BALTIMORE RAVENS
AFC North•8-9 SU · 6-11 ATS•M&T Bank Stadium
2026 Just J Football Companion profile
2026 SEASON SO FAR
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Schedule
2026 schedule
- Wk 1at Indianapolis ColtsSpread —Total —Sun 9/13 · 1:00 PM
- Wk 2vs New Orleans SaintsSpread —Total —Sun 9/20 · 1:00 PM
- Wk 3vs Dallas Cowboys (Rio de Janeiro)Spread —Total —Sun 9/27 · 4:25 PM
- Wk 4vs Tennessee TitansSpread —Total —Sun 10/4 · 1:00 PM
- Wk 5at Atlanta FalconsSpread —Total —Sun 10/11 · 8:20 PM
- Wk 6at Cleveland BrownsSpread -3Total 40.5Sun 10/18 · 1:00 PMJustJ pickSpread BAL -3.0 ★★★★★1 out of 5Totals No playJust J Line +4 · Edge Rating 1.0 — Lean · DK Total 40.5 · Just J Total 40.5Fire Plays
Matchup context
Season to date · ▲▼ vs league avg
Team RZ TD% RZ TD% allow Expl% Expl% allow Sack% allow Sack% gen Plays/G BAL — — — — — — — CLE — — — — — — — Lg avg — — — — — — — Context only — doesn't change the Just J Total.
- Wk 7vs Cincinnati BengalsSpread —Total —Sun 10/25 · 1:00 PM
- Wk 8at Buffalo BillsSpread —Total —Sun 11/1 · 1:00 PM
- Wk 9vs Jacksonville JaguarsSpread —Total —Thu 11/5 · 8:15 PM
- Wk 10vs Los Angeles ChargersSpread —Total —Mon 11/16 · 8:15 PM
- Wk 11at Carolina PanthersSpread —Total —Sun 11/22 · 1:00 PM
- Wk 12at Houston TexansSpread —Total —Sun 11/29 · 1:00 PM
- Wk 13Bye week
- Wk 14vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersSpread —Total —Sun 12/13 · 1:00 PM
- Wk 15at Pittsburgh SteelersSpread —Total —Sun 12/20 · 1:00 PM
- Wk 16vs Cleveland BrownsSpread —Total —Sun 12/27 · 1:00 PM
- Wk 17at Cincinnati BengalsSpread —Total —Thu 12/31 · 8:15 PM
- Wk 18vs Pittsburgh SteelersSpread —Total —
JustJ picks are only posted for the current week's slate — see the full sheet on the Picks page.
Schedule & market notes
- Bye: Week 13 — a late bye — a long front half of the season before any scheduled rest.
- Short-week / non-Sunday games: 2 Thursday, 1 Monday — short-rest games carry their own well-documented ATS variance, worth flagging on your calendar as they approach.
- International game(s): Week 3 vs Dallas Cowboys (Rio de Janeiro) — a true road game with no home-field advantage and real short-week/travel logistics even when technically the “home” team.
53-MAN ROSTER
Handicapping
Betting profile — vs. the number
2025 ATS
6-11
35.3% cover rate — 30th of 32
2025 Straight up
8-9
Point differential +26
Scoring environment
48.4
Combined points per game — 9th highest of 32
Home venue
Grass
M&T Bank Stadium
Points scored / allowed
24.9 per game scored (11th) · 23.4 allowed (18th)
Margin & schedule
Margin of victory +1.5 (15th) · Strength of schedule -0.4
- Trend: Lamar Jackson and a new coaching staff (Jesse Minter, Declan Doyle) reset after a rare down year — Baltimore was a poor ATS team (6-11) in 2025, worth tracking for regression.
- Trend: Nnamdi Madubuike's return from neck surgery is a real swing factor for a front seven that finished top-10 in the league before his 2025 injury.
Power ratings — strength against the field
SRS power rating
+1.1
13th of 32 — projected points vs. a league-average team on a neutral field
Offensive SRS
+1.8
11th of 32
Defensive SRS
-0.7
19th of 32
Points (margin of victory)
+1.5 · 15th of 32
Against the spread
6-11 (35.3%) · 30th of 32
Totals (combined PPG)
48.4 · 9th of 32
Turnover differential -3 · 2025 results, Just J Football Companion / Pro-Football-Reference.
Power ratings & 2025 results
- 2025 record: 8-9-0 — Points For 424, Points Against 398 (differential +26).
- Margin of Victory: +1.5 pts/game — the average scoring margin across all 2025 games, win or lose.
- Strength of Schedule (SoS): -0.4 — Pro-Football-Reference's SRS-based measure of 2025 opponent quality; positive means a tougher slate than average.
- SRS (power rating): +1.1 — Simple Rating System score, which converts directly to a projected point spread on a neutral field against a leagueaverage team.
- Offensive SRS: +1.8 · Defensive SRS: -0.7 — the SRS power rating split into offensive and defensive components; higher offensive and higher defensive figures are both better.
- Turnover differential: -3 — total takeaways minus giveaways across the 2025 season, one of the more volatile year-to-year metrics and worth weighing against the rest of this profile rather than on its own.
League-wide unit ranks
Offensive Line
24
Defensive Line / Front Seven
7
Added Trey Hendrickson (four straight 90+ pass-rush grade seasons); Nnamdi Madubuike back from neck injury
Linebackers
9
Roquan Smith (74.1 grade) looking for scheme-fit bounce-back; Teddye Buchanan developing
Defensive Backs / Secondary
—
Ranked #1 a year ago but fell short of expectations; Kyle Hamilton remains a top-tier safety, but Marlon Humphrey allowed the most coverage yards of any NFL player in 2025
Special Teams
—
Kicker: Tyler Loop
Overall Offense
11
Offensive SRS: +1.8
Overall Defense
19
Defensive SRS: -0.7
Handicapping notes
- Grass: M&T Bank Stadium — 2025: 8-9 straight-up, 6-11 against the spread.
- : Lamar Jackson and a new coaching staff (Jesse Minter, Declan Doyle) reset after a rare down year — Baltimore was a poor ATS team (6-11) in 2025, worth tracking for regression.
- : Nnamdi Madubuike's return from neck surgery is a real swing factor for a front seven that finished top-10 in the league before his 2025 injury.
Pro Bowlers
- Offense: WR Zay Flowers, C Tyler Linderbaum (since departed to Las Vegas in free agency), FB Patrick Ricard
- Defense: S Kyle Hamilton, LB Roquan Smith
Coaches
Coaching staff
Head Coach
Jesse Minter
1st season
Offensive Coordinator
Declan Doyle
1st season
Offensive Line Coach
Dwayne Ledford
Defensive Coordinator
Anthony Weaver
1st season
Defensive Line Coach
Lou Esposito
Offense
Offensive unit ranks
Offensive Line Rank
24/32
Sharp Football Analysis, 2026 preseason
Key skill players
- QB1Lamar Jackson(2x NFL MVP)
- RB1Derrick Henry
- WR1Zay Flowers
- WR2Rashod Bateman
- TE1Mark Andrews
- TEAM DEFENSE (D/ST)Ravens D/ST
Key Offensive Line
LT Ronnie StanleyNotre Dame
3 yr / $60M re-signing (2025), $44M guaranteed; ~$20M AAV. 11th NFL season; a 2016 first-round pick who has anchored Baltimore's blind side for a decade.
LG John SimpsonClemson
returning free-agent signing (2026) after two years with the Jets; a Ravens starter previously in 2023. 7th NFL season; graded as a top-10 guard by PFF in 2024.
RG Vega IoanePenn State
still on his rookie contract (2026 1st-round pick), roughly $15M fully guaranteed over 5 years — a plug-and-play starter from day one on a retooled interior line.
Defense
Defensive unit ranks
Defensive Line Rank (front seven)
10/32
Sharp Football Analysis, 2026 preseason
Defensive efficiency
- 5.5 yards allowed per play, 21th of 32.
- 19.0% pressure rate generated (blitzed on 23.6% of dropbacks), 28th of 32.
- 43.3% opponent drive scoring rate — a below-average mark.
- 10.7% opponent drive turnover rate — roughly league-average.
- 98 missed tackles on the season.
Key Defensive Line
DT Nnamdi MadubuikeTexas A&M
4 yr / $98M extension; ~$24.5M AAV. 7th NFL season; coming off season-ending neck surgery in 2025 — his health is a defining swing factor for Baltimore's front.
DT Travis JonesUConn
still on his second contract negotiation window (2022 3rd-round pick). 5th NFL season; a rotational run-stuffer the Ravens have been working to extend.
Edge Trey HendricksonFlorida Atlantic
veteran free-agent addition to bolster the pass rush. 10th NFL season; arrives with 3 straight 10+ sack seasons in Cincinnati.
Key Linebackers
ILB Roquan SmithGeorgia
5 yr / $100M extension (2023); ~$20M AAV. 9th NFL season; a 3x All-Pro and the anchor of Baltimore's defense since a 2022 in-season trade from Chicago.
ILB Trenton SimpsonClemson
still on his rookie contract (2023 1st-round pick). 4th NFL season; part of the rotation alongside Smith in Baltimore's second level.
Edge/OLB Mike GreenMarshall
still on his rookie contract (2026 draft pick). Tabbed by beat reporters as a top Ravens breakout candidate for his season.
Key Defensive Backs
CB Marlon HumphreyAlabama
long-term veteran deal; Baltimore's longest-tenured defensive back. 10th NFL season; a 2017 first-round pick (No. 16 overall) with 19 career interceptions and 4 Pro Bowl selections.
S Kyle HamiltonNotre Dame
4 yr / $100.4M extension (2025), fully guaranteed 5th-year option secured first; ~$25.1M AAV, the largest safety contract in NFL history at signing. 5th NFL season; First-team All-Pro.
S Malaki StarksGeorgia
still on his rookie contract (2025 1st-round pick). Slated for a starting role alongside Hamilton as a rookie, giving Baltimore one of the league's most talented young safety pairings. A FC NOR TH BALTIMORE RAVENS
NOTES
No notes on BALTIMORE RAVENS yet.