CLEVELAND BROWNS
AFC North•5-12 SU · 8-9 ATS•Huntington Bank Field
2026 Just J Football Companion profile
2026 SEASON SO FAR
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Schedule
2026 schedule
- Wk 1at Jacksonville JaguarsSpread —Total —Sun 9/13 · 1:00 PM
- Wk 2at Tampa Bay BuccaneersSpread —Total —Sun 9/20 · 1:00 PM
- Wk 3vs Carolina PanthersSpread —Total —Sun 9/27 · 1:00 PM
- Wk 4vs Pittsburgh SteelersSpread —Total —Thu 10/1 · 8:15 PM
- Wk 5at New York JetsSpread —Total —Sun 10/11 · 1:00 PM
- Wk 6vs Baltimore RavensSpread +3Total 40.5Sun 10/18 · 1:00 PMJustJ pickSpread BAL -3.0 ★★★★★1 out of 5Totals No playJust J Line +4 · Edge Rating 1.0 — Lean · DK Total 40.5 · Just J Total 40.5Fire Plays
Matchup context
Season to date · ▲▼ vs league avg
Team RZ TD% RZ TD% allow Expl% Expl% allow Sack% allow Sack% gen Plays/G BAL — — — — — — — CLE — — — — — — — Lg avg — — — — — — — Context only — doesn't change the Just J Total.
- Wk 7at Tennessee TitansSpread —Total —Sun 10/25 · 1:00 PM
- Wk 8at Pittsburgh SteelersSpread —Total —Sun 11/1 · 1:00 PM
- Wk 9at New Orleans SaintsSpread —Total —Sun 11/8 · 1:00 PM
- Wk 10vs Houston TexansSpread —Total —Sun 11/15 · 1:00 PM
- Wk 11Bye week
- Wk 12vs Las Vegas RaidersSpread —Total —Sun 11/29 · 1:00 PM
- Wk 13vs Cincinnati BengalsSpread —Total —Sun 12/6 · 1:00 PM
- Wk 14vs Atlanta FalconsSpread —Total —Sun 12/13 · 1:00 PM
- Wk 15at New York GiantsSpread —Total —Sun 12/20 · 1:00 PM
- Wk 16at Baltimore RavensSpread —Total —Sun 12/27 · 1:00 PM
- Wk 17vs Indianapolis ColtsSpread —Total —Sun 1/3 · 1:00 PM
- Wk 18at Cincinnati BengalsSpread —Total —
JustJ picks are only posted for the current week's slate — see the full sheet on the Picks page.
Schedule & market notes
- Bye: Week 11 — a mid-season bye, giving a roughly even split on either side.
- Short-week / non-Sunday games: 1 Thursday — short-rest games carry their own well-documented ATS variance, worth flagging on your calendar as they approach.
53-MAN ROSTER
Handicapping
Betting profile — vs. the number
2025 ATS
8-9
47.1% cover rate — 19th of 32
2025 Straight up
5-12
Point differential -100
Scoring environment
38.7
Combined points per game — 32nd highest of 32
Home venue
Grass
Huntington Bank Field
Points scored / allowed
16.4 per game scored (31st) · 22.3 allowed (14th)
Margin & schedule
Margin of victory -5.9 (28th) · Strength of schedule -1.5
- Totals: Cleveland ranked 1st in the NFL in EPA allowed per pass in 2025 and returns most of that secondary — a real defensive floor even amid total offensive uncertainty.
- Trend: An unresolved QB battle (Watson vs. Sanders) into the opener is a genuine variable for every Cleveland number until a starter is confirmed.
Power ratings — strength against the field
SRS power rating
-7.4
29th of 32 — projected points vs. a league-average team on a neutral field
Offensive SRS
-8
31st of 32
Defensive SRS
+0.6
14th of 32
Points (margin of victory)
-5.9 · 28th of 32
Against the spread
8-9 (47.1%) · 19th of 32
Totals (combined PPG)
38.7 · 32nd of 32
Turnover differential -7 · 2025 results, Just J Football Companion / Pro-Football-Reference.
Power ratings & 2025 results
- 2025 record: 5-12-0 — Points For 279, Points Against 379 (differential -100).
- Margin of Victory: -5.9 pts/game — the average scoring margin across all 2025 games, win or lose.
- Strength of Schedule (SoS): -1.5 — Pro-Football-Reference's SRS-based measure of 2025 opponent quality; positive means a tougher slate than average.
- SRS (power rating): -7.4 — Simple Rating System score, which converts directly to a projected point spread on a neutral field against a leagueaverage team.
- Offensive SRS: -8.0 · Defensive SRS: +0.6 — the SRS power rating split into offensive and defensive components; higher offensive and higher defensive figures are both better.
- Turnover differential: -7 — total takeaways minus giveaways across the 2025 season, one of the more volatile year-to-year metrics and worth weighing against the rest of this profile rather than on its own.
League-wide unit ranks
Offensive Line
31
Defensive Line / Front Seven
12
Traded for Jared Verse (82.2 grade) in the Myles Garrett deal; Mason Graham looking for Year 2 leap
Linebackers
12
Rookie Carson Schwesinger (75.3 grade) plus Quincy Williams looking to rebound
Defensive Backs / Secondary
—
Special Teams
—
Kicker: Andre Szmyt
Overall Offense
31
Offensive SRS: -8.0
Overall Defense
14
Defensive SRS: +0.6
Handicapping notes
- Grass: Huntington Bank Field — 2025: 5-12 straight-up, 8-9 against the spread.
- : An unresolved QB battle (Watson vs. Sanders) into the opener is a genuine variable for every Cleveland number until a starter is confirmed.
- : Cleveland ranked 1st in the NFL in EPA allowed per pass in 2025 and returns most of that secondary — a real defensive floor even amid total offensive uncertainty.
Pro Bowlers
- Offense: QB Shedeur Sanders (replacement selection, first Browns QB to make it since 2007)
- Defense: Edge Myles Garrett (traded to the Rams this offseason), CB Denzel Ward
Coaches
Coaching staff
Head Coach
Todd Monken
1st season
Offensive Coordinator
Travis Switzer
1st season
Offensive Line Coach
George Warhop
Defensive Coordinator
Mike Rutenberg
1st season
Defensive Line Coach
Jacques Cesaire
Offense
Offensive unit ranks
Offensive Line Rank
32/32
Sharp Football Analysis, 2026 preseason
Key skill players
- QB1Quarterback battle unresolved entering the season between Deshaun Watson and 2025 Pro Bowler Shedeur Sanders(Dillon Gabriel also in the mix)
- RB1Quinshon Judkins
- WR1Jerry Jeudy
- WR2Cedric Tillman
- TE1David Njoku
- TEAM DEFENSE (D/ST)Browns D/ST
Key Offensive Line
LG Joel BitonioNevada
veteran leader of Cleveland's line; 12th NFL season, a 6x Pro Bowler who has anchored the interior since 2014.
RG Wyatt TellerVirginia Tech
veteran starter; 9th NFL season, a 2x Pro Bowler and one of the league's top run-blocking guards.
RT Tytus HowardAlabama State
acquired via trade from Houston (2026) and extended for 3 yr / $63M; ~$21M AAV. 8th NFL season; a versatile former first-round pick who's started at every spot on the line.
Defense
Defensive unit ranks
Defensive Line Rank (front seven)
6/32
Sharp Football Analysis, 2026 preseason
Defensive efficiency
- 4.8 yards allowed per play, 5th of 32.
- 26.2% pressure rate generated (blitzed on 28.3% of dropbacks), 5th of 32.
- 33.7% opponent drive scoring rate — an above-average mark.
- 8.2% opponent drive turnover rate — roughly league-average.
- 99 missed tackles on the season.
Key Defensive Line
Edge Jared VerseFlorida State
acquired via blockbuster trade from the Rams (2026, in exchange for Myles Garrett); still on his rookie deal (~$3.8M AAV). 3rd NFL season; a 2x Pro Bowler and the 2024 Defensive Rookie of the Year.
DT Mason GrahamMichigan
still on his rookie contract (2025 1st-round pick). 2nd NFL season; the anchor of a defensive front now missing Myles Garrett.
DT Maliek CollinsNebraska
veteran free-agent addition; 11th NFL season, providing interior depth and pass-rush experience.
Key Linebackers
LB Jeremiah Owusu-KoramoahNotre Dame
veteran starter; 6th NFL season, a rangy, versatile linebacker who's battled injuries but remains a defensive centerpiece when healthy.
LB Carson SchwesingerUCLA
still on his rookie contract (2025 2nd-round pick). 2nd NFL season; earned an every-down role as a rookie.
LB Devin BushMichigan
veteran depth addition; 8th NFL season, a former first-round pick (Steelers, 2019) now competing for snaps in Cleveland's second level.
Key Defensive Backs
CB Denzel WardOhio State
veteran cornerstone; 9th NFL season, a 3x Pro Bowler and the highest-paid player on Cleveland's roster by base salary.
CB Tyson CampbellGeorgia
acquired via trade from Jacksonville (in the deal that sent Greg Newsome II the other way). 6th NFL season; allowed just 6.4 yards/target and tied for 2nd in the NFL in passes defensed (18) over his 12 games with Cleveland.
S Grant DelpitLSU
veteran starting safety; 7th NFL season, the leader of Cleveland's secondary and a key veteran voice under new DC Mike Rutenberg. A FC NOR TH CLEVELAND BROWNS
NOTES
No notes on CLEVELAND BROWNS yet.