Just J Sports

CLEVELAND BROWNS

AFC North5-12 SU · 8-9 ATSHuntington Bank Field

2026 Just J Football Companion profile

Schedule

Next up · Week 1

at Jacksonville Jaguars

Sun 9/13 · 1:00 PM

2026 schedule

Wk 1@ JAXSun 9/13 · 1:00 PM
Wk 2@ TBSun 9/20 · 1:00 PM
Wk 3vs CARSun 9/27 · 1:00 PM
Wk 4vs PITThu 10/1 · 8:15 PM
Wk 5@ NYJSun 10/11 · 1:00 PM
Wk 6vs BALSun 10/18 · 1:00 PM
Wk 7@ TENSun 10/25 · 1:00 PM
Wk 8@ PITSun 11/1 · 1:00 PM
Wk 9@ NOSun 11/8 · 1:00 PM
Wk 10vs HOUSun 11/15 · 1:00 PM
Wk 11ByeTBD
Wk 12vs LVSun 11/29 · 1:00 PM
Wk 13vs CINSun 12/6 · 1:00 PM
Wk 14vs ATLSun 12/13 · 1:00 PM
Wk 15@ NYGSun 12/20 · 1:00 PM
Wk 16@ BALSun 12/27 · 1:00 PM
Wk 17vs INDSun 1/3 · 1:00 PM
Wk 18@ CINTBD
  • Wk 1at Jacksonville JaguarsSpread Total Sun 9/13 · 1:00 PM

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  • Wk 2at Tampa Bay BuccaneersSpread Total Sun 9/20 · 1:00 PM

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  • Wk 3vs Carolina PanthersSpread Total Sun 9/27 · 1:00 PM

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  • Wk 4vs Pittsburgh SteelersSpread Total Thu 10/1 · 8:15 PM

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  • Wk 5at New York JetsSpread Total Sun 10/11 · 1:00 PM

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  • Wk 6vs Baltimore RavensSpread Total Sun 10/18 · 1:00 PM

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  • Wk 7at Tennessee TitansSpread Total Sun 10/25 · 1:00 PM

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  • Wk 8at Pittsburgh SteelersSpread Total Sun 11/1 · 1:00 PM

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  • Wk 9at New Orleans SaintsSpread Total Sun 11/8 · 1:00 PM

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  • Wk 10vs Houston TexansSpread Total Sun 11/15 · 1:00 PM

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  • Wk 11Bye week
  • Wk 12vs Las Vegas RaidersSpread Total Sun 11/29 · 1:00 PM

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  • Wk 13vs Cincinnati BengalsSpread Total Sun 12/6 · 1:00 PM

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  • Wk 14vs Atlanta FalconsSpread Total Sun 12/13 · 1:00 PM

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  • Wk 15at New York GiantsSpread Total Sun 12/20 · 1:00 PM

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  • Wk 16at Baltimore RavensSpread Total Sun 12/27 · 1:00 PM

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  • Wk 17vs Indianapolis ColtsSpread Total Sun 1/3 · 1:00 PM

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  • Wk 18at Cincinnati BengalsSpread Total

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Every game gets a JustJ pick — ATS side and total. Posted numbers are used the moment books hang them; until then the pick is quoted on the JustJ line and refreshes each week.

Schedule & market notes

  • Bye: Week 11 — a mid-season bye, giving a roughly even split on either side.
  • Short-week / non-Sunday games: 1 Thursday — short-rest games carry their own well-documented ATS variance, worth flagging on your calendar as they approach.

53-MAN ROSTER

Loading the current active roster…

Handicapping

Betting profile — vs. the number

2025 ATS

8-9

47.1% cover rate — 19th of 32

2025 Straight up

5-12

Point differential -100

Scoring environment

38.7

Combined points per game — 32nd highest of 32

Home venue

Grass

Huntington Bank Field

Points scored / allowed

16.4 per game scored (31st) · 22.3 allowed (14th)

Margin & schedule

Margin of victory -5.9 (28th) · Strength of schedule -1.5

  • Totals: Cleveland ranked 1st in the NFL in EPA allowed per pass in 2025 and returns most of that secondary — a real defensive floor even amid total offensive uncertainty.
  • Trend: An unresolved QB battle (Watson vs. Sanders) into the opener is a genuine variable for every Cleveland number until a starter is confirmed.

Power ratings — strength against the field

SRS power rating

-7.4

29th of 32 — projected points vs. a league-average team on a neutral field

Offensive SRS

-8

31st of 32

Defensive SRS

+0.6

14th of 32

Points (margin of victory)

-5.9 · 28th of 32

Against the spread

8-9 (47.1%) · 19th of 32

Totals (combined PPG)

38.7 · 32nd of 32

Turnover differential -7 · 2025 results, Just J Football Companion / Pro-Football-Reference.

Power ratings & 2025 results

  • 2025 record: 5-12-0 — Points For 279, Points Against 379 (differential -100).
  • Margin of Victory: -5.9 pts/game — the average scoring margin across all 2025 games, win or lose.
  • Strength of Schedule (SoS): -1.5 — Pro-Football-Reference's SRS-based measure of 2025 opponent quality; positive means a tougher slate than average.
  • SRS (power rating): -7.4 — Simple Rating System score, which converts directly to a projected point spread on a neutral field against a leagueaverage team.
  • Offensive SRS: -8.0 · Defensive SRS: +0.6 — the SRS power rating split into offensive and defensive components; higher offensive and higher defensive figures are both better.
  • Turnover differential: -7 — total takeaways minus giveaways across the 2025 season, one of the more volatile year-to-year metrics and worth weighing against the rest of this profile rather than on its own.

League-wide unit ranks

Offensive Line

31

Defensive Line / Front Seven

12

Traded for Jared Verse (82.2 grade) in the Myles Garrett deal; Mason Graham looking for Year 2 leap

Linebackers

12

Rookie Carson Schwesinger (75.3 grade) plus Quincy Williams looking to rebound

Defensive Backs / Secondary

Special Teams

Kicker: Andre Szmyt

Overall Offense

31

Offensive SRS: -8.0

Overall Defense

14

Defensive SRS: +0.6

Handicapping notes

  • Grass: Huntington Bank Field — 2025: 5-12 straight-up, 8-9 against the spread.
  • : An unresolved QB battle (Watson vs. Sanders) into the opener is a genuine variable for every Cleveland number until a starter is confirmed.
  • : Cleveland ranked 1st in the NFL in EPA allowed per pass in 2025 and returns most of that secondary — a real defensive floor even amid total offensive uncertainty.

Pro Bowlers

  • Offense: QB Shedeur Sanders (replacement selection, first Browns QB to make it since 2007)
  • Defense: Edge Myles Garrett (traded to the Rams this offseason), CB Denzel Ward

Coaches

Coaching staff

  • Head Coach

    Todd Monken

    1st season

  • Offensive Coordinator

    Travis Switzer

    1st season

  • Offensive Line Coach

    George Warhop

  • Defensive Coordinator

    Mike Rutenberg

    1st season

  • Defensive Line Coach

    Jacques Cesaire

Offense

Offensive unit ranks

Offensive Line Rank

32/32

Sharp Football Analysis, 2026 preseason

Key skill players

  • QB1Quarterback battle unresolved entering the season between Deshaun Watson and 2025 Pro Bowler Shedeur Sanders(Dillon Gabriel also in the mix)Watson QB31 if he starts
  • RB1Quinshon JudkinsRB20 range
  • WR1Jerry Jeudyoutside the top 40 WRs
  • WR2Cedric Tillmanoutside the top 60 WRs
  • TE1David NjokuTE15 range
  • TEAM DEFENSE (D/ST)Browns D/ST

Key Offensive Line

  • LG Joel BitonioNevada

    veteran leader of Cleveland's line; 12th NFL season, a 6x Pro Bowler who has anchored the interior since 2014.

  • RG Wyatt TellerVirginia Tech

    veteran starter; 9th NFL season, a 2x Pro Bowler and one of the league's top run-blocking guards.

  • RT Tytus HowardAlabama State

    acquired via trade from Houston (2026) and extended for 3 yr / $63M; ~$21M AAV. 8th NFL season; a versatile former first-round pick who's started at every spot on the line.

Defense

Defensive unit ranks

Defensive Line Rank (front seven)

6/32

Sharp Football Analysis, 2026 preseason

Defensive efficiency

  • 4.8 yards allowed per play, 5th of 32.
  • 26.2% pressure rate generated (blitzed on 28.3% of dropbacks), 5th of 32.
  • 33.7% opponent drive scoring rate — an above-average mark.
  • 8.2% opponent drive turnover rate — roughly league-average.
  • 99 missed tackles on the season.

Key Defensive Line

  • Edge Jared VerseFlorida State

    acquired via blockbuster trade from the Rams (2026, in exchange for Myles Garrett); still on his rookie deal (~$3.8M AAV). 3rd NFL season; a 2x Pro Bowler and the 2024 Defensive Rookie of the Year.

  • DT Mason GrahamMichigan

    still on his rookie contract (2025 1st-round pick). 2nd NFL season; the anchor of a defensive front now missing Myles Garrett.

  • DT Maliek CollinsNebraska

    veteran free-agent addition; 11th NFL season, providing interior depth and pass-rush experience.

Key Linebackers

  • LB Jeremiah Owusu-KoramoahNotre Dame

    veteran starter; 6th NFL season, a rangy, versatile linebacker who's battled injuries but remains a defensive centerpiece when healthy.

  • LB Carson SchwesingerUCLA

    still on his rookie contract (2025 2nd-round pick). 2nd NFL season; earned an every-down role as a rookie.

  • LB Devin BushMichigan

    veteran depth addition; 8th NFL season, a former first-round pick (Steelers, 2019) now competing for snaps in Cleveland's second level.

Key Defensive Backs

  • CB Denzel WardOhio State

    veteran cornerstone; 9th NFL season, a 3x Pro Bowler and the highest-paid player on Cleveland's roster by base salary.

  • CB Tyson CampbellGeorgia

    acquired via trade from Jacksonville (in the deal that sent Greg Newsome II the other way). 6th NFL season; allowed just 6.4 yards/target and tied for 2nd in the NFL in passes defensed (18) over his 12 games with Cleveland.

  • S Grant DelpitLSU

    veteran starting safety; 7th NFL season, the leader of Cleveland's secondary and a key veteran voice under new DC Mike Rutenberg. A FC NOR TH CLEVELAND BROWNS

Fantasy

Projected fantasy points per game · 2026

Standard 12-team scoring (non-PPR): 1 pt / 25 pass yds, 4 pts pass TD, -2 INT, 1 pt / 10 rush+rec yds, 6 pts TD, -2 fumble lost. Projections are modeled from each player's 2026 positional rank.

PlayerRankProj FPPGProj seasonActual FPPGGames
QB1 Quarterback battle unresolved entering the season between Deshaun Watson and 2025 Pro Bowler Shedeur SandersWatson QB31 if he starts
RB1 Quinshon JudkinsRB20 range
WR1 Jerry Jeudyoutside the top 40 WRs
WR2 Cedric Tillmanoutside the top 60 WRs
TE1 David NjokuTE15 range
TEAM DEFENSE (D/ST) Browns D/ST

Season fantasy tracker

Weekly fantasy scoring for these players appears here once 2026 games go final — each week's points are graded in standard 12-team scoring and rolled into the actual FPPG above.

Environment

  • Home games: outdoor stadium — late-season (Dec./Jan.) home dates carry real weather risk for passing-game and kicking volume.
  • Road dome/retractable-roof games: ideal weather-neutral spots for maximum fantasy production: Wk 9 (New Orleans Saints).
  • 2025 recap: Cleveland's offense was largely unusable for fantasy outside of David Njoku's target share, with the QB situation and overall offensive line struggles capping the skill players' production.
  • 2026 projection: Whoever wins the QB job faces real streaming risk only in deep leagues. Judkins projects as a solid RB2 workload if he wins the clear early-down role. Njoku remains the most reliable fantasy piece on the roster as a target earner regardless of the QB.
  • Quinshon Judkins: Pro: a clear path to lead-back touches in a run-needy offense. Con: an unresolved QB situation could limit scoring opportunities and game script.
  • David Njoku: Pro: a reliable, established target earner regardless of who's throwing. Con: touchdown upside is capped by the overall offensive uncertainty around him. A FC NOR TH CLEVELAND BROWNS

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