INDIANAPOLIS COLTS

2026 schedule

• Wk 1BALvs Baltimore RavensSpread —Total —Sun 9/13 · 1:00 PM
• Wk 2KCat Kansas City ChiefsSpread —Total —Sun 9/20 · 8:20 PM
• Wk 3HOUvs Houston TexansSpread —Total —Sun 9/27 · 1:00 PM
• Wk 4WASat Washington Commanders (London)Spread —Total —Sun 10/4 · 9:30 AM
• Wk 5PITat Pittsburgh SteelersSpread —Total —Sun 10/11 · 1:00 PM
• Wk 6TENvs Tennessee TitansSpread -7Total 44.5Sun 10/18 · 1:00 PM
  JustJ pickSpread TEN +7.0 ★★★★★1 out of 5Totals No playJust J Line -6.5 · Edge Rating 0.5 — No Edge / Pass · DK Total 44.5 · Just J Total 44.5

  Matchup context

  Season to date · ▲▼ vs league avg

  Team	RZ TD%	RZ TD% allow	Expl%	Expl% allow	Sack% allow	Sack% gen	Plays/G
  TEN	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
  IND	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
  Lg avg	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

  Context only — doesn't change the Just J Total.

  Fire Plays
• Wk 7MINat Minnesota VikingsSpread —Total —Sun 10/25 · 1:00 PM
• Wk 8JAXat Jacksonville JaguarsSpread —Total —Sun 11/1 · 1:00 PM
• Wk 9DALvs Dallas CowboysSpread —Total —Sun 11/8 · 1:00 PM
• Wk 10MIAvs Miami DolphinsSpread —Total —Sun 11/15 · 1:00 PM
• Wk 11HOUat Houston TexansSpread —Total —Thu 11/19 · 8:15 PM
• Wk 12NYGvs New York GiantsSpread —Total —Sun 11/29 · 1:00 PM
• Wk 13Bye week
• Wk 14PHIat Philadelphia EaglesSpread —Total —Sun 12/13 · 1:00 PM
• Wk 15TENat Tennessee TitansSpread —Total —Sun 12/20 · 1:00 PM
• Wk 16CINvs Cincinnati BengalsSpread —Total —
• Wk 17CLEat Cleveland BrownsSpread —Total —Sun 1/3 · 1:00 PM
• Wk 18JAXvs Jacksonville JaguarsSpread —Total —

JustJ picks are only posted for the current week's slate — see the full sheet on the Picks page.

Schedule & market notes

• Bye: Week 13 — a late bye — a long front half of the season before any scheduled rest.
• Short-week / non-Sunday games: 1 Thursday — short-rest games carry their own well-documented ATS variance, worth flagging on your calendar as they approach.
• International game(s): Week 4 at Washington Commanders (London) — a true road game with no home-field advantage and real short-week/travel logistics even when technically the “home” team.

Power ratings — strength against the field

Turnover differential -2 · 2025 results, Just J Football Companion / Pro-Football-Reference.

Power ratings & 2025 results

• 2025 record: 8-9-0 — Points For 466, Points Against 412 (differential +54).
• Margin of Victory: +3.2 pts/game — the average scoring margin across all 2025 games, win or lose.
• Strength of Schedule (SoS): +1.8 — Pro-Football-Reference's SRS-based measure of 2025 opponent quality; positive means a tougher slate than average.
• SRS (power rating): +5.0 — Simple Rating System score, which converts directly to a projected point spread on a neutral field against a leagueaverage team.
• Offensive SRS: +5.9 · Defensive SRS: -1.0 — the SRS power rating split into offensive and defensive components; higher offensive and higher defensive figures are both better.
• Turnover differential: -2 — total takeaways minus giveaways across the 2025 season, one of the more volatile year-to-year metrics and worth weighing against the rest of this profile rather than on its own.

League-wide unit ranks

Handicapping notes

• Turf: Lucas Oil Stadium — 2025: 8-9 straight-up, 9-7-1 against the spread.
• : Daniel Jones takes over after a strong finish to 2025; Jonathan Taylor's continued excellence gives Indianapolis a reliable offensive floor.
• : The Sauce Gardner and Charvarius Ward trade acquisitions represent a real, immediate defensive upgrade at cornerback — among the more aggressive win-now moves in the AFC South this offseason.

Pro Bowlers

• Offense: RB Jonathan Taylor (3rd career selection), OG Quenton Nelson (8th career selection, 2025 All-Pro)
• Defense: None — alternates included DT DeForest Buckner and LB Zaire Franklin (since traded to Green Bay).

Coaching staff

• Head Coach

  Shane Steichen

  4th season

• Offensive Coordinator

  Jim Bob Cooter

  4th season

• Offensive Line Coach

  Tony Sparano Jr.

• Defensive Coordinator

  Lou Anarumo

  2nd season

• Defensive Line Coach

  Marion Hobby

Offensive unit ranks

Key skill players

• QB1Daniel Jones
• RB1Jonathan Taylor(3x Pro Bowler; led NFL in rushing TDs in 2025)
• WR1Alec Pierce(signed a 4 yr / $114M extension)
• WR2Josh Downs
• TE1Tyler Warren
• TEAM DEFENSE (D/ST)Colts D/ST

Defensive unit ranks

Defensive efficiency

• 5.3 yards allowed per play, 17th of 32.
• 23.3% pressure rate generated (blitzed on 26.6% of dropbacks), 16th of 32.
• 44.3% opponent drive scoring rate — a below-average mark.
• 11.9% opponent drive turnover rate — roughly league-average.
• 125 missed tackles on the season.