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SEC FOOTBALL COMPANION GUIDE • ALPHABETICAL 7 OF 16

LSU TIGERS

2026 Season Snapshot • Baton Rouge, Louisiana

Finished 8-5 under Kelly/interim Wilson (5-3 under Kelly)

SEC

2026 Schedule

Live schedule, lines and results for LSU.

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HEAD COACH

HANDICAPPING PROFILE

HEAD COACH

Lane Kiffin — 1st season at LSU

LIFETIME COACHING RECORD

116–53 (college, 11 seasons)

Went 55-19 in six years at Ole Miss (2020-25), including the program's first- ever 11-win regular season in 2025, before leaving mid-CFP-run to take the LSU job. Also head coach at Tennessee (2009), USC (2010-13) and Florida Atlantic (2017-19, two C-USA titles). Signed a 7-year, $91M deal, one of the richest in the sport.

LSU ATS RECORD

New hire — no LSU ATS history yet

Replaces Brian Kelly (34-14 at LSU), fired Oct. 26 at 5-3 following a home loss to Texas A&M. Interim Frank Wilson closed the year, including a Texas Bowl win over Baylor. LSU spent roughly $40M rebuilding the roster around Kiffin this offseason.

HEAD COACH SALARY (2026)

$13.0M

TEAM NIL VALUATION (EST.)

Not disclosed

PRIMARY NIL COLLECTIVE

Bayou Traditions

Coach salary per Wikipedia; CBS Sports reported a 7-yr deal averaging up to $14M/yr and worth as much as $98M with NIL/revenue-sharing commitments layered in. LSU has not disclosed a team NIL figure.

HANDICAPPING NOTES

  • Historic portal spend meets zero track record together: LSU's transfer class is regarded as one of the best ever assembled, but Kiffin has never coached a game with this roster — early lines may lag how good this team actually is, or overrate unproven chemistry. Cuts both ways.
  • Kiffin/Weis run-first identity: Their Ole Miss offenses finished top-5 nationally in rushing scores and produced Heisman-caliber backs (Judkins, Lacy) — expect LSU to lean on a deep, retooled RB room, especially if QB Sam Leavitt's surgically repaired foot is a lingering question.
  • Return-to-Oxford revenge game in Week 3: Kiffin's first true test is at Ole Miss, the program he left mid-playoff-run — expect this to be one of the most bet-on, highest-attention games of the SEC's early slate.

COORDINATORS & SCHEME

OFFENSE / DEFENSE

OFFENSIVE COORDINATOR

Charlie Weis Jr. — 1st season • Run-first spread

Followed Kiffin from Ole Miss, where the Rebels led the SEC in rushing attempts (2023) and finished 4th nationally in rushing TDs (2025). A single- back-friendly system that has produced multiple 1,000-yard rushers under Kiffin at various stops (Derrick Henry, Quinshon Judkins, Kewan Lacy).

DEFENSIVE COORDINATOR

Blake Baker — 3rd season (retained) • Multiple

Retained from the Kelly staff; LSU led the SEC in pass efficiency defense in 2025. Kiffin's brother Chris Kiffin joins as co-DC/linebackers coach after following from Ole Miss, adding fresh voice and continuity at once.

2025 SEASON RECAP

RECORD & VENUE NOTES

2025 RECORD

Finished 8-5 under Kelly/interim Wilson (5-3 under Kelly)

Kelly fired Oct. 26 following a home loss to No. 3 Texas A&M; Frank Wilson went the rest of the way and closed with a Texas Bowl win over Baylor. QB Garrett Nussmeier battled injury (a spinal cyst) throughout, finishing with 1,927 yards, 12 TD, 5 INT.

HOME FIELD

Tiger Stadium ("Death Valley")

Natural grass, Baton Rouge. One of the sport's most notorious true road environments, especially for night games — Kelly himself went 20-2 in Death Valley night games. A real home-field weapon for the new staff to inherit immediately.

PRIMARY SKILL PLAYERS

2026 PROJECTED STARTERS
QB1Sam LeavittJr

Arizona State transfer who was a CFP-caliber dual threat in 2024 before a foot injury derailed 2025. Kiffin insists he's healthy; his status is the single biggest swing factor for LSU's season.

RB1Caden Durham

Retained through the coaching change; part of a deep, four-transfer-deep RB room built specifically as a hedge if Leavitt's foot is an issue.

WR1Jayce Brown

Three-star signee (Choctawhatchee HS, Fort Walton Beach, Fla.). Kansas State transfer (Third-Team All-Big 12 in 2025); brought in to help replace LSU's entire top-4 receiving corps, which all departed via the NFL Draft or graduation.

Barion Brown (returning WR

Receiving corps was almost entirely rebuilt this offseason — confirm exact WR2 closer to Week 1 as fall camp settles the rotation.

WR2

room, name TBD)

OFFENSIVE LINE

2026 PROJECTED
Jordan SeatonLTSoph
5-STAR

Colorado transfer and former five-star (2024, No. 19 overall); preseason First-Team All-SEC pick and a projected first-round NFL Draft pick after two years starting at Colorado.

Braelin MooreC

Three-star signee (Freedom HS, Bethlehem, Pa.; per 247/Rivals/ESPN, 4-star per On3). Virginia Tech transfer and 2025 SEC Offensive Lineman of the Week; passed on the NFL Draft and portal to return, one of just two returning-caliber starters on a nearly all-new line.

HANDICAPPING NOTE — O-LINE

  • If Jordan Seaton's move to LSU pans out, this line upgrades significantly over the group that protected Nussmeier in 2025 — worth tracking early pass-protection numbers as a leading indicator for how fast this offense gels.

DEFENSIVE LINE

2026 PROJECTED
Dominick McKinleyDT

Former five-star returns as the headline returning piece up front.

Princewill UmanmielenEdge

Ole Miss transfer, a Top-5 overall transfer portal addition; projected starter off the edge.

Stephiylan GreenDT

Clemson transfer joining McKinley on the interior.

LINEBACKERS

2026 PROJECTED
  • Whit Weeks returns for his final season as one of the top linebackers in the country, anchoring the second level alongside Ole Miss transfer TJ Dottery. A clear strength of the defense and one of the more proven names on the entire roster.

DEFENSIVE BACKS

2026 PROJECTED
DJ PickettCB

Five-star sophomore (No. 9 overall, 2025 class) coming off a standout freshman year (3 INT, elite coverage numbers) — LSU led the SEC in pass efficiency defense with him on the field in 2025.

PJ WoodlandCB

Returning starter opposite Pickett (4-star per Rivals); Whit Weeks himself has praised his development.

Ty BenefieldS

Boise State transfer (former 3-star; 235 career tackles, 5 INT); penciled in as a Week 1 starter at safety.

SPECIAL TEAMS

KICKING, PUNTING & RETURN GAME
  • Overall: LSU's specialist situation is a normal offseason competition under the new staff — no major red flags reported. Given the scale of roster turnover, confirm kicker/punter/returner names closer to the Clemson season opener before trusting any special-teams prop.

Betting profile — vs. the number

2025 ATS

4-9

30.8% cover rate — 77th of 82

2025 Straight up

7-6

Point differential +39

Scoring environment

42.7

Combined points per game — 78th highest of 82

Home / road ATS

2-5 · 2-3

Totals 4-9 O/U (2-5 home, 1-4 road)

Points scored / allowed

22.8 per game scored (65th) · 19.8 allowed (19th)

Margin & schedule

Margin of victory +3 (43rd) · Strength of schedule +3.5

  • Home / road: Home 2-5 ATS, road 2-3 ATS (neutral-site games excluded).
  • Home / road: Totals 4-9 O/U — 2-5 at home, 1-4 on the road.
  • Trend: 2025 ATS 4-9 (30.8% cover rate) across 13 games.
  • Trend: Averaged 22.8 points and allowed 19.8, a 42.7 combined per-game scoring environment.

Power ratings — strength against the field

SRS power rating

+4.8

34th of 82 — projected points vs. a league-average team on a neutral field

Offensive SRS

-1.6

52nd of 82

Defensive SRS

+8.8

12th of 82

Points (margin of victory)

+3 · 43rd of 82

Against the spread

4-9 (30.8%) · 77th of 82

Totals (combined PPG)

42.7 · 78th of 82

Computed from CollegeFootballData 2025 results and closing consensus lines.

Notes

Saved Just J research for LSU.

Personnel

Historic portal spend meets zero track record together

LSU's transfer class is regarded as one of the best ever assembled, but Kiffin has never coached a game with this roster — early lines may lag how good this team actually is, or overrate unproven chemistry. Cuts both ways.

Quarterback

Kiffin/Weis run-first identity

Their Ole Miss offenses finished top-5 nationally in rushing scores and produced Heisman-caliber backs (Judkins, Lacy) — expect LSU to lean on a deep, retooled RB room, especially if QB Sam Leavitt's surgically repaired foot is a lingering question.

Return-to-Oxford revenge game in Week 3

Kiffin's first true test is at Ole Miss, the program he left mid-playoff-run — expect this to be one of the most bet-on, highest-attention games of the SEC's early slate.

Offensive Line

Offensive line outlook

If Jordan Seaton's move to LSU pans out, this line upgrades significantly over the group that protected Nussmeier in 2025 — worth tracking early pass-protection numbers as a leading indicator for how fast this offense gels.

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