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ACC FOOTBALL COMPANION GUIDE • ALPHABETICAL 7 OF 17

LOUISVILLE CARDINALS

2026 Season Snapshot • Louisville, Kentucky

9+ wins (3rd straight under Brohm)

ACC

2026 Schedule

Live schedule, lines and results for Louisville.

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HEAD COACH

HANDICAPPING PROFILE

HEAD COACH

Jeff Brohm — 4th season at Louisville

LIFETIME COACHING RECORD

Multiple programs; 29–10 at Louisville

A former Louisville quarterback (1989-93) who built winning programs at Western Kentucky and Purdue before returning to his alma mater in Dec. 2022. Delivered three straight nine-or-more-win seasons, the program's first- ever ACC title game appearance (2023), and the program's first-ever win over Clemson at Death Valley (2024) — rewarded with a market-resetting extension after fielding real interest from Penn State.

LOUISVILLE ATS RECORD

No single published career ATS figure

Louisville has posted three straight nine-win seasons under Brohm, including a 24-21 road win over Miami in 2025 (the highest-ranked opponent ever beaten on the road) and a first-ever shutout of rival Kentucky since 2004 (41- 0) — real, sustained, historic-marker-setting success.

HEAD COACH SALARY (2026)

$6.3M

TEAM NIL VALUATION (EST.)

Not disclosed

PRIMARY NIL COLLECTIVE

Not publicly named

Coach salary per ESPN/CBS Sports (8-yr, $64.8M extension through 2033, approved April 2026 after Brohm fielded interest from Penn State and others; base rises to $8.7M by 2032). Louisville has not disclosed a team NIL figure, though AD Josh Heird has publicly acknowledged managing separate coaching and revenue-sharing budget lines has become significantly more complex.

HANDICAPPING NOTES

  • A real, market-driven retention fight the program won: Brohm drew genuine interest from Penn State before Louisville locked him up through 2033 — AD Josh Heird explicitly acknowledged the deal took longer because balancing coaching pay against revenue-sharing/NIL budgets is now "more complex" than it used to be.
  • Elite, proven skill-position continuity anchors 2026: RB Isaac Brown drew a Hall of Fame comparison from Eddie George in 2025; QB Lincoln Kienholz (Ohio State transfer) and two 4-star portal receivers (Tre Richardson, Lawayne McCoy) were added specifically to keep the offense dynamic.
  • A real, specific historic-program marker set in 2025: Louisville's road win at Miami was the highest-ranked opponent the program has ever beaten away from home — a genuine signal of how far the program has climbed under Brohm.

COORDINATORS & SCHEME

OFFENSE / DEFENSE

OFFENSIVE COORDINATOR

Jeff Brohm (play-caller) • Multiple

Brohm calls his own plays around Isaac Brown, who Eddie George compared to a Pro Football Hall of Famer during his 2025 breakout. Ohio State transfer Lincoln Kienholz takes over at QB, throwing to two incoming 4- star portal receivers (Tre Richardson, Lawayne McCoy) brought in specifically to raise the offensive ceiling.

DEFENSIVE COORDINATOR

Multiple • Returning system

Louisville's defense helped anchor the program's third straight nine-win season in 2025, including the historic road win at Miami and the shutout of Kentucky — real, proven continuity heading into 2026.

2025 SEASON RECAP

RECORD & VENUE NOTES

2025 RECORD

9+ wins (3rd straight under Brohm)

Beat Miami 24-21 on the road (highest-ranked opponent ever beaten away from home) and shut out rival Kentucky 41-0 (first shutout in the series since 2004) — two real, historic-marker wins in the same season.

HOME FIELD

L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium

Artificial turf (FieldTurf), Louisville. A program with real, sustained momentum under its alma mater coach — three straight nine-win seasons and a locked- up coach through 2033 make this one of the more stable situations in the ACC.

PRIMARY SKILL PLAYERS

2026 PROJECTED STARTERS
QB1Lincoln Kienholz
TOP TRANSFER

Four-star signee (T.F. Riggs HS, Pierre, S.D.; South Dakota's all-time passing leader, 9,100 yds). Ohio State transfer brought in to lead the offense in 2026, part of a real, deliberate skill-position upgrade around Isaac Brown.

RB1Isaac Brown

Four-star signee (Homestead HS, Homestead, Fla.); 2026 Athlon Preseason Second-Team All-America selection. Rushed for 2,057 yds, 18 TD over two seasons, ripping off seven 30+ yard runs in just nine games in 2025.

WR1Tre Richardson
TOP TRANSFER

Four-star portal addition, one of two receivers (with Lawayne McCoy) specifically brought in to make the passing attack more dynamic around a new starting quarterback.

OFFENSIVE LINE

2026 PROJECTED
Line protecting a new QBOL

Tasked with protecting Kienholz in his first season leading the offense; specific 2026 starters to be confirmed closer to Week 1.

HANDICAPPING NOTE — O-LINE

  • A new starting QB behind a line that's helped power three straight nine-win seasons is a real positive — worth tracking early protection numbers for Kienholz specifically.

DEFENSIVE LINE

2026 PROJECTED
Front seven with real continuityDL

Part of a defense that helped deliver the historic road win at Miami and the shutout of Kentucky in 2025; real, proven continuity heading into 2026.

LINEBACKERS

2026 PROJECTED
  • Louisville's linebacker corps returns as part of a defense with real, demonstrated 2025 success — a genuine strength for a program with three straight nine-win seasons under Brohm.

DEFENSIVE BACKS

2026 PROJECTED
Secondary with proven 2025

Part of the defense that shut out Kentucky and beat Miami on the road; specific 2026 starters to be confirmed closer to Week 1.

DB

results

SPECIAL TEAMS

KICKING, PUNTING & RETURN GAME
  • Overall: No major specialist storylines flagged for 2026. With a locked-up coach, three straight nine-win seasons, and real, deliberate skill-position additions, Louisville enters 2026 as one of the more stable, well-run programs in the ACC.

Betting profile — vs. the number

2025 ATS

4-9

30.8% cover rate — 79th of 82

2025 Straight up

9-4

Point differential +114

Scoring environment

51.1

Combined points per game — 47th highest of 82

Home / road ATS

1-7 · 3-1

Totals 6-7 O/U (4-4 home, 1-3 road)

Points scored / allowed

29.9 per game scored (34th) · 21.2 allowed (30th)

Margin & schedule

Margin of victory +8.8 (28th) · Strength of schedule -1.2

  • Home / road: Home 1-7 ATS, road 3-1 ATS (neutral-site games excluded).
  • Home / road: Totals 6-7 O/U — 4-4 at home, 1-3 on the road.
  • Trend: 2025 ATS 4-9 (30.8% cover rate) across 13 games.
  • Trend: Averaged 29.9 points and allowed 21.2, a 51.1 combined per-game scoring environment.

Power ratings — strength against the field

SRS power rating

+5.8

30th of 82 — projected points vs. a league-average team on a neutral field

Offensive SRS

+3.5

36th of 82

Defensive SRS

+4.3

31st of 82

Points (margin of victory)

+8.8 · 28th of 82

Against the spread

4-9 (30.8%) · 79th of 82

Totals (combined PPG)

51.1 · 47th of 82

Computed from CollegeFootballData 2025 results and closing consensus lines.

Notes

Saved Just J research for Louisville.

Program Context

A real, market-driven retention fight the program won

Brohm drew genuine interest from Penn State before Louisville locked him up through 2033 — AD Josh Heird explicitly acknowledged the deal took longer because balancing coaching pay against revenue-sharing/NIL budgets is now "more complex" than it used to be.

Quarterback

Elite, proven skill-position continuity anchors 2026

RB Isaac Brown drew a Hall of Fame comparison from Eddie George in 2025; QB Lincoln Kienholz (Ohio State transfer) and two 4-star portal receivers (Tre Richardson, Lawayne McCoy) were added specifically to keep the offense dynamic.

A real, specific historic-program marker set in 2025

Louisville's road win at Miami was the highest-ranked opponent the program has ever beaten away from home — a genuine signal of how far the program has climbed under Brohm.

Notes are maintained in the Admin area — no code changes required.