GREEN BAY PACKERS
NFC North•9-7-1 SU · 6-10-1 ATS•Lambeau Field
2026 Just J Football Companion profile
Schedule
Next up · Week 1
at Minnesota Vikings
Sun 9/13 · 4:25 PM
2026 schedule
- Wk 1at Minnesota VikingsSpread —Total —Sun 9/13 · 4:25 PM
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- Wk 2at New York JetsSpread —Total —Sun 9/20 · 1:00 PM
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- Wk 3vs Atlanta FalconsSpread —Total —Thu 9/24 · 8:15 PM
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- Wk 4at Tampa Bay BuccaneersSpread —Total —Sun 10/4 · 1:00 PM
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- Wk 5vs Chicago BearsSpread —Total —Sun 10/11 · 4:25 PM
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- Wk 6vs Dallas CowboysSpread —Total —Sun 10/18 · 8:20 PM
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- Wk 7at Detroit LionsSpread —Total —Sun 10/25 · 4:25 PM
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- Wk 8vs Carolina PanthersSpread —Total —Thu 10/29 · 8:15 PM
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- Wk 9at New England PatriotsSpread —Total —Sun 11/8 · 4:25 PM
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- Wk 10vs Minnesota VikingsSpread —Total —Sun 11/15 · 1:00 PM
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- Wk 11Bye week
- Wk 12at Los Angeles RamsSpread —Total —Wed 11/25 · 8:00 PM
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- Wk 13at New Orleans SaintsSpread —Total —Sun 12/6 · 1:00 PM
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- Wk 14vs Buffalo BillsSpread —Total —Sun 12/13 · 8:20 PM
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- Wk 15vs Miami DolphinsSpread —Total —Sun 12/20 · 1:00 PM
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- Wk 16at Chicago BearsSpread —Total —Fri 12/25 · 1:00 PM
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- Wk 17vs Houston TexansSpread —Total —Mon 1/4 · 8:15 PM
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- Wk 18vs Detroit LionsSpread —Total —
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Every game gets a JustJ pick — ATS side and total. Posted numbers are used the moment books hang them; until then the pick is quoted on the JustJ line and refreshes each week.
Schedule & market notes
- Bye: Week 11 — a mid-season bye, giving a roughly even split on either side.
- Short-week / non-Sunday games: 2 Thursday, 1 Monday, 1 Friday — short-rest games carry their own well-documented ATS variance, worth flagging on your calendar as they approach.
53-MAN ROSTER
Handicapping
Betting profile — vs. the number
2025 ATS
6-10-1
37.5% cover rate — 27th of 32
2025 Straight up
9-7-1
Point differential +31
Scoring environment
44.2
Combined points per game — 22nd highest of 32
Home venue
Grass
Lambeau Field
Points scored / allowed
23 per game scored (16th) · 21.2 allowed (11th)
Margin & schedule
Margin of victory +1.8 (13th) · Strength of schedule -0.8
- Trend: Micah Parsons opens the year on PUP recovering from a torn ACL — a defense that leans heavily on him will be tested early.
- Trend: New DC Jonathan Gannon installs a new scheme after arriving from Philadelphia — real early-season defensive variance independent of Parsons's absence.
Power ratings — strength against the field
SRS power rating
+1
14th of 32 — projected points vs. a league-average team on a neutral field
Offensive SRS
-0.8
18th of 32
Defensive SRS
+1.7
12th of 32
Points (margin of victory)
+1.8 · 13th of 32
Against the spread
6-10-1 (37.5%) · 27th of 32
Totals (combined PPG)
44.2 · 22nd of 32
Turnover differential +1 · 2025 results, Just J Football Companion / Pro-Football-Reference.
Power ratings & 2025 results
- 2025 record: 9-7-1 — Points For 391, Points Against 360 (differential +31).
- Margin of Victory: +1.8 pts/game — the average scoring margin across all 2025 games, win or lose.
- Strength of Schedule (SoS): -0.8 — Pro-Football-Reference's SRS-based measure of 2025 opponent quality; positive means a tougher slate than average.
- SRS (power rating): +1.0 — Simple Rating System score, which converts directly to a projected point spread on a neutral field against a leagueaverage team.
- Offensive SRS: -0.8 · Defensive SRS: +1.7 — the SRS power rating split into offensive and defensive components; higher offensive and higher defensive figures are both better.
- Turnover differential: +1 — total takeaways minus giveaways across the 2025 season, one of the more volatile year-to-year metrics and worth weighing against the rest of this profile rather than on its own.
League-wide unit ranks
Offensive Line
28
Defensive Line / Front Seven
27
Would be top-15 with Micah Parsons active, but he opens on PUP; Javon Hargrave solid at 33
Linebackers
11
Edgerrin Cooper (75.8 grade on nearly double the snaps) and newly-added Zaire Franklin
Defensive Backs / Secondary
—
Special Teams
—
Kicker: Trey Smack
Overall Offense
18
Offensive SRS: -0.8
Overall Defense
12
Defensive SRS: +1.7
Handicapping notes
- Grass: Lambeau Field — 2025: 9-7-1 straight-up, 6-10-1 against the spread.
- : Micah Parsons opens the year on PUP recovering from a torn ACL — a defense that leans heavily on him will be tested early.
- : New DC Jonathan Gannon installs a new scheme after arriving from Philadelphia — real early-season defensive variance independent of Parsons's absence.
Pro Bowlers
- Offense: None — no Packers offensive player was a 2025-season Pro Bowler.
- Defense: Edge/DL Micah Parsons — 5th career Pro Bowl, 1st with Green Bay (12.5 sacks, 1st-team All-Pro). Note: recovering from a torn ACL suffered in Week 15 of 2025; opened 2026 on the PUP list and will miss at least the first 4 games.
- Special teams: RS/CB Keisean Nixon — selected as the NFC return specialist (3rd career Pro Bowl as a returner).
Coaches
Coaching staff
Head Coach
Matt LaFleur
8th season
Offensive Coordinator
Adam Stenavich
4th season; also OL coach
Offensive Line Coach
Adam Stenavich
Defensive Coordinator
Jonathan Gannon
1st season
Defensive Line Coach
Vince Oghobaase
Offense
Offensive unit ranks
Offensive Line Rank
27/32
Sharp Football Analysis / ESPN, 2026 preseason
Key skill players
- QB1Jordan LoveQB22
- RB1Josh JacobsRB14
- WR1Christian Watsonoutside the top 45 WRs
- WR2Jayden Reedoutside the top 40 WRs
- TE1Tucker KraftTE9
- TEAM DEFENSE (D/ST)Packers D/ST
Key Offensive Line
RT Zach TomWake Forest
4 yr / $88M extension; ~$22M AAV. 5th NFL season; a versatile lineman who's started at multiple spots along Green Bay's front.
LG Aaron BanksNotre Dame
4 yr / $77M free-agent signing (2025); ~$19.25M AAV. 6th NFL season; a former 49er brought in to upgrade the interior, with a slower-than-hoped Year 1 in Green Bay.
C Sean RhyanUCLA
recently extended after moving to center in 2025; 4th NFL season, a 2022 3rd-round pick who's found a home in the middle of the line after starting at guard.
Defense
Defensive unit ranks
Defensive Line Rank (front seven)
13/32
Sharp Football Analysis, 2026 preseason
Defensive efficiency
- 5.0 yards allowed per play, 10th of 32.
- 25.9% pressure rate generated (blitzed on 20.4% of dropbacks), 7th of 32.
- 42.8% opponent drive scoring rate — a below-average mark.
- 8.2% opponent drive turnover rate — roughly league-average.
- 88 missed tackles on the season.
Key Defensive Line
Edge/DL Micah ParsonsPenn State
4 yr / $186M extension (2025), $136M guaranteed; ~$46.5M AAV, acquired via blockbuster trade from Dallas. 6th NFL season; a 5x Pro Bowler recovering from a torn ACL.
DT Devonte WyattGeorgia
3 yr / $57M extension (2026); ~$19M AAV. 5th NFL season; a 2022 first-round pick who ranked top-10 in the NFL in pass-rush win rate among interior linemen in 2025.
Edge Lukas Van NessIowa
still on his rookie-era extension window (2023 1st-round pick). 4th NFL season; stepping into a larger role opposite Parsons.
Key Linebackers
LB Quay WalkerGeorgia
fifth-year option decision pending (2022 1st-round pick, No. 22 overall). 5th NFL season; has started 43 of 44 possible games with 100+ tackles in each of his first three seasons.
LB Isaiah McDuffieBoston College
returning starter; 5th NFL season, ranked top-35 among off-ball linebackers in coverage-snap efficiency in 2025.
LB Edgerrin CooperTexas A&M
still on his rookie contract (2024 3rd-round pick). 3rd NFL season; an athletic, ascending piece in Green Bay's second level.
Key Defensive Backs
S Xavier McKinneyAlabama
long-term extension; 6th NFL season, a Pro Bowl-caliber ball-hawking safety and the leader of Green Bay's secondary.
CB Keisean NixonSouth Carolina
veteran starter and standout return man; 7th NFL season, a 2x Pro Bowl special-teamer who's carved out a starting defensive role.
S Javon BullardGeorgia
still on his rookie contract (2024 2nd-round pick). 3rd NFL season; a versatile safety who can also play in the slot. NF C N OR T H GREEN BAY PACKERS
Fantasy
Projected fantasy points per game · 2026
Standard 12-team scoring (non-PPR): 1 pt / 25 pass yds, 4 pts pass TD, -2 INT, 1 pt / 10 rush+rec yds, 6 pts TD, -2 fumble lost. Projections are modeled from each player's 2026 positional rank.
| Player | Rank | Proj FPPG | Proj season | Actual FPPG | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB1 Jordan Love | QB22 | 14.8 | 252 | — | — |
| RB1 Josh Jacobs | RB14Starter | 14.0 | 238 | — | — |
| WR1 Christian Watson | outside the top 45 WRs | — | — | — | — |
| WR2 Jayden Reed | outside the top 40 WRs | — | — | — | — |
| TE1 Tucker Kraft | TE9Starter | 10.7 | 182 | — | — |
| TEAM DEFENSE (D/ST) Packers D/ST | — | — | — | — | — |
Season fantasy tracker
Weekly fantasy scoring for these players appears here once 2026 games go final — each week's points are graded in standard 12-team scoring and rolled into the actual FPPG above.
Environment
- Home games: outdoor stadium — late-season (Dec./Jan.) home dates carry real weather risk for passing-game and kicking volume.
- Road dome/retractable-roof games: ideal weather-neutral spots for maximum fantasy production: Wk 1 (Minnesota Vikings), Wk 7 (Detroit Lions), Wk 12 (Los Angeles Rams), Wk 13 (New Orleans Saints).
- 2025 recap: Josh Jacobs was a strong RB1, Tucker Kraft broke out as a legitimate fantasy TE before a late-season injury, and the wide receiver corps stayed committee-based without a clear WR1.
- 2026 projection: Jacobs remains a high-floor early-down back. Kraft looks poised for a full-season TE1 breakout if he's healthy. The receiver room (Watson, Reed) remains fantasy-relevant but without a clear alpha, capping any single player's weekly ceiling.
- Josh Jacobs: Pro: a proven, high-floor early-down workhorse. Con: touchdown-dependent scoring in an offense that spreads the ball around.
- Tucker Kraft: Pro: real breakout TE1 upside if he stays healthy after flashing in 2025. Con: injury history is the main swing factor for a full season. NF C N OR T H GREEN BAY PACKERS
NOTES
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