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ACC FOOTBALL COMPANION GUIDE • ALPHABETICAL 6 OF 17

GEORGIA TECH YELLOW JACKETS

2026 Season Snapshot • Atlanta, Georgia

9–3 (regular season)

ACC

2026 Schedule

Live schedule, lines and results for Georgia Tech.

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HEAD COACH

HANDICAPPING PROFILE

HEAD COACH

Brent Key — 4th season at Georgia Tech

LIFETIME COACHING RECORD

27–19 at Georgia Tech (incl. 8 games as interim)

A Georgia Tech alum and former offensive lineman who took over as interim head coach in Sept. 2022 after the program had gone 10-38 over its previous 48 games. Delivered the program's best season since at least 2016 in 2025 (9-3 through the ACC slate), earning a 5-year extension through 2030 at $6.5M annually — up $2M from his prior deal.

GEORGIA TECH ATS RECORD

No single published career ATS figure

Georgia Tech finished 2025 at 9-3 in the regular season (best since at least 2016) before fizzling over the final five games and a Pop-Tarts Bowl loss to BYU. Key was explicit that he's "not happy" with a 9-win season, setting national-championship-level expectations for 2026.

HEAD COACH SALARY (2026)

$6.5M

TEAM NIL VALUATION (EST.)

Not disclosed

PRIMARY NIL COLLECTIVE

Not publicly named

Coach salary per ESPN/Yahoo Sports (new 5-yr deal through 2030, signed Dec. 2025, up $2M from his prior contract). Georgia Tech has not disclosed a team NIL figure. Departed QB Haynes King individually carried a $1.7M NIL valuation in 2025 (tied for 25th nationally), by far the highest on the roster; OL Keylan Rutledge was next at $695K.

HANDICAPPING NOTES

  • A real, credentialed offensive foundation just walked out the door: Haynes King was the ACC Player of the Year and Offensive Player of the Year (Georgia Tech's first since 2008), finished 10th in Heisman balloting, and is gone — replaced by Alberto Mendoza, who has never started a college game.
  • A specific, quantifiable "late-season fade" pattern to track: Georgia Tech's 2025 season was both its best since 2016 and defined by fizzling over the final five games — worth watching whether that repeats in 2026's tougher-expectations environment.
  • Real, deliberate roster building around a five-star-caliber transfer: Justice Haynes (Alabama's top recruit before disappointing usage there, then Michigan, now Georgia Tech) specifically cited Key's championship-focused pitch as his reason for choosing the Yellow Jackets — a real, articulated recruiting philosophy.

COORDINATORS & SCHEME

OFFENSE / DEFENSE

OFFENSIVE COORDINATOR

Buster Faulkner's successor • 1st season • Multiple

Both coordinators are new for 2026, a real total offensive and defensive scheme change in the same season the team also replaces its starting quarterback. Alberto Mendoza (brother of Indiana's Fernando Mendoza) inherits a run game built around Justice Haynes (857 rush yds, 10 TD at Michigan in 2025) and returning leading rusher Malachi Hosley (697 yds, 7 TD).

DEFENSIVE COORDINATOR

New hire • 1st season • Multiple

A full defensive coordinator change alongside the offensive one; beat writers note the defense actually returns more experienced talent than the offense and had a strong portal/recruiting cycle to build around it.

2025 SEASON RECAP

RECORD & VENUE NOTES

2025 RECORD

9–3 (regular season)

Pop-Tarts Bowl: L to BYU. The program's best regular season since at least 2016, capped by a signature win at Colorado, but undercut by fading down the stretch and a bowl loss — real, mixed evidence entering a higher- expectations 2026.

HOME FIELD

Bobby Dodd Stadium

Legion NXT turf, Atlanta. A program with real, hard-earned momentum after going 10-38 before Key's arrival — now setting national-title-level expectations for a team replacing its Heisman-caliber quarterback.

PRIMARY SKILL PLAYERS

2026 PROJECTED STARTERS
QB1Alberto Mendoza
TOP TRANSFER

Three-star signee (Christopher Columbus HS, Miami; back-to-back state titles); has never started a college game. The younger brother of Indiana's Heisman-winning Fernando Mendoza, taking over for departed ACC Player of the Year Haynes King in one of the more pressure-filled QB transitions in the conference.

RB1Justice Haynes
TOP TRANSFER

Former five-star-caliber Alabama signee who saw modest usage there (600+ yds, 9 TD) before transferring to Michigan (857 yds, 10 TD in 2025). Chose Georgia Tech specifically for Key's championship-focused pitch.

RB2Malachi Hosley

Led Georgia Tech with 697 yds, 7 TD in 2025; returns as a proven complement to Haynes in a run-game-focused offense.

OFFENSIVE LINE

2026 PROJECTED
Line rebuilt after Rutledge's exitOL

Loses back-to-back First-Team All-American Keylan Rutledge (2026 first-round NFL Draft pick, Houston Texans) — real, significant production to replace up front.

HANDICAPPING NOTE — O-LINE

  • Losing a two-time First-Team All-American right as the QB and both coordinators change is real, compounding risk — treat Georgia Tech's offensive line as a genuine unknown into 2026.

DEFENSIVE LINE

2026 PROJECTED
Front seven with real returning talentDL

Beat writers specifically note the defense returns more experienced talent than the offense; a genuine strength to lean on during the QB transition.

LINEBACKERS

2026 PROJECTED
  • Georgia Tech's linebacker corps returns real experience as part of a defense beat writers flag as having a strong 2026 portal and recruiting cycle — a genuine building block while the offense retools around a new starting quarterback.

DEFENSIVE BACKS

2026 PROJECTED
Kyle EffordDB

Featured alongside Key, Haynes, and Hosley at the 2026 ACC Kickoff; part of a secondary with real returning experience heading into the season.

SPECIAL TEAMS

KICKING, PUNTING & RETURN GAME
  • Kicker: Aidan Birr earned 2025 All-America recognition (Georgia Tech's first multi-All-American season since 2009, alongside Rutledge) and returns for 2026, a genuine specialist strength for a program navigating real offensive transition.

Betting profile — vs. the number

2025 ATS

7-6

53.8% cover rate — 33rd of 82

2025 Straight up

9-4

Point differential +93

Scoring environment

57.2

Combined points per game — 17th highest of 82

Home / road ATS

4-2 · 2-3

Totals 7-6 O/U (4-2 home, 3-2 road)

Points scored / allowed

32.2 per game scored (17th) · 25 allowed (48th)

Margin & schedule

Margin of victory +7.2 (31st) · Strength of schedule -1.9

  • Home / road: Home 4-2 ATS, road 2-3 ATS (neutral-site games excluded).
  • Home / road: Totals 7-6 O/U — 4-2 at home, 3-2 on the road.
  • Trend: 2025 ATS 7-6 (53.8% cover rate) across 13 games.
  • Trend: Averaged 32.2 points and allowed 25, a 57.2 combined per-game scoring environment.

Power ratings — strength against the field

SRS power rating

+3.7

41st of 82 — projected points vs. a league-average team on a neutral field

Offensive SRS

+2.7

38th of 82

Defensive SRS

+1.3

46th of 82

Points (margin of victory)

+7.2 · 31st of 82

Against the spread

7-6 (53.8%) · 33rd of 82

Totals (combined PPG)

57.2 · 17th of 82

Computed from CollegeFootballData 2025 results and closing consensus lines.

Notes

Saved Just J research for Georgia Tech.

A real, credentialed offensive foundation just walked out the door

Haynes King was the ACC Player of the Year and Offensive Player of the Year (Georgia Tech's first since 2008), finished 10th in Heisman balloting, and is gone — replaced by Alberto Mendoza, who has never started a college game.

A specific, quantifiable "late-season fade" pattern to track

Georgia Tech's 2025 season was both its best since 2016 and defined by fizzling over the final five games — worth watching whether that repeats in 2026's tougher-expectations environment.

Personnel

Real, deliberate roster building around a five-star-caliber transfer

Justice Haynes (Alabama's top recruit before disappointing usage there, then Michigan, now Georgia Tech) specifically cited Key's championship-focused pitch as his reason for choosing the Yellow Jackets — a real, articulated recruiting philosophy.

Notes are maintained in the Admin area — no code changes required.