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GREEN BAY PACKERS

NFC North•9-7-1 SU · 6-10-1 ATS•Lambeau Field

2026 Just J Football Companion profile

2026 SEASON SO FAR

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Schedule

2026 schedule

Wk 1@ MINSun 9/13 · 4:25 PM
Wk 2@ NYJSun 9/20 · 1:00 PM
Wk 3vs ATLThu 9/24 · 8:15 PM
Wk 4@ TBSun 10/4 · 1:00 PM
Wk 5vs CHISun 10/11 · 4:25 PM
Wk 6vs DALSun 10/18 · 8:20 PM
Wk 7@ DETSun 10/25 · 4:25 PM
Wk 8vs CARThu 10/29 · 8:15 PM
Wk 9@ NESun 11/8 · 4:25 PM
Wk 10vs MINSun 11/15 · 1:00 PM
Wk 11—ByeTBD
Wk 12@ LARWed 11/25 · 8:00 PM
Wk 13@ NOSun 12/6 · 1:00 PM
Wk 14vs BUFSun 12/13 · 8:20 PM
Wk 15vs MIASun 12/20 · 1:00 PM
Wk 16@ CHIFri 12/25 · 1:00 PM
Wk 17vs HOUMon 1/4 · 8:15 PM
Wk 18vs DETTBD
  • Wk 1at Minnesota VikingsSpread —Total —Sun 9/13 · 4:25 PM
  • Wk 2at New York JetsSpread —Total —Sun 9/20 · 1:00 PM
  • Wk 3vs Atlanta FalconsSpread —Total —Thu 9/24 · 8:15 PM
  • Wk 4at Tampa Bay BuccaneersSpread —Total —Sun 10/4 · 1:00 PM
  • Wk 5vs Chicago BearsSpread —Total —Sun 10/11 · 4:25 PM
  • Wk 6vs Dallas CowboysSpread -1.5Total 53.5Sun 10/18 · 8:20 PM
    JustJ pickSpread DAL +1.5 ★★★★★1 out of 5Totals Lean UNDERJust J Line -1 · Edge Rating 0.5 — No Edge / Pass · DK Total 53.5 · Just J Total 52 · Signals Prime time

    Matchup context

    Season to date · ▲▼ vs league avg

    TeamRZ TD%RZ TD% allowExpl%Expl% allowSack% allowSack% genPlays/G
    DAL———————
    GB———————
    Lg avg———————

    Context only — doesn't change the Just J Total.

    Fire Plays
  • Wk 7at Detroit LionsSpread —Total —Sun 10/25 · 4:25 PM
  • Wk 8vs Carolina PanthersSpread —Total —Thu 10/29 · 8:15 PM
  • Wk 9at New England PatriotsSpread —Total —Sun 11/8 · 4:25 PM
  • Wk 10vs Minnesota VikingsSpread —Total —Sun 11/15 · 1:00 PM
  • Wk 11Bye week
  • Wk 12at Los Angeles RamsSpread —Total —Wed 11/25 · 8:00 PM
  • Wk 13at New Orleans SaintsSpread —Total —Sun 12/6 · 1:00 PM
  • Wk 14vs Buffalo BillsSpread —Total —Sun 12/13 · 8:20 PM
  • Wk 15vs Miami DolphinsSpread —Total —Sun 12/20 · 1:00 PM
  • Wk 16at Chicago BearsSpread —Total —Fri 12/25 · 1:00 PM
  • Wk 17vs Houston TexansSpread —Total —Mon 1/4 · 8:15 PM
  • Wk 18vs Detroit LionsSpread —Total —

JustJ picks are only posted for the current week's slate — see the full sheet on the Picks page.

Schedule & market notes

  • Bye: Week 11 — a mid-season bye, giving a roughly even split on either side.
  • Short-week / non-Sunday games: 2 Thursday, 1 Monday, 1 Friday — short-rest games carry their own well-documented ATS variance, worth flagging on your calendar as they approach.

53-MAN ROSTER

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Handicapping

Betting profile — vs. the number

2025 ATS

6-10-1

37.5% cover rate — 27th of 32

2025 Straight up

9-7-1

Point differential +31

Scoring environment

44.2

Combined points per game — 22nd highest of 32

Home venue

Grass

Lambeau Field

Points scored / allowed

23 per game scored (16th) · 21.2 allowed (11th)

Margin & schedule

Margin of victory +1.8 (13th) · Strength of schedule -0.8

  • Trend: Micah Parsons opens the year on PUP recovering from a torn ACL — a defense that leans heavily on him will be tested early.
  • Trend: New DC Jonathan Gannon installs a new scheme after arriving from Philadelphia — real early-season defensive variance independent of Parsons's absence.

Power ratings — strength against the field

SRS power rating

+1

14th of 32 — projected points vs. a league-average team on a neutral field

Offensive SRS

-0.8

18th of 32

Defensive SRS

+1.7

12th of 32

Points (margin of victory)

+1.8 · 13th of 32

Against the spread

6-10-1 (37.5%) · 27th of 32

Totals (combined PPG)

44.2 · 22nd of 32

Turnover differential +1 · 2025 results, Just J Football Companion / Pro-Football-Reference.

Power ratings & 2025 results

  • 2025 record: 9-7-1 — Points For 391, Points Against 360 (differential +31).
  • Margin of Victory: +1.8 pts/game — the average scoring margin across all 2025 games, win or lose.
  • Strength of Schedule (SoS): -0.8 — Pro-Football-Reference's SRS-based measure of 2025 opponent quality; positive means a tougher slate than average.
  • SRS (power rating): +1.0 — Simple Rating System score, which converts directly to a projected point spread on a neutral field against a leagueaverage team.
  • Offensive SRS: -0.8 · Defensive SRS: +1.7 — the SRS power rating split into offensive and defensive components; higher offensive and higher defensive figures are both better.
  • Turnover differential: +1 — total takeaways minus giveaways across the 2025 season, one of the more volatile year-to-year metrics and worth weighing against the rest of this profile rather than on its own.

League-wide unit ranks

Offensive Line

28

Defensive Line / Front Seven

27

Would be top-15 with Micah Parsons active, but he opens on PUP; Javon Hargrave solid at 33

Linebackers

11

Edgerrin Cooper (75.8 grade on nearly double the snaps) and newly-added Zaire Franklin

Defensive Backs / Secondary

—

Special Teams

—

Kicker: Trey Smack

Overall Offense

18

Offensive SRS: -0.8

Overall Defense

12

Defensive SRS: +1.7

Handicapping notes

  • Grass: Lambeau Field — 2025: 9-7-1 straight-up, 6-10-1 against the spread.
  • : Micah Parsons opens the year on PUP recovering from a torn ACL — a defense that leans heavily on him will be tested early.
  • : New DC Jonathan Gannon installs a new scheme after arriving from Philadelphia — real early-season defensive variance independent of Parsons's absence.

Pro Bowlers

  • Offense: None — no Packers offensive player was a 2025-season Pro Bowler.
  • Defense: Edge/DL Micah Parsons — 5th career Pro Bowl, 1st with Green Bay (12.5 sacks, 1st-team All-Pro). Note: recovering from a torn ACL suffered in Week 15 of 2025; opened 2026 on the PUP list and will miss at least the first 4 games.
  • Special teams: RS/CB Keisean Nixon — selected as the NFC return specialist (3rd career Pro Bowl as a returner).

Coaches

Coaching staff

  • Head Coach

    Matt LaFleur

    8th season

  • Offensive Coordinator

    Adam Stenavich

    4th season; also OL coach

  • Offensive Line Coach

    Adam Stenavich

  • Defensive Coordinator

    Jonathan Gannon

    1st season

  • Defensive Line Coach

    Vince Oghobaase

Offense

Offensive unit ranks

Offensive Line Rank

27/32

Sharp Football Analysis / ESPN, 2026 preseason

Key skill players

  • QB1Jordan Love
  • RB1Josh Jacobs
  • WR1Christian Watson
  • WR2Jayden Reed
  • TE1Tucker Kraft
  • TEAM DEFENSE (D/ST)Packers D/ST

Key Offensive Line

  • RT Zach TomWake Forest

    4 yr / $88M extension; ~$22M AAV. 5th NFL season; a versatile lineman who's started at multiple spots along Green Bay's front.

  • LG Aaron BanksNotre Dame

    4 yr / $77M free-agent signing (2025); ~$19.25M AAV. 6th NFL season; a former 49er brought in to upgrade the interior, with a slower-than-hoped Year 1 in Green Bay.

  • C Sean RhyanUCLA

    recently extended after moving to center in 2025; 4th NFL season, a 2022 3rd-round pick who's found a home in the middle of the line after starting at guard.

Defense

Defensive unit ranks

Defensive Line Rank (front seven)

13/32

Sharp Football Analysis, 2026 preseason

Defensive efficiency

  • 5.0 yards allowed per play, 10th of 32.
  • 25.9% pressure rate generated (blitzed on 20.4% of dropbacks), 7th of 32.
  • 42.8% opponent drive scoring rate — a below-average mark.
  • 8.2% opponent drive turnover rate — roughly league-average.
  • 88 missed tackles on the season.

Key Defensive Line

  • Edge/DL Micah ParsonsPenn State

    4 yr / $186M extension (2025), $136M guaranteed; ~$46.5M AAV, acquired via blockbuster trade from Dallas. 6th NFL season; a 5x Pro Bowler recovering from a torn ACL.

  • DT Devonte WyattGeorgia

    3 yr / $57M extension (2026); ~$19M AAV. 5th NFL season; a 2022 first-round pick who ranked top-10 in the NFL in pass-rush win rate among interior linemen in 2025.

  • Edge Lukas Van NessIowa

    still on his rookie-era extension window (2023 1st-round pick). 4th NFL season; stepping into a larger role opposite Parsons.

Key Linebackers

  • LB Quay WalkerGeorgia

    fifth-year option decision pending (2022 1st-round pick, No. 22 overall). 5th NFL season; has started 43 of 44 possible games with 100+ tackles in each of his first three seasons.

  • LB Isaiah McDuffieBoston College

    returning starter; 5th NFL season, ranked top-35 among off-ball linebackers in coverage-snap efficiency in 2025.

  • LB Edgerrin CooperTexas A&M

    still on his rookie contract (2024 3rd-round pick). 3rd NFL season; an athletic, ascending piece in Green Bay's second level.

Key Defensive Backs

  • S Xavier McKinneyAlabama

    long-term extension; 6th NFL season, a Pro Bowl-caliber ball-hawking safety and the leader of Green Bay's secondary.

  • CB Keisean NixonSouth Carolina

    veteran starter and standout return man; 7th NFL season, a 2x Pro Bowl special-teamer who's carved out a starting defensive role.

  • S Javon BullardGeorgia

    still on his rookie contract (2024 2nd-round pick). 3rd NFL season; a versatile safety who can also play in the slot. NF C N OR T H GREEN BAY PACKERS

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