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CINCINNATI BENGALS

AFC North•6-11 SU · 8-9 ATS•Paycor Stadium

2026 Just J Football Companion profile

2026 SEASON SO FAR

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Schedule

2026 schedule

Wk 1vs TBSun 9/13 · 1:00 PM
Wk 2@ HOUSun 9/20 · 1:00 PM
Wk 3@ PITSun 9/27 · 1:00 PM
Wk 4vs JAXSun 10/4 · 1:00 PM
Wk 5@ MIASun 10/11 · 1:00 PM
Wk 6—ByeTBD
Wk 7@ BALSun 10/25 · 1:00 PM
Wk 8vs TENSun 11/1 · 1:00 PM
Wk 9vs ATLSun 11/8 · 9:30 AM
Wk 10vs PITSun 11/15 · 8:20 PM
Wk 11@ WASMon 11/23 · 8:15 PM
Wk 12vs NOSun 11/29 · 1:00 PM
Wk 13@ CLESun 12/6 · 1:00 PM
Wk 14vs KCSun 12/13 · 4:25 PM
Wk 15@ CARSun 12/20 · 1:00 PM
Wk 16@ INDTBD
Wk 17vs BALThu 12/31 · 8:15 PM
Wk 18vs CLETBD
  • Wk 1vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersSpread —Total —Sun 9/13 · 1:00 PM
  • Wk 2at Houston TexansSpread —Total —Sun 9/20 · 1:00 PM
  • Wk 3at Pittsburgh SteelersSpread —Total —Sun 9/27 · 1:00 PM
  • Wk 4vs Jacksonville JaguarsSpread —Total —Sun 10/4 · 1:00 PM
  • Wk 5at Miami DolphinsSpread —Total —Sun 10/11 · 1:00 PM
  • Wk 6Bye week
  • Wk 7at Baltimore RavensSpread —Total —Sun 10/25 · 1:00 PM
  • Wk 8vs Tennessee TitansSpread —Total —Sun 11/1 · 1:00 PM
  • Wk 9vs Atlanta Falcons (Madrid)Spread —Total —Sun 11/8 · 9:30 AM
  • Wk 10vs Pittsburgh SteelersSpread —Total —Sun 11/15 · 8:20 PM
  • Wk 11at Washington CommandersSpread —Total —Mon 11/23 · 8:15 PM
  • Wk 12vs New Orleans SaintsSpread —Total —Sun 11/29 · 1:00 PM
  • Wk 13at Cleveland BrownsSpread —Total —Sun 12/6 · 1:00 PM
  • Wk 14vs Kansas City ChiefsSpread —Total —Sun 12/13 · 4:25 PM
  • Wk 15at Carolina PanthersSpread —Total —Sun 12/20 · 1:00 PM
  • Wk 16at Indianapolis ColtsSpread —Total —
  • Wk 17vs Baltimore RavensSpread —Total —Thu 12/31 · 8:15 PM
  • Wk 18vs Cleveland BrownsSpread —Total —

JustJ picks are only posted for the current week's slate — see the full sheet on the Picks page.

Schedule & market notes

  • Bye: Week 6 — an early bye — a long back half of the season with no scheduled rest.
  • Short-week / non-Sunday games: 1 Thursday, 1 Monday — short-rest games carry their own well-documented ATS variance, worth flagging on your calendar as they approach.
  • International game(s): Week 9 vs Atlanta Falcons (Madrid) — a true road game with no home-field advantage and real short-week/travel logistics even when technically the “home” team.

53-MAN ROSTER

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Handicapping

Betting profile — vs. the number

2025 ATS

8-9

47.1% cover rate — 18th of 32

2025 Straight up

6-11

Point differential -78

Scoring environment

53.3

Combined points per game — 2nd highest of 32

Home venue

Turf

Paycor Stadium

Points scored / allowed

24.4 per game scored (12th) · 28.9 allowed (30th)

Margin & schedule

Margin of victory -4.6 (26th) · Strength of schedule -0.5

  • Trend: The Dexter Lawrence trade addition upgrades a defensive front that finished near the bottom of the league — a real swing factor for Cincinnati's defensive numbers.
  • Trend: Cincinnati returns all five offensive line starters for the first time since 2010, per team reporting — real continuity behind Joe Burrow and a passing attack that should again be prolific.

Power ratings — strength against the field

SRS power rating

-5.1

26th of 32 — projected points vs. a league-average team on a neutral field

Offensive SRS

+1.2

13th of 32

Defensive SRS

-6.4

30th of 32

Points (margin of victory)

-4.6 · 26th of 32

Against the spread

8-9 (47.1%) · 18th of 32

Totals (combined PPG)

53.3 · 2nd of 32

Turnover differential -3 · 2025 results, Just J Football Companion / Pro-Football-Reference.

Power ratings & 2025 results

  • 2025 record: 6-11-0 — Points For 414, Points Against 492 (differential -78).
  • Margin of Victory: -4.6 pts/game — the average scoring margin across all 2025 games, win or lose.
  • Strength of Schedule (SoS): -0.5 — Pro-Football-Reference's SRS-based measure of 2025 opponent quality; positive means a tougher slate than average.
  • SRS (power rating): -5.1 — Simple Rating System score, which converts directly to a projected point spread on a neutral field against a leagueaverage team.
  • Offensive SRS: +1.2 · Defensive SRS: -6.4 — the SRS power rating split into offensive and defensive components; higher offensive and higher defensive figures are both better.
  • Turnover differential: -3 — total takeaways minus giveaways across the 2025 season, one of the more volatile year-to-year metrics and worth weighing against the rest of this profile rather than on its own.

League-wide unit ranks

Offensive Line

20

Defensive Line / Front Seven

8

Traded for Dexter Lawrence (84.5 pass-rush grade); added Boye Mafe to replace departed Hendrickson

Linebackers

31

Barrett Carter and Demetrius Knight Jr. were two of the six lowest-graded LBs in the NFL

Defensive Backs / Secondary

—

Special Teams

—

Kicker: Evan McPherson

Overall Offense

13

Offensive SRS: +1.2

Overall Defense

30

Defensive SRS: -6.4

Handicapping notes

  • Turf: Paycor Stadium — 2025: 6-11 straight-up, 8-9 against the spread.
  • : The Dexter Lawrence trade addition upgrades a defensive front that finished near the bottom of the league — a real swing factor for Cincinnati's defensive numbers.
  • : Cincinnati returns all five offensive line starters for the first time since 2010, per team reporting — real continuity behind Joe Burrow and a passing attack that should again be prolific.

Pro Bowlers

  • Offense: QB Joe Burrow, QB Joe Flacco, WR Ja'Marr Chase (First-team All-Pro), WR Tee Higgins
  • Defense: None.

Coaches

Coaching staff

  • Head Coach

    Zac Taylor

    8th season

  • Offensive Coordinator

    Dan Pitcher

    3rd season

  • Offensive Line Coach

    Scott Peters

  • Defensive Coordinator

    Al Golden

    2nd season

  • Defensive Line Coach

    Jerry Montgomery

Offense

Offensive unit ranks

Offensive Line Rank

28/32

Sharp Football Analysis, 2026 preseason

Key skill players

  • QB1Joe Burrow
  • RB1Chase Brown
  • WR1Ja'Marr Chase
  • WR2Tee Higgins
  • TE1Mike Gesicki
  • TEAM DEFENSE (D/ST)Bengals D/ST

Key Offensive Line

  • LT Orlando Brown Jr.Oklahoma

    2 yr / $32M extension (2026); ~$16M AAV. 9th NFL season; a 4x Pro Bowler who signed his original Bengals deal (4 yr/$64M) in 2023.

  • RG Dylan FairchildGeorgia

    still on his rookie contract (2025 3rd-round pick). 2nd NFL season; posted the 4th-highest PFF grade among rookie offensive linemen in 2025.

  • RT Amarius MimsGeorgia

    still on his rookie contract (2024 1st-round pick). 3rd NFL season; played all 17 games in 2025, allowing just a 5.3% pressure rate.

Defense

Defensive unit ranks

Defensive Line Rank (front seven)

26/32

Sharp Football Analysis, 2026 preseason

Defensive efficiency

  • 6.2 yards allowed per play, 32th of 32.
  • 20.9% pressure rate generated (blitzed on 16.6% of dropbacks), 23th of 32.
  • 42.3% opponent drive scoring rate — a below-average mark.
  • 12.0% opponent drive turnover rate — roughly league-average.
  • 170 missed tackles on the season.

Key Defensive Line

  • DT Dexter Lawrence IIClemson

    acquired via trade from the Giants (2026) and extended for 1 yr / $28M. 8th NFL season; a 3x Pro Bowler and one of the league's premier interior disruptors.

  • DT Jonathan AllenAlabama

    2 yr free-agent signing through 2027. 10th NFL season; a former Pro Bowler brought in to further upgrade Cincinnati's interior.

  • Edge Boye MafeMinnesota

    3 yr contract through 2028 (2026 free-agent signing). 5th NFL season; now the primary edge presence after Trey Hendrickson's departure to Baltimore.

Key Linebackers

  • LB Demetrius Knight Jr.South Carolina

    still on his rookie contract (2025 2nd-round pick). 2nd NFL season; started 14 games as a rookie with 106 tackles, 3 sacks and 2 interceptions.

  • LB Barrett CarterClemson

    still on his rookie contract (2025 4th-round pick). 2nd NFL season; started 12 games as a rookie with 102 tackles.

  • LB Oren BurksVanderbilt

    veteran free-agent signing (2025); 8th NFL season. Started 9 games in 2025 and provides experienced depth behind Cincinnati's young linebacker duo.

Key Defensive Backs

  • CB DJ Turner IIMichigan

    still on his rookie-era extension window (2023 2nd-round pick). 4th NFL season; Cincinnati's CB1 in coverage.

  • CB Cam Taylor-BrittNebraska

    still on his rookie-era extension window (2022 2nd-round pick). 5th NFL season; a physical, competitive corner opposite Turner.

  • S Bryan CookCincinnati

    3 yr contract through 2028 (2026 free-agent signing). 5th NFL season; a homecoming signing for the alum of the University of Cincinnati. A FC NOR TH CINCINNATI BENGALS

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