DENVER BRONCOS

2026 schedule

• Wk 1KCat Kansas City ChiefsSpread —Total —Mon 9/14 · 8:15 PM
• Wk 2JAXvs Jacksonville JaguarsSpread —Total —Sun 9/20 · 4:05 PM
• Wk 3LARvs Los Angeles RamsSpread —Total —Sun 9/27 · 8:15 PM
• Wk 4SFat San Francisco 49ersSpread —Total —Sun 10/4 · 4:25 PM
• Wk 5LACat Los Angeles ChargersSpread —Total —Sun 10/11 · 4:05 PM
• Wk 6SEAvs Seattle SeahawksSpread —Total —Thu 10/15 · 8:15 PM
• Wk 7ARIat Arizona CardinalsSpread —Total —Sun 10/25 · 4:05 PM
• Wk 8KCvs Kansas City ChiefsSpread —Total —Sun 11/1 · 4:25 PM
• Wk 9CARat Carolina PanthersSpread —Total —Sun 11/8 · 1:00 PM
• Wk 10Bye week
• Wk 11LVvs Las Vegas RaidersSpread —Total —Sun 11/22 · 4:25 PM
• Wk 12PITat Pittsburgh SteelersSpread —Total —Fri 11/27 · 3:00 PM
• Wk 13MIAvs Miami DolphinsSpread —Total —
• Wk 14NYJat New York JetsSpread —Total —
• Wk 15LVat Las Vegas RaidersSpread —Total —Sun 12/20 · 4:25 PM
• Wk 16BUFvs Buffalo BillsSpread —Total —Fri 12/25 · 4:30 PM
• Wk 17NEat New England PatriotsSpread —Total —
• Wk 18LACvs Los Angeles ChargersSpread —Total —

JustJ picks are only posted for the current week's slate — see the full sheet on the Picks page.

Schedule & market notes

• Bye: Week 10 — a mid-season bye, giving a roughly even split on either side.
• Short-week / non-Sunday games: 1 Thursday, 1 Monday, 2 Friday — short-rest games carry their own well-documented ATS variance, worth flagging on your calendar as they approach.

Power ratings — strength against the field

Turnover differential -3 · 2025 results, Just J Football Companion / Pro-Football-Reference.

Power ratings & 2025 results

• 2025 record: 14-3-0 — Points For 401, Points Against 311 (differential +90).
• Margin of Victory: +5.3 pts/game — the average scoring margin across all 2025 games, win or lose.
• Strength of Schedule (SoS): -1.8 — Pro-Football-Reference's SRS-based measure of 2025 opponent quality; positive means a tougher slate than average.
• SRS (power rating): +3.5 — Simple Rating System score, which converts directly to a projected point spread on a neutral field against a leagueaverage team.
• Offensive SRS: -0.1 · Defensive SRS: +3.5 — the SRS power rating split into offensive and defensive components; higher offensive and higher defensive figures are both better.
• Turnover differential: -3 — total takeaways minus giveaways across the 2025 season, one of the more volatile year-to-year metrics and worth weighing against the rest of this profile rather than on its own.

League-wide unit ranks

Handicapping notes

• Grass: Empower Field at Mile High — 2025: 14-3 straight-up, 7-9-1 against the spread.
• : Denver's #1-ranked offensive line (Sharp Football) anchors an elite team straight-up, but a middling 7-9-1 ATS mark suggests the market has caught up — little easy value as a favorite.
• : The linebacker corps was rebuilt after releasing Dre Greenlaw and losing John Franklin-Myers via trade — some evaluators see Denver's run defense as a real question mark despite the unit's otherwise elite reputation.

Pro Bowlers

• Offense: WR Courtland Sutton (1st selection), OT Garett Bolles (1st selection, First-team All-Pro), OG Quinn Meinerz (First-team All-Pro)
• Defense: DT Zach Allen (1st selection, First-team All-Pro), OLB Nik Bonitto, CB Patrick Surtain II (Second-team All-Pro)

Coaching staff

• Head Coach

  Sean Payton

  4th season

• Offensive Coordinator

  Davis Webb

  1st season as OC, play-caller

• Offensive Line Coach

  Chris Morgan

• Defensive Coordinator

  Vance Joseph

  4th season

• Defensive Line Coach

  Jamar Cain

Offensive unit ranks

Key skill players

• QB1Bo Nix
• RB1J.K. Dobbins
• WR1Courtland Sutton
• WR2Jaylen Waddle(acquired via trade from Miami this offseason)
• TE1Evan Engram
• TEAM DEFENSE (D/ST)Broncos D/ST

Defensive unit ranks

Defensive efficiency

• 4.5 yards allowed per play, 1st of 32.
• 30.5% pressure rate generated (blitzed on 28.5% of dropbacks), 2nd of 32.
• 34.6% opponent drive scoring rate — an above-average mark.
• 6.8% opponent drive turnover rate — one of the lower forced-turnover rates in the league.
• 85 missed tackles on the season.