metrics and worth weighing against the rest of this profile rather than on its own.
League-wide unit ranks
Offensive Line
7
Defensive Line / Front Seven
23
Khalil Mack and Tuli Tuipulotu solid on the edge; interior is the clear weakness
Linebackers
24
Denzel Perryman and Daiyan Henley both took steps back in 2025
Defensive Backs / Secondary
—
Strong pass defense numbers were significantly aided by the pass rush; coverage-only production is more middling
Special Teams
—
Kicker: Cameron Dicker
Overall Offense
20
Offensive SRS: -1.0
Overall Defense
10
Defensive SRS: +1.8
Handicapping notes
- Turf: SoFi Stadium — 2025: 11-6 straight-up, 8-8-1 against the spread.
- : Justin Herbert and a healthy Rashawn Slater/Joe Alt tackle duo make the Chargers a candidate for positive regression under new OC Mike McDaniel.
- : Herbert was pressured on an NFL-high 288 dropbacks (regular season plus playoffs) in 2025 but posted a 91.0 PFF grade when kept clean — the rebuilt offensive line's health is the single biggest swing factor for this offense.
Pro Bowlers
- Offense: QB Justin Herbert, OT Joe Alt (both First-team All-Pro/Pro Bowl honors), K Cameron Dicker (AFC starter)
- Defense: S Derwin James Jr. (5th selection), OLB Tuli Tuipulotu (1st selection)
Coaches
Coaching staff
Head Coach
Jim Harbaugh
2nd season
Offensive Coordinator
Mike McDaniel
1st season; former Dolphins head coach
Offensive Line Coach
Butch Barry
Defensive Coordinator
Chris O'Leary
1st season
Defensive Line Coach
Mike Elston Front seven returns Khalil Mack, Tuli Tuipulotu, and Derwin James; a
Offense
Offensive unit ranks
Offensive Line Rank
8/32
Sharp Football Analysis, 2026 preseason
Key skill players
- QB1Justin Herbert(2025 Pro Bowler)QB14
- RB1Omarion HamptonRB9
- WR1Ladd McConkeyoutside the top 30 WRs
- WR2Quentin Johnstonoutside the top 60 WRs
- TE1Oronde Gadsden IITE27
- TEAM DEFENSE (D/ST)Chargers D/ST
Key Offensive Line
LT Rashawn SlaterNorthwestern
4 yr / $114M extension, $92M guaranteed; ~$28.5M AAV, the highest-paid offensive lineman in NFL history at signing. 6th NFL season; a 2x Pro Bowler who missed all of 2025 with a torn patellar tendon and is back at full health.
RT Joe AltNotre Dame
still on his rookie contract (2024 1st-round pick). 3rd NFL season; First-team All-Pro and Pro Bowler in 2025 despite battling injury, now sliding back to his more natural side with Slater's return.
C Tyler BiadaszWisconsin
free-agent addition; 7th NFL season, a significant upgrade at center after grading 70.8 by PFF the year prior.
Defense
Defensive unit ranks
Defensive Line Rank
—
healthy Rashawn Slater/Joe Alt tackle duo is expected to anchor a much- improved unit
Defensive efficiency
- 5.0 yards allowed per play, 9th of 32.
- 23.6% pressure rate generated (blitzed on 19.0% of dropbacks), 15th of 32.
- 36.2% opponent drive scoring rate — a middle-of-the-pack mark.
- 11.9% opponent drive turnover rate — roughly league-average.
- 99 missed tackles on the season.
Key Defensive Line
Edge Khalil MackBuffalo
1 yr / $18M re-signing (2026); 9x Pro Bowler, 3x First-team All-Pro. 13th NFL season; at 35, still an edge-setter and tactical disruptor anchoring the front.
Edge Tuli TuipulotuUSC
still on his rookie contract. 4th NFL season; broke out with 13 sacks in 2025, earning his first Pro Bowl selection and establishing himself as the ascending motor of this unit.
DT Naquan JonesMichigan State
free-agent addition, brought in to help replace departed interior linemen Poona Ford and Morgan Fox. 5th NFL season; part of a retooled defensive tackle rotation.
Key Linebackers
ILB Daiyan HenleyWashington State
returning starter; 4th NFL season, brings sideline-to-sideline range and coverage athleticism to the middle of the defense.
Denzel Perryman (ILB, Miami (FL)) — veteran returning starter alongside Henley; 11th NFL season, a physical downhill run-game thumper and locker-room leader.
LB Troy DyeOregon
returning depth linebacker; 7th NFL season, part of the rotation behind Henley and Perryman.
Key Defensive Backs
S Derwin James Jr.Florida State
long-term veteran cornerstone; a 5x Pro Bowler and one of the most versatile, impactful safeties in the NFL. 9th NFL season; the unquestioned leader of the Chargers' defense.
CB Tarheeb StillMaryland
still on his rookie contract (2024 draft pick). 3rd NFL season; developing into a full-time starting cornerback role.
S Alohi GilmanNotre Dame
returning starting safety alongside James; 6th NFL season, a physical, reliable presence in the back end. A FC WE S T LOS ANGELES CHARGERS
Fantasy
Projected fantasy points per game · 2026
Standard 12-team scoring (non-PPR): 1 pt / 25 pass yds, 4 pts pass TD, -2 INT, 1 pt / 10 rush+rec yds, 6 pts TD, -2 fumble lost. Projections are modeled from each player's 2026 positional rank.
| Player | Rank | Proj FPPG | Proj season | Actual FPPG | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB1 Justin Herbert | QB14 | 17.3 | 294 | — | — |
| RB1 Omarion Hampton | RB9Starter | 16.1 | 274 | — | — |
| WR1 Ladd McConkey | outside the top 30 WRs | — | — | — | — |
| WR2 Quentin Johnston | outside the top 60 WRs | — | — | — | — |
| TE1 Oronde Gadsden II | TE27 | 4.4 | 75 | — | — |
| TEAM DEFENSE (D/ST) Chargers D/ST | — | — | — | — | — |
Season fantasy tracker
Weekly fantasy scoring for these players appears here once 2026 games go final — each week's points are graded in standard 12-team scoring and rolled into the actual FPPG above.
Environment
- Home games: played under a fixed or retractable roof — every home date is a weather-neutral, full-strength fantasy environment for this offense.
- Road dome/retractable-roof games: ideal weather-neutral spots for maximum fantasy production: Wk 8 (Los Angeles Rams).
- 2025 recap: Justin Herbert was efficient but pressured constantly, Omarion Hampton flashed real three-down ability as a rookie, and the receiver room lacked a true alpha target earner.
- 2026 projection: A fully healthy offensive line under new OC Mike McDaniel gives Herbert real positive-regression QB1 upside. Hampton projects as a strong RB1 in his second season. McConkey remains the top receiving option but without elite target-share certainty.
- Justin Herbert: Pro: elite arm talent behind a much-improved offensive line. Con: pressure rate has historically capped his fantasy ceiling; health up front is key.
- Omarion Hampton: Pro: real three-down role after a strong rookie debut. Con: has to prove he can handle a true workhorse workload over a full season. A FC WE S T LOS ANGELES CHARGERS
NOTES
No notes on LOS ANGELES CHARGERS yet.