BALTIMORE RAVENS
AFC North•8-9 SU · 6-11 ATS•M&T Bank Stadium
2026 Just J Football Companion profile
Schedule
Next up · Week 1
at Indianapolis Colts
Sun 9/13 · 1:00 PM
2026 schedule
- Wk 1at Indianapolis ColtsSpread —Total —Sun 9/13 · 1:00 PM
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- Wk 2vs New Orleans SaintsSpread —Total —Sun 9/20 · 1:00 PM
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- Wk 3vs Dallas Cowboys (Rio de Janeiro)Spread —Total —Sun 9/27 · 4:25 PM
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- Wk 4vs Tennessee TitansSpread —Total —Sun 10/4 · 1:00 PM
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- Wk 5at Atlanta FalconsSpread —Total —Sun 10/11 · 8:20 PM
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- Wk 6at Cleveland BrownsSpread —Total —Sun 10/18 · 1:00 PM
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- Wk 7vs Cincinnati BengalsSpread —Total —Sun 10/25 · 1:00 PM
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- Wk 8at Buffalo BillsSpread —Total —Sun 11/1 · 1:00 PM
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- Wk 9vs Jacksonville JaguarsSpread —Total —Thu 11/5 · 8:15 PM
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- Wk 10vs Los Angeles ChargersSpread —Total —Mon 11/16 · 8:15 PM
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- Wk 11at Carolina PanthersSpread —Total —Sun 11/22 · 1:00 PM
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- Wk 12at Houston TexansSpread —Total —Sun 11/29 · 1:00 PM
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- Wk 13Bye week
- Wk 14vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersSpread —Total —Sun 12/13 · 1:00 PM
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- Wk 15at Pittsburgh SteelersSpread —Total —Sun 12/20 · 1:00 PM
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- Wk 16vs Cleveland BrownsSpread —Total —Sun 12/27 · 1:00 PM
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- Wk 17at Cincinnati BengalsSpread —Total —Thu 12/31 · 8:15 PM
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- Wk 18vs Pittsburgh SteelersSpread —Total —
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Every game gets a JustJ pick — ATS side and total. Posted numbers are used the moment books hang them; until then the pick is quoted on the JustJ line and refreshes each week.
Schedule & market notes
- Bye: Week 13 — a late bye — a long front half of the season before any scheduled rest.
- Short-week / non-Sunday games: 2 Thursday, 1 Monday — short-rest games carry their own well-documented ATS variance, worth flagging on your calendar as they approach.
- International game(s): Week 3 vs Dallas Cowboys (Rio de Janeiro) — a true road game with no home-field advantage and real short-week/travel logistics even when technically the “home” team.
53-MAN ROSTER
Handicapping
Betting profile — vs. the number
2025 ATS
6-11
35.3% cover rate — 30th of 32
2025 Straight up
8-9
Point differential +26
Scoring environment
48.4
Combined points per game — 9th highest of 32
Home venue
Grass
M&T Bank Stadium
Points scored / allowed
24.9 per game scored (11th) · 23.4 allowed (18th)
Margin & schedule
Margin of victory +1.5 (15th) · Strength of schedule -0.4
- Trend: Lamar Jackson and a new coaching staff (Jesse Minter, Declan Doyle) reset after a rare down year — Baltimore was a poor ATS team (6-11) in 2025, worth tracking for regression.
- Trend: Nnamdi Madubuike's return from neck surgery is a real swing factor for a front seven that finished top-10 in the league before his 2025 injury.
Power ratings — strength against the field
SRS power rating
+1.1
13th of 32 — projected points vs. a league-average team on a neutral field
Offensive SRS
+1.8
11th of 32
Defensive SRS
-0.7
19th of 32
Points (margin of victory)
+1.5 · 15th of 32
Against the spread
6-11 (35.3%) · 30th of 32
Totals (combined PPG)
48.4 · 9th of 32
Turnover differential -3 · 2025 results, Just J Football Companion / Pro-Football-Reference.
Power ratings & 2025 results
- 2025 record: 8-9-0 — Points For 424, Points Against 398 (differential +26).
- Margin of Victory: +1.5 pts/game — the average scoring margin across all 2025 games, win or lose.
- Strength of Schedule (SoS): -0.4 — Pro-Football-Reference's SRS-based measure of 2025 opponent quality; positive means a tougher slate than average.
- SRS (power rating): +1.1 — Simple Rating System score, which converts directly to a projected point spread on a neutral field against a leagueaverage team.
- Offensive SRS: +1.8 · Defensive SRS: -0.7 — the SRS power rating split into offensive and defensive components; higher offensive and higher defensive figures are both better.
- Turnover differential: -3 — total takeaways minus giveaways across the 2025 season, one of the more volatile year-to-year metrics and worth weighing against the rest of this profile rather than on its own.
League-wide unit ranks
Offensive Line
24
Defensive Line / Front Seven
7
Added Trey Hendrickson (four straight 90+ pass-rush grade seasons); Nnamdi Madubuike back from neck injury
Linebackers
9
Roquan Smith (74.1 grade) looking for scheme-fit bounce-back; Teddye Buchanan developing
Defensive Backs / Secondary
—
Ranked #1 a year ago but fell short of expectations; Kyle Hamilton remains a top-tier safety, but Marlon Humphrey allowed the most coverage yards of any NFL player in 2025
Special Teams
—
Kicker: Tyler Loop
Overall Offense
11
Offensive SRS: +1.8
Overall Defense
19
Defensive SRS: -0.7
Handicapping notes
- Grass: M&T Bank Stadium — 2025: 8-9 straight-up, 6-11 against the spread.
- : Lamar Jackson and a new coaching staff (Jesse Minter, Declan Doyle) reset after a rare down year — Baltimore was a poor ATS team (6-11) in 2025, worth tracking for regression.
- : Nnamdi Madubuike's return from neck surgery is a real swing factor for a front seven that finished top-10 in the league before his 2025 injury.
Pro Bowlers
- Offense: WR Zay Flowers, C Tyler Linderbaum (since departed to Las Vegas in free agency), FB Patrick Ricard
- Defense: S Kyle Hamilton, LB Roquan Smith
Coaches
Coaching staff
Head Coach
Jesse Minter
1st season
Offensive Coordinator
Declan Doyle
1st season
Offensive Line Coach
Dwayne Ledford
Defensive Coordinator
Anthony Weaver
1st season
Defensive Line Coach
Lou Esposito
Offense
Offensive unit ranks
Offensive Line Rank
24/32
Sharp Football Analysis, 2026 preseason
Key skill players
- QB1Lamar Jackson(2x NFL MVP)QB3
- RB1Derrick HenryRB11
- WR1Zay FlowersWR16
- WR2Rashod Batemanoutside the top 60 WRs
- TE1Mark AndrewsTE13
- TEAM DEFENSE (D/ST)Ravens D/ST
Key Offensive Line
LT Ronnie StanleyNotre Dame
3 yr / $60M re-signing (2025), $44M guaranteed; ~$20M AAV. 11th NFL season; a 2016 first-round pick who has anchored Baltimore's blind side for a decade.
LG John SimpsonClemson
returning free-agent signing (2026) after two years with the Jets; a Ravens starter previously in 2023. 7th NFL season; graded as a top-10 guard by PFF in 2024.
RG Vega IoanePenn State
still on his rookie contract (2026 1st-round pick), roughly $15M fully guaranteed over 5 years — a plug-and-play starter from day one on a retooled interior line.
Defense
Defensive unit ranks
Defensive Line Rank (front seven)
10/32
Sharp Football Analysis, 2026 preseason
Defensive efficiency
- 5.5 yards allowed per play, 21th of 32.
- 19.0% pressure rate generated (blitzed on 23.6% of dropbacks), 28th of 32.
- 43.3% opponent drive scoring rate — a below-average mark.
- 10.7% opponent drive turnover rate — roughly league-average.
- 98 missed tackles on the season.
Key Defensive Line
DT Nnamdi MadubuikeTexas A&M
4 yr / $98M extension; ~$24.5M AAV. 7th NFL season; coming off season-ending neck surgery in 2025 — his health is a defining swing factor for Baltimore's front.
DT Travis JonesUConn
still on his second contract negotiation window (2022 3rd-round pick). 5th NFL season; a rotational run-stuffer the Ravens have been working to extend.
Edge Trey HendricksonFlorida Atlantic
veteran free-agent addition to bolster the pass rush. 10th NFL season; arrives with 3 straight 10+ sack seasons in Cincinnati.
Key Linebackers
ILB Roquan SmithGeorgia
5 yr / $100M extension (2023); ~$20M AAV. 9th NFL season; a 3x All-Pro and the anchor of Baltimore's defense since a 2022 in-season trade from Chicago.
ILB Trenton SimpsonClemson
still on his rookie contract (2023 1st-round pick). 4th NFL season; part of the rotation alongside Smith in Baltimore's second level.
Edge/OLB Mike GreenMarshall
still on his rookie contract (2026 draft pick). Tabbed by beat reporters as a top Ravens breakout candidate for his season.
Key Defensive Backs
CB Marlon HumphreyAlabama
long-term veteran deal; Baltimore's longest-tenured defensive back. 10th NFL season; a 2017 first-round pick (No. 16 overall) with 19 career interceptions and 4 Pro Bowl selections.
S Kyle HamiltonNotre Dame
4 yr / $100.4M extension (2025), fully guaranteed 5th-year option secured first; ~$25.1M AAV, the largest safety contract in NFL history at signing. 5th NFL season; First-team All-Pro.
S Malaki StarksGeorgia
still on his rookie contract (2025 1st-round pick). Slated for a starting role alongside Hamilton as a rookie, giving Baltimore one of the league's most talented young safety pairings. A FC NOR TH BALTIMORE RAVENS
Fantasy
Projected fantasy points per game · 2026
Standard 12-team scoring (non-PPR): 1 pt / 25 pass yds, 4 pts pass TD, -2 INT, 1 pt / 10 rush+rec yds, 6 pts TD, -2 fumble lost. Projections are modeled from each player's 2026 positional rank.
| Player | Rank | Proj FPPG | Proj season | Actual FPPG | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB1 Lamar Jackson | QB3Starter | 20.9 | 355 | — | — |
| RB1 Derrick Henry | RB11Starter | 15.3 | 260 | — | — |
| WR1 Zay Flowers | WR16Starter | 13.2 | 224 | — | — |
| WR2 Rashod Bateman | outside the top 60 WRs | — | — | — | — |
| TE1 Mark Andrews | TE13 | 9.3 | 158 | — | — |
| TEAM DEFENSE (D/ST) Ravens D/ST | — | — | — | — | — |
Season fantasy tracker
Weekly fantasy scoring for these players appears here once 2026 games go final — each week's points are graded in standard 12-team scoring and rolled into the actual FPPG above.
Environment
- Home games: outdoor stadium — late-season (Dec./Jan.) home dates carry real weather risk for passing-game and kicking volume.
- Road dome/retractable-roof games: ideal weather-neutral spots for maximum fantasy production: Wk 1 (Indianapolis Colts), Wk 5 (Atlanta Falcons), Wk 12 (Houston Texans).
- 2025 recap: Lamar Jackson missed time and posted a down (for him) 16.5 fantasy points per game; Derrick Henry remained productive but showed some age-related decline signs as the Ravens' offense sputtered.
- 2026 projection: A healthy Jackson under new OC Declan Doyle projects back to elite fantasy QB1 form. Henry remains a productive early-down bell cow, though a new offensive system creates some real uncertainty around usage. Flowers is the clear WR1 in the passing game.
- Lamar Jackson: Pro: elite rushing floor with real bounce-back QB1 upside if healthy all year. Con: has missed time in each of the last two seasons; durability is a real question.
- Derrick Henry: Pro: still a bell-cow workload in a run-heavy offense. Con: age-decline risk at 32, and a new play-calling system adds uncertainty.
- Zay Flowers: Pro: clear top target in Baltimore's passing game. Con: touchdown-dependent profile in a run-first offense caps his weekly floor. A FC NOR TH BALTIMORE RAVENS
NOTES
No notes on BALTIMORE RAVENS yet.