Just J Sports

SUN BELT FOOTBALL COMPANION GUIDE • ALPHABETICAL 5 OF 14

GEORGIA STATE PANTHERS

2026 Season Snapshot • Atlanta, Georgia

1-11 (0-8 Sun Belt)

SBC

2026 Schedule

Live schedule, lines and results for Georgia State.

Loading schedule…

HEAD COACH

HANDICAPPING PROFILE

HEAD COACH

Dell McGee — 3rd season at Georgia State

LIFETIME COACHING RECORD

5–20 at Georgia State

Spent eight years as Georgia's running backs coach and run-game coordinator under Kirby Smart, developing four different 1,000-yard rushers (Nick Chubb, Sony Michel, D'Andre Swift, Elijah Holyfield) before taking over at Georgia State in 2024. His transition to a first head-coaching job has been genuinely difficult — back-to-back losing seasons, capped by a winless conference record in 2025.

GEORGIA STATE ATS RECORD

No single published career ATS figure

2025 finished 1-11 (0-8 Sun Belt), a real step backward from an already- difficult 3-9 debut season in 2024. Georgia State was picked to finish last in the Sun Belt East entering 2025 and did — the preseason expectation matched the outcome.

HEAD COACH SALARY (2026)

$853K

TEAM NIL VALUATION (EST.)

Not disclosed

PRIMARY NIL COLLECTIVE

Not publicly named

Coach salary per USA Today's 2025 compensation database (via HERO Sports). Georgia State has not disclosed a team NIL figure. General industry estimates place most Group of 6 roster budgets in the $1-3M range under the current direct revenue-sharing model.

HANDICAPPING NOTES

  • A real, honest program reset entering year three: Outside Sun Belt previews specifically describe Georgia State as receiving "a blank slate" for 2026 — not spin, a genuine acknowledgment that the program is starting over after consecutive losing seasons.
  • Elite position-coaching pedigree hasn't yet translated to head-coaching results: McGee's track record developing NFL-caliber running backs at Georgia is real, but a combined 5-20 record through two seasons is an equally real, specific data point.
  • New coordinators on both sides for a second straight cycle: A new co-DC structure (Cam Clark, John Haneline) joins existing OC Hue Jackson's second season — continued staff experimentation as the program searches for stability.

COORDINATORS & SCHEME

OFFENSE / DEFENSE

OFFENSIVE COORDINATOR

Hue Jackson • 2nd season • Pro-style

The former NFL head coach (Browns, Raiders) enters year two after an offense that struggled significantly in 2025. Must replace WR Ted Hurst, a 3rd-round NFL Draft pick and First-Team All-Sun Belt selection who was the program's clear top offensive weapon.

DEFENSIVE COORDINATOR

Cam Clark • John Haneline — 1st season (co-DCs) • Multiple

New co-coordinator structure replacing Travis Pearson after a defense that allowed a Sun Belt-worst scoring margin in 2025. A real, full defensive installation for a program looking for its first signs of stability under McGee.

2025 SEASON RECAP

RECORD & VENUE NOTES

2025 RECORD

1–11 (0–8 Sun Belt)

A winless conference season that matched preseason expectations (picked last in the East). Georgia State's lone win came in non-conference play; the Panthers were competitive in flashes (a 41-24 shootout loss to Georgia Southern) but couldn't finish games.

HOME FIELD

Center Parc Stadium

Artificial turf, Atlanta. A program in a genuine rebuilding phase, with a coaching staff still searching for its footing after two difficult seasons since McGee's arrival from Georgia's staff.

PRIMARY SKILL PLAYERS

2026 PROJECTED STARTERS
QB1Room in competition

Brendon Lewis (16-of-20, 196 yds in the 2025 opener at Memphis) is among the returning options; confirm the 2026 starter closer to Week 1 as Hue Jackson's staff finalizes the competition.

RB1Sutton Smith

Flashed in 2025 (14 carries, 74 yds, 1 TD vs. Memphis); positioned as a lead option in the backfield for 2026.

OFFENSIVE LINE

2026 PROJECTED
Line under new staff emphasisOL

Part of a program-wide rebuild under Hue Jackson's second season; specific 2026 starters to be confirmed closer to Week 1.

HANDICAPPING NOTE — O-LINE

  • A program coming off a winless conference season needs foundational improvement up front before anything else — treat every position group, especially this one, as unproven until it shows real progress on tape.

DEFENSIVE LINE

2026 PROJECTED
Henry BryantDL

2025 Second-Team All-Sun Belt selection; the clearest returning building block on a defense being installed fresh under new co-defensive coordinators.

LINEBACKERS

2026 PROJECTED
  • Georgia State's linebacker corps is being rebuilt under the new co-defensive coordinator structure (Cam Clark, John Haneline) after a unit that struggled significantly during the winless 2025 conference season.

DEFENSIVE BACKS

2026 PROJECTED
Secondary under new co-DCsDB

Part of the full defensive installation under the new coordinator pairing; specific 2026 starters to be confirmed as fall camp progresses.

SPECIAL TEAMS

KICKING, PUNTING & RETURN GAME
  • Overall: No major specialist storylines flagged for 2026. With the program receiving what outside analysts call "a blank slate" entering year three, Georgia State's floor and ceiling are both genuinely uncertain heading into the season.

Betting profile — vs. the number

2025 ATS

2-10

16.7% cover rate — 82nd of 82

2025 Straight up

1-11

Point differential -217

Scoring environment

57.6

Combined points per game — 15th highest of 82

Home / road ATS

1-5 · 1-5

Totals 6-6 O/U (2-4 home, 4-2 road)

Points scored / allowed

19.8 per game scored (74th) · 37.8 allowed (82nd)

Margin & schedule

Margin of victory -18.1 (81st) · Strength of schedule -6.9

  • Home / road: Home 1-5 ATS, road 1-5 ATS (neutral-site games excluded).
  • Home / road: Totals 6-6 O/U — 2-4 at home, 4-2 on the road.
  • Trend: 2025 ATS 2-10 (16.7% cover rate) across 12 games.
  • Trend: Averaged 19.8 points and allowed 37.8, a 57.6 combined per-game scoring environment.

Power ratings — strength against the field

SRS power rating

-20.9

81st of 82 — projected points vs. a league-average team on a neutral field

Offensive SRS

-12.5

80th of 82

Defensive SRS

-14.8

82nd of 82

Points (margin of victory)

-18.1 · 81st of 82

Against the spread

2-10 (16.7%) · 82nd of 82

Totals (combined PPG)

57.6 · 15th of 82

Computed from CollegeFootballData 2025 results and closing consensus lines.

Notes

Saved Just J research for Georgia State.

A real, honest program reset entering year three

Outside Sun Belt previews specifically describe Georgia State as receiving "a blank slate" for 2026 — not spin, a genuine acknowledgment that the program is starting over after consecutive losing seasons.

Elite position-coaching pedigree hasn't yet translated to head-coaching results

McGee's track record developing NFL-caliber running backs at Georgia is real, but a combined 5-20 record through two seasons is an equally real, specific data point.

New coordinators on both sides for a second straight cycle

A new co-DC structure (Cam Clark, John Haneline) joins existing OC Hue Jackson's second season — continued staff experimentation as the program searches for stability.

Offensive Line

Offensive line outlook

A program coming off a winless conference season needs foundational improvement up front before anything else — treat every position group, especially this one, as unproven until it shows real progress on tape.

Notes are maintained in the Admin area — no code changes required.