DALLAS COWBOYS
NFC East•7-9-1 SU · 7-10 ATS•AT&T Stadium
2026 Just J Football Companion profile
2026 SEASON SO FAR
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Schedule
2026 schedule
- Wk 1at New York GiantsSpread —Total —Sun 9/13 · 8:20 PM
- Wk 2vs Washington CommandersSpread —Total —Sun 9/20 · 4:25 PM
- Wk 3vs Baltimore Ravens (Brazil)Spread —Total —Sun 9/27 · 4:25 PM
- Wk 4at Houston TexansSpread —Total —Sun 10/4 · 1:00 PM
- Wk 5vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersSpread —Total —Thu 10/8 · 8:15 PM
- Wk 6at Green Bay PackersSpread +1.5Total 53.5Sun 10/18 · 8:20 PMJustJ pickSpread DAL +1.5 ★★★★★1 out of 5Totals Lean UNDERJust J Line -1 · Edge Rating 0.5 — No Edge / Pass · DK Total 53.5 · Just J Total 52 · Signals Prime timeFire Plays
Matchup context
Season to date · ▲▼ vs league avg
Team RZ TD% RZ TD% allow Expl% Expl% allow Sack% allow Sack% gen Plays/G DAL — — — — — — — GB — — — — — — — Lg avg — — — — — — — Context only — doesn't change the Just J Total.
- Wk 7at Philadelphia EaglesSpread —Total —Mon 10/26 · 8:15 PM
- Wk 8vs Arizona CardinalsSpread —Total —Sun 11/1 · 1:00 PM
- Wk 9at Indianapolis ColtsSpread —Total —Sun 11/8 · 1:00 PM
- Wk 10vs San Francisco 49ersSpread —Total —Sun 11/15 · 4:25 PM
- Wk 11vs Tennessee TitansSpread —Total —Sun 11/22 · 1:00 PM
- Wk 12vs Philadelphia Eagles (Thanksgiving)Spread —Total —Thu 11/26 · 4:30 PM
- Wk 13at Seattle SeahawksSpread —Total —Mon 12/7 · 8:15 PM
- Wk 14Bye week
- Wk 15at Los Angeles RamsSpread —Total —Sun 12/20 · 4:25 PM
- Wk 16vs Jacksonville JaguarsSpread —Total —Sun 12/27 · 8:20 PM
- Wk 17vs New York GiantsSpread —Total —Sun 1/3 · 1:00 PM
- Wk 18at Washington CommandersSpread —Total —
JustJ picks are only posted for the current week's slate — see the full sheet on the Picks page.
Schedule & market notes
- Bye: Week 14 — a late bye — a long front half of the season before any scheduled rest.
- Short-week / non-Sunday games: 2 Thursday, 2 Monday — short-rest games carry their own well-documented ATS variance, worth flagging on your calendar as they approach.
- International game(s): Week 3 vs Baltimore Ravens (Brazil); Week 12 vs Philadelphia Eagles (Thanksgiving) — a true road game with no home-field advantage and real short-week/travel logistics even when technically the “home” team.
53-MAN ROSTER
Handicapping
Betting profile — vs. the number
2025 ATS
7-10
41.2% cover rate — 24th of 32
2025 Straight up
7-9-1
Point differential -40
Scoring environment
57.8
Combined points per game — 1st highest of 32
Home venue
Turf
AT&T Stadium
Points scored / allowed
27.7 per game scored (7th) · 30.1 allowed (32nd)
Margin & schedule
Margin of victory -2.4 (20th) · Strength of schedule -1.8
- Trend: New DC Christian Parker inherits a defense that struggled against the run in 2025 — an early-season unit to watch until it shows real improvement.
- Trend: The offensive line's starting five played together for only 24.6% of snaps in 2025 (25th in the league) due to injuries — health up front, especially left tackle Tyler Guyton, is a major swing factor for 2026.
Power ratings — strength against the field
SRS power rating
-4.1
23rd of 32 — projected points vs. a league-average team on a neutral field
Offensive SRS
+4.6
7th of 32
Defensive SRS
-8.7
32nd of 32
Points (margin of victory)
-2.4 · 20th of 32
Against the spread
7-10 (41.2%) · 24th of 32
Totals (combined PPG)
57.8 · 1st of 32
Turnover differential -9 · 2025 results, Just J Football Companion / Pro-Football-Reference.
Power ratings & 2025 results
- 2025 record: 7-9-1 — Points For 471, Points Against 511 (differential -40).
- Margin of Victory: -2.4 pts/game — the average scoring margin across all 2025 games, win or lose.
- Strength of Schedule (SoS): -1.8 — Pro-Football-Reference's SRS-based measure of 2025 opponent quality; positive means a tougher slate than average.
- SRS (power rating): -4.1 — Simple Rating System score, which converts directly to a projected point spread on a neutral field against a leagueaverage team.
- Offensive SRS: +4.6 · Defensive SRS: -8.7 — the SRS power rating split into offensive and defensive components; higher offensive and higher defensive figures are both better.
- Turnover differential: -9 — total takeaways minus giveaways across the 2025 season, one of the more volatile year-to-year metrics and worth weighing against the rest of this profile rather than on its own.
League-wide unit ranks
Offensive Line
17
Defensive Line / Front Seven
13
Retooled via Micah Parsons trade (got Kenny Clark) plus added Quinnen Williams (91.7 run-D grade, 1st among DL)
Linebackers
27
DeMarvion Overshown unproven; traded for Dee Winters to start alongside him
Defensive Backs / Secondary
—
Lowest-graded secondary in the league last year, allowed a league-high 28 passing TDs; revamped with rookie safety Caleb Downs plus free agents Cobie Durant and Jalen Thompson
Special Teams
—
Kicker: Brandon Aubrey
Overall Offense
7
Offensive SRS: +4.6
Overall Defense
32
Defensive SRS: -8.7
Handicapping notes
- Turf: AT&T Stadium — 2025: 7-9-1 straight-up, 7-10 against the spread.
- : New DC Christian Parker inherits a defense that struggled against the run in 2025 — an early-season unit to watch until it shows real improvement.
- : The offensive line's starting five played together for only 24.6% of snaps in 2025 (25th in the league) due to injuries — health up front, especially left tackle Tyler Guyton, is a major swing factor for 2026.
Pro Bowlers
- Offense: QB Dak Prescott, WR CeeDee Lamb, WR George Pickens, TE Jake Ferguson, LG Tyler Smith (5 offensive selections — most in the NFL for 2025 season)
- Defense: DT Quinnen Williams (Dallas's lone defensive Pro Bowler)
Coaches
Coaching staff
Head Coach
Brian Schottenheimer
2nd season
Offensive Coordinator
Klayton Adams
2nd season
Offensive Line Coach
Conor Riley
Defensive Coordinator
Christian Parker
1st season
Defensive Line Coach
Marcus Dixon
Offense
Offensive unit ranks
Offensive Line Rank
18/32
Sharp Football Analysis, 2026 preseason
Key skill players
- QB1Dak Prescott
- RB1Javonte Williams
- WR1CeeDee Lamb
- WR2George Pickens
- TE1Jake Ferguson
- TEAM DEFENSE (D/ST)Cowboys D/ST
Key Offensive Line
LG Tyler SmithTulsa
4 yr / $96M extension (2025); ~$24M AAV, the NFL's highest-paid interior offensive lineman. 5th NFL season; 3x Pro Bowler.
LT Tyler GuytonOklahoma
still on his rookie contract (2024 1st-round pick, No. 29 overall). 3rd NFL season; a critical year after injuries (a knee fracture, then a high-ankle sprain) limited him to 10 games in 2025.
RT Terence SteeleTexas Tech
revised 3 yr / $33M deal (Mar. 2026); ~$11M AAV. 7th NFL season; the only Dallas offensive lineman to play a full season in 2025.
Defense
Defensive unit ranks
Defensive Line Rank (front seven)
17/32
Sharp Football Analysis, 2026 preseason
Defensive efficiency
- 6.1 yards allowed per play, 31th of 32.
- 31.2% pressure rate generated (blitzed on 25.2% of dropbacks), 1st of 32.
- 51.4% opponent drive scoring rate — one of the worst scoring defenses in the league by this measure.
- 6.2% opponent drive turnover rate — one of the lower forced-turnover rates in the league.
- 112 missed tackles on the season.
Key Defensive Line
DT Quinnen WilliamsAlabama
signed a 3 yr / $105.9M extension on Aug. 10, 2026, with $101M in total guarantees ($63.35M fully guaranteed at signing — the most ever for a DT); ~$35.3M AAV. 8th NFL season; acquired via the 2025 trade-deadline blockbuster with the Jets.
DT Kenny ClarkUCLA
acquired in the Micah Parsons trade; set to earn $21.5M in 2026, the 5th-largest cap hit on the roster. 10th NFL season; a 3 yr / $64M extension signed with Green Bay in 2024.
Edge Rashan GaryMichigan
acquired via trade from Green Bay, contract reworked for cap relief (~$16M cash). 7th NFL season; a former firstround pick now paired with Dallas's revamped interior.
Key Linebackers
LB Shemar JamesFlorida
still on his rookie contract (2025 5th-round pick). 2nd NFL season; played the most snaps at linebacker down the stretch as a rookie, though efficiency was a real work-in-progress.
LB Marist LiufauNotre Dame
still on his rookie contract (2024 3rd-round pick). 3rd NFL season; in the mix for a bigger role after Dallas lost Kenneth Murray and Logan Wilson (retired) this offseason.
LB DeMarvion OvershownTexas
returning starter working back from a torn ACL suffered late in 2024. 4th NFL season; a rangy, versatile piece Dallas is counting on to anchor a rebuilt linebacker room.
Key Defensive Backs
CB DaRon BlandFresno State
recent extension; ~$22.5M AAV, one of the NFL's highest-paid corners. 5th NFL season; set the NFL single- season record with 5 pick-six returns in 2023, though he's working back toward that form after injury-slowed 2024-25 seasons.
CB Trevon DiggsAlabama
veteran starter opposite Bland; 6th NFL season, a former All-Pro and Pro Bowler continuing to work back from a past ACL tear.
S Malik HookerOhio State
veteran starting safety; 9th NFL season, providing experienced leadership in the back end of a defense under a new coordinator. NF C E AS T DALLAS COWBOYS
NOTES
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